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MedPAC Chair Defends MA Analysis

Dr. Amol Navathe, the new chair of congressional Medicare policy arm MedPAC, defended the work and Medicare Advantage over-reimbursement estimates of his organization. He doubled down on MedPAC’s view that MA is reimbursed 14% more than what is spent in traditional fee-for-service (FFS). Critics of MedPAC, including me, stand by our assessment that MedPAC is relying on old data that does not recognize risk adjustment reforms and updates. In addition, MedPAC has picked up some spurious academic analyses on so-called favorable selection and has essentially adopted them as fact. The chairman himself is an academic and his defense of this process is expected.

Republicans in Congress are challenging MedPAC’s way of thinking, considering a bill to force MedPAC to broaden its viewpoints, including definitively setting aside the favorable selection argument. As MedPAC always does, it says it will open the doors and encourage engagement, but its studies seem to be closed to alternative ways of thinking. When it is found to be errant, it seems to obfuscate that fact with more of the same research. Indeed, the Centers for Medicaid and Medicaid Services (CMS) seems convinced the 14% number is absolutely inflated. Numerous other reports seem to conclude that as well, arguing MedPAC simply does not understand the difference between managed care and a 60-year-old FFS system.

#medpac #medicare #medicareadvantage

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/medpac-medicare-advantage-overpayment-analysis-defense-bma/831126

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Trump Admin To Disenroll 760K From Exchange

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) canceled 315,000 health insurance Exchange enrollments covering more than 760,000 people. CMS says these enrollments were unlawful and that the rescissions are part of its anti-fraud campaign. The agency said the government will save $2.2 billion in premium subsidies. 

In addition, CMS said it will terminate more than 200 agents and brokers that have failed to comply with enrollment standards.

Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/cms-cancel-aca-coverage-760k-crack-down-brokers-latest-anti-fraud-push and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-cms-aca-enrollment-fraud/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-aca-broker-enrollment-freeze/ and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/6104381-vance-oz-aca-obamacare-crackdown/

#exchanges #healthcare #coverage #enrollment

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/cms-cancels-aca-policies-for-760000-people-freezes-broker-registrations/

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ICHRAs Slated To Grow Demonstrably

Federal officials have rebranded individual coverage health reimbursement arrangements (ICHRAs) as CHOICE arrangements. While the name change is recent, new news that ICHRAs are slated to grow demonstrably. Oscar Health CEO Mark Bertolini projected during the company’s investor day that the ICHRA market will reach 2.5 million members by 2029, a 400% increase. It stands now at about 500,000.

States are passing laws to encourage the provision of healthcare. Three states are offering tax credits to employers providing ICHRA funds to workers, while other states are considering different methods to drive adoption.

#ichras #healthcare #coverage

https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-ichra-choice-mehmet-oz-indiana-georgia/

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More Signs of Medicare Advantage Retrenchment

A number of plans have already signaled more retrenchment in Medicare Advantage (MA) in 2027. More exits are now being announced. Molina Healthcare will no longer sell Medicare plans in Connecticut, Mississippi, and Nevada. Earlier it said it will get rid of all mainstream, non-Special Needs Plans (SNPs) in 2027. It will also drop SNPs in those three states.

In addition, Health Care Service Corp. (HCSC) plans to exit the Connecticut, New York and District of Columbia MA next year. HCSC will cut its Healthspring-branded MA footprint to 450 counties in 2027 from 580 this year. HCSC reported a $4.57 billion underwriting loss last year. Not too many years ago, HCSC purchased the MA line from Cigna. It may exit 11 additional markets.

Last, CMS will allow MA plans to expand their service areas midyear when acquiring a competitor. The change is out of concern that more health insurance companies will quit the program and disrupt enrollee coverage.

Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-molina-medicare-advantage-connecticut-mississippi-nevada/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-cms-medicare-advantage-acquisitions/

#medicareadvantage #enrollment

https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-hcsc-medicare-advantage-exits-connecticut-new-york-dc/

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House GOP Wants MedPAC To Be More Favorable To MA

A new bill from Ways and Means Republicans that passed on a party line vote would require the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) to study the topic of overpayments in Medicare Advantage (MA) more favorably for insurers. I support the bill as MedPAC has shown major bias against MA over the years, undertaking twisted analyses and citing dubious research studies to further the idea that MA is markedly over reimbursed.

#medicareadvantage #overpayments #riskadjustment

https://www.statnews.com/2026/09/16/medicare-advantage-overpayments-analysis-medpac-change-apples-to-apples-act/

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PBM Law Could Impact Drug Entities In The Shadows

A new law with restrictions on and reforms to pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs) will have a major effect throughout the drug channel. The law requires greater transparency and will likely expose various transaction fees between PBMs and rebate aggregators, group purchasing organizations, and others related entities.

#pbms #transparency

https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-pbm-reform-drug-rebate-aggregators

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ACCESS Program To Expand

The new tech-based chronic disease management ACCESS program will expand the diseases and conditions eligible for enrollment. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) announced that new clinical tracks will be added next Spring, including heart failure and substance use disorders. CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz also said he eventually wants the model adopted in Medicare Advantage (MA) and Medicaid. Right now, it services traditional Medicare enrollees.

The initiative has CMS contracting with technology organizations, which team up with Medicare physicians to use tech to track and improve outcomes for people with certain cardio-kidney-diabetes disease states, anxiety and depression, and musculoskeletal conditions. The new disease states include health failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, substance abuse, and tobacco cessation.

Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/health-tech/mh-cms-access-model-chronic-care-tracks/

#medicare #chronicdisease #caremanagement #access

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/cms-expanding-access-model-4-things-to-know/

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Trump Rejects Amodei’s Call

President Donald Trump rejected Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s call to slow the pace of advanced artificial intelligence development. Trump said that existing federal authority and presidential oversight are sufficient. “The only control or ‘guardrails’ that AI needs is a STRONG AND SMART (High IQ!) PRESIDENT,” President Trump wrote in a Truth Social post.

Of course, neither is true and the nation does not have a true game plan to control the roll out of AI across industries.

Amodei published an essay last week where he argued that AI capabilities are advancing faster than safety measures designed to govern them. He called for slowing development, implementing new safeguards, and allowing third-party evaluators to verify measures undertaken. Anthropic will implement the evaluator safeguard unilaterally.

Check out my blog published today on AI and regulation: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/ai-in-healthcare-innovate-but-with-guardrails/

#healthcare #ai #regulation

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/healthcare-information-technology/innovation/trump-rejects-anthropic-ceos-call-for-more-ai-guardrails/

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Does PDP Program Need A Fallback Plan?

I have made much of the politically motivated Democratic Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) provisions to reduce cost-sharing for seniors in Part D. It was a terrible piece of public policy that has led to a huge increase in costs and risk to plan sponsors. While Medicare Advantage (MA) has survived, it certainly led to benefit reductions. But in the standalone Part D (PDP) world (which largely serves the traditional Medicare beneficiaries), the IRA changes have led to benefit reductions, rising premiums, fewer choices and coverage, and a financially untenable system.

A Health Affairs Forefront blog makes the case that a government-facilitated fallback plan may need to be introduced now before the financial situation gets worse.

The author traces the failures to growing MA and its payment and benefit advantages, which means the PDP market gets smaller and riskier. The capping of cost-sharing and elimination of costs in the catastrophic phase are big costs for plans. The author argues the program is headed for a death spiral, which is a case I have made.

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has demonstration authority for a fallback on a regional basis but not yet a national one. The author argues a federally-facilitated PDP — with core benefits defined by CMS — would strengthen competitive conditions and exert downward pressure on premiums across remaining private sponsors.

I am not a big fan of a government plan running in parallel. It would clearly have advantages and could even make things worse. But the point about reform now rather than later is an important one. And as noted by the author, a federally-facilitated plan should be viewed as a complement to broader structural reform.

#medicareadvantage #partd #pdp #ira

https://www.healthaffairs.org/content/forefront/old-idea-whose-time-has-come-why-medicare-needs-federal-backstop-part-d

— Marc S. Ryan

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MA Star Cut Points Rise

Good Healthcare Dive article on the release of Plan Preview 2 information for Medicare Advantage Stars and the new cut points. As the article discusses, assessing what will happen to overall Star ratings is hard to do. Tougher cut points can or cannot be a sign that things will go up overall.

My companion blog tends to think that some of the increases tie to true initiatives on performance improvement and others to MA plan exits. I think if things do go up overall, it will be modest. That blog is here: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/two-star-blogs-in-one-what-will-cms-do-next-on-stars-and-despite-cut-point-moves-widespread-overall-ratings-hikes-unlikely/

#medicareadvantage #partd #stars #quality

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/medicare-advantage-stars-cutpoints-2027-cms/829963

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