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UnitedHealth Group Reports Lower Margins

While revenue was up for the year, UnitedHealth Group reported lower annual margins due to high medical expense. Its stock dropped on the news. United is the largest insurer and biggest integrated healthcare company in the nation. Its medical loss ratio (MLR) grew to 87.6% across its lines of business in Q4. Its earnings were still above estimates.

United CEO Andew Witty also said he would ease prior authorizations (PAs) and work with policymakers to overhaul processes. And faced with threats of major regulation of its pharmacy benefits manager (PBM), OptumRx, the CEO also committed to passing through to plans and employer groups 100% of drug manufacturer rebates. Many will be skeptical of the significance of this gesture given PBMs receive many forms of revenue and could easily find ways to maintain current levels of profit streams.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/unitedhealth-andrew-witty-prior-authorization and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/unitedhealth-group-earnings-call-share-price-andrew-witty-medical-costs-revenue and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/unitedhealth-unh-2024-record-revenue/737477/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#unitedhealthcare #healthplans #margins

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/unitedhealth-group-posts-144b-profit-4003b-revenue-2024

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Overall Record Enrollment in ACA Programs

As discussions are opening up in 2025 on whether enhanced premium subsidies are extended or not, the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) released a new analysis that said in 2024 Affordable Care Act (ACA) enrollment was 44 million. This includes federal and state Exchange Marketplaces, Medicaid expansions (ten states have not expanded), and the Basic Health Plan (in a small number of states). In 2024, Exchange Marketplace enrollment hit a record of 21.4 million people. Medicaid expansion enrollment was 21.3 million in 2024. Basic Health Plan enrollment in 2024 was 1.3 million.

Exchange enrollment in 2025 will hit at least 24 million, so those helped via the ACA will actually be about 47 million. These gains could be reduced over the next several years if the enhanced rebates expire at the end of 2025, if the Exchange benefits and subsidies are changed in other ways, and if the Medicaid expansion is rolled back or state matching funds are reduced.

KFF press release:https://www.kff.org/affordable-care-act/press-release/affordable-care-act-marketplace-and-medicaid-expansion-enrollment-reached-a-combined-44-million-in-2024/

#aca #medicaid #obamacare #exchanges #coverage

https://www.kff.org/affordable-care-act/issue-brief/a-look-at-aca-coverage-through-the-marketplaces-and-medicaid-expansion-ahead-of-potential-policy-changes/

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Outgoing Biden FTC Fires Another Shot At PBMs

CVS Caremark, Express Scripts and OptumRx – the Big 3 pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) — dramatically mark up specialty generic drugs to affiliated pharmacies, according to a new report from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). This is the second of two scathing reports.

The FTC analyzed 51 specialty generic drugs from 2017 to 2022 and found that the PBMs’ affiliated pharmacies acquired $7.3 billion in excess revenue when compared to the National Average Drug Acquisition Cost (NADAC), an estimate of what it costs a pharmacy to acquire a drug. Further, the report says the conclusion could be an underestimation.

PBMs generally defended themselves by saying that the report is misleading because it is based on a subset of drugs, that clients not PBMs choose networks, and they bring many savings to the system. But the report does show that PBM-affiliated pharmacy dispensing revenue increased at an annual growth rate of 42% from 2017 to 2021. Further, the top 10 specialty generic drugs generated more than $6.2 billion of dispensing revenue in excess of NADAC.

The report is sure to lead to further concerns on Capitol Hill regarding vertical integration of big healthcare and the non-arm’s length agreements that occur within the big integrated companies. The commission voted unanimously to release the report. The incoming chairman under Trump is on the commission today and voted for release. He supports ongoing investigation of PBMs.

The report also showed that the PBMs earned $1.4 billion from spread pricing, or when PBMs bill plan sponsors more than they reimburse pharmacies. Banning spread pricing could occur in 2025 on Capitol Hill. It almost passed in 2024.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/cvs-caremark-express-scripts-optumrx-drug-markups-ftc-report and https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/pharmacy/ftc-finds-top-3-pbms-inflated-drug-prices-by-7-3b.html and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/ftc-second-pharmacy-benefit-manager-report-caremark-express-scripts-unitedhealth/737249/ and https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5083218-trump-greenland-denmark-ozempic-tariffs/?tbref=hp

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#pbms #drugpricing #ftc #anitrust

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/ftc-big-3-pbms-generated-73b-specialty-generic-drug-markups

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MA Pay Hike Inadequate; Physicians Upset

Health plans stocks did well on the news that Medicare Advantage (MA) rate hikes would improve in 2026, but many are still calling the increase inadequate and hope the incoming Trump administration will offer more relief. Advocates for MA are saying individual plan offerings will still have to decrease in 2026 after a major contraction in 2025. See my blog today digesting the announcement: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/calling-all-plans-advance-notice-released-for-2026-ma-and-part-d-rates-and-other-policies/ .

In related news, physicians are very upset that health plans will see an increase while they will see a fifth year of reductions. Docs feel plans are getting preferential treatment. I see the docs’ point.

In other news, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) want to continue a premium stabilization program for standalone Part D (PDP) plans. A spike in premiums would have occurred without the program. Republicans think the program could be extra-legal (as I do). The spikes are related to the misguided and unfunded Medicare Part D cost-sharing reductions pushed through by Democrats in the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/cms-proposes-increasing-medicare-advantage-benchmark-payments-223-or-21-billion and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/inside-drug-pricing-daily-news/cms-aims-cement-part-d-stabilization-demo-new-admin-hits

#medicareadvantage #rates #physicians #cms #partd #pdp

https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/cms-projects-433-ma-pay-bump-ma-plans-look-trump-better-deal

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2026 MA Proposed Rate Announced

The outgoing Biden administration has released its Advance Notice for 2026 rates and other policy changes. I quickly reviewed the 180-page Advance Notice, the CMS Fact Sheet, and CMS Press Release. Here are some highlights and Healthcare Labyrinth will have more information on rates and Star changes next week.

My summary: The announcement is progress for MA plans and will be a bit of a relief for insurers and investors. But this still is a very skimpy increase given all the MA world is facing. It could mean a third year in MA benefit cuts.

Details:

— CMS says MA rates go up by 4.33%. But plans will take issue with including a risk score trend of 2.1% in the calculation. Plans will say they will get closer to a 2.23% because plans do not count the coding increase as a real revenue increase. They see it as offsetting a rise in risk/costs.
— While this is progress from 2024 and 2025, MA plans ultimately will see this as inadequate. It means MA rates will have gone up just 0.95% over 3 years when the industry is battling a return of utilization, inflation, and increased costs due to new laws and regulations (e.g., PA restrictions and IRA Part D costs).
— With just a real 2.23% increase in 2026, we can expect more contraction of benefits and choice and increases in cost-sharing and premiums. Big, publicly traded plans will have to contract again to hit long-term margins promised to investors.
— CMS said suspending the final year of the risk model phase-in or medical education changes would have added $10.4 billion to costs. The increase alone will cost about $21 billion.
— A much higher growth rate drove most of the hike. This was largely due to growth in costs in the FFS program (5.67%) and MA (7.70%) for non-ESRD populations.
— But this was largely offset by a -0.69% loss of revenue due to poor Star performance and the risk model and normalization changes of -3.01%.
— The minimum statutory coding pattern adjustment stayed at a -5.90%, resulting in no difference from year to year.
— The incoming Trump administration may offer some relief on the risk model.

CMS release and fact sheet: https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/2026-medicare-advantage-and-part-d-advance-notice-fact-sheet and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/cms-releases-proposed-2026-payment-policy-updates-medicare-advantage-and-part-d-programs

Additional articles: https://www.beckerspayer.com/policy-updates/cms-proposes-21b-payment-increase-for-medicare-advantage-in-2026-10-notes.html

#cms #medicareadvantage #healthplans #rates

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/cms-proposes-increasing-medicare-advantage-benchmark-payments-223-or-21-billion

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Musk Calls Out Goals For DOGE

Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who is co-leader of Donald Trump’s proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission, said that the best-case scenario would be to put together $2 trillion in cuts to federal spending. He said that then DOGE would have a good shot at executing $1 trillion in reductions.

Whether the goal is a real $1 trillion or $2 trillion, it is clear that healthcare program cuts will play a big role in spending reductions.

#doge #government #spending #trump #congress #healthcare

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5076095-elon-musk-doge-2t-spending-cut-goal/?tbref=hp

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Exchange Enrollment Hits Record

With about a week left of enrollment, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) said that the Exchanges have reached yet another record enrollment number after mostly lagging during the enrollment season. More than 23 million people have selected coverage. There are 3.2 million new enrollees. Of the people who have signed up so far, 16.7 million found coverage on the federal Exchange, with 6.9 million on the state Exchanges. This is the fourth consecutive year of enrollment records.

Enhanced premium subsidies expire at the end of 2025, which could dramatically impact enrollment. Today congressional Republicans declined to say they would simply let the subsidies expire. Instead, they expect the issue to emerge during talks to extend the Trump tax cuts and the reconciliation process. I still see this as a long shot, but it is bolstered by Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s advocacy for continuation of the enhancements.

CMS press release and fact sheet: https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/nearly-24-million-consumers-have-selected-affordable-health-coverage-aca-marketplace-time-left and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/marketplace-2025-open-enrollment-period-report-national-snapshot-1

Additional articles: https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/aca-enrollment-2025-record-high/736803/ and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/admin-announces-24m-aca-sign-ups-so-far-urges-congress-keep-enhanced-credits and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5072422-biden-administration-achieves-fourth-record-breaking-aca-enrollment-ahead-of-exit/ and https://apnews.com/article/obamacare-aca-health-care-coverage-biden-trump-0c73dcde4a19aea65cb83de01f2d5d2e and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/states-with-the-largest-aca-enrollment-increases-2025.html and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/aca-subsidies-trump-exchange-market

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#aca #obamacare #exchanges #coverage

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/236m-people-have-signed-aca-coverage-during-open-enrollment-cms

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Biden Administration Finalizes Medical Debt Provision

The federal Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued finalized regulations barring medical debts on credit reports. The rule bans credit agencies from including medical debts on consumers’ credit reports and prohibit lenders from considering medical information in assessing borrowers. To me, it is very unlikely the Trump administration will seek to overturn the regulation. I support the provision. Americans with and without insurance are unfairly saddled with huge provider bills that are exorbitant and have no basis in cost or fact.

Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/joe-biden-bans-medical-debt-credit-scores-cfpb-donald-trump

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#medicaldebt #providers #healthcare

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5070182-medical-debt-removed-credit-reports-cfpb

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Could Trump Bring Back International Reference Pricing

Interesting Forbes article alluding to a December dinner with President-elect Trump attended by Eli Lilly CEO David Ricks. Apparently, international reference pricing to set Medicare drug prices was discussed. Subsequently, Ricks has alluded to the need to increase prices abroad in developed countries, leading some to speculate Trump could re-issue his proposal for adopting the most favored nation prices for Part B medical drugs in Medicare. At the time, Trump said he might even make the proposal applicable to Part D retail drugs in Medicare.

During the campaign, he seemed to swear off the idea, but we know Trump changes his mind. He is also obsessed by being ripped off by other nations. Drug pricing is a great example. Drug makers agree to low prices in other developed countries because America pays for the vast majority of its profits (about three-quarters). The money earned in other countries is gravy.

#drugpricing #branddrugmakers #trump #medicare #partd #partb

https://www.forbes.com/sites/joshuacohen/2025/01/03/trump-may-revisit-most-favored-nation-model-for-prescription-drug-prices

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Murkowski Supports Exchange Premium Subsidy Extensions

Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-AK, says she supports extending enhanced premium subsidies in the Exchanges because of the help it has provided people to afford coverage. Betting odds are still that the GOP-controlled Congress will allow the subsidies to expire at the end of 2025. But Murkowski’s statement leaves some hope for a long-shot, one-year extension some time in 2025.

#exchanges #aca #obamacare

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5066188-murkowski-obamacare-premium-subsidies

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