CMS Says Medicare Advantage and Part D Stable For 2025
Contrary to everything we hear on the street, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) is reporting that all is well in Medicare Advantage (MA) and the standalone Part D (PDP) program. It reports that the average monthly plan premium for all MA plans, which includes MA plans that provide prescription drug coverage and MA Special Needs Plans (SNPs), is projected to decrease from $18.23 in 2024 to $17.00 in 2025. It also says benefit options will remain stable. CMS says the average standalone Part D plan total premium is projected to decrease from $41.63 in 2024 to $40.00 in 2025 (a decrease of $1.63). This is largely due to the special demonstration program put in place by CMS when it saw standalone Part D premiums slated to skyrocket. It says approximately 99% of people with Medicare enrolled in a standalone Part D plan in 2024 are currently enrolled in a standalone Part D plan offered by a plan sponsor that opted into the demonstration for 2025. Why not – free government money! I still argue the program is extra-legal.
I tend to think CMS is painting the rosiest of pictures here. I do think there are benefit reductions, which allowed plans in major penetration areas to keep premiums stable. And likely high enrollment areas are masking the impact of benefit reductions and premium increases in certain areas that will be hit somewhat hard. There is a great deal of already reported geographic contraction, plan exits, and benefit changes from some of the nation’s largest plans. There also is some evidence of standalone Part D premium hikes in areas despite the stabilization program. If the program was able to keep weighted average premiums stable, no doubt the trend toward fewer choices, higher cost-sharing, and formulary changes will also occur.
We will see the real impact around the country come mid-October with the start of the enrollment season for 2025.
Additional articles: https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/medicare-advantage-and-medicare-prescription-drug-programs-remain-stable-cms-implements-improvements
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