CBO Says Costs of Medicare Part D Changes Are Ballooning
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has updated its projections on the cost of the redesign of the Medicare Part D program passed by Democrats in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). I have argued in several blogs (see these: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/part-d-premium-woes-due-to-the-inflation-reduction-act/ and https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/part-d-restructuring-in-inflation-reduction-act-could-have-huge-implications-on-standalone-part-d-program/ ) that Democrats did not think through the impact on both premiums over time as well as the stability of both Medicare Advantage (MA) and the standalone Part D (PDP) program. The generous out-of-pocket reductions would be paid by higher premiums and benefit changes since the government did not fund the policy changes. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) created an emergency demonstration program to stabilize premiums in 2025. But that only lasts for three years. I also think the program is extra-legal.
Now, the CBO is saying that the original estimates of the Part D changes have increased dramatically. It will cost $10 billion to $20 billion more next year than initially projected. In addition, the demonstration will cost another $5 billion in 2025.
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https://www.statnews.com/2024/10/03/drug-pricing-law-higher-cost-cbo/
