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CMS Says Medicare Advantage and Part D Stable For 2025

Contrary to everything we hear on the street, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) is reporting that all is well in Medicare Advantage (MA) and the standalone Part D (PDP) program. It reports that the average monthly plan premium for all MA plans, which includes MA plans that provide prescription drug coverage and MA Special Needs Plans (SNPs), is projected to decrease from $18.23 in 2024 to $17.00 in 2025. It also says benefit options will remain stable. CMS says the average standalone Part D plan total premium is projected to decrease from $41.63 in 2024 to $40.00 in 2025 (a decrease of $1.63). This is largely due to the special demonstration program put in place by CMS when it saw standalone Part D premiums slated to skyrocket. It says approximately 99% of people with Medicare enrolled in a standalone Part D plan in 2024 are currently enrolled in a standalone Part D plan offered by a plan sponsor that opted into the demonstration for 2025. Why not – free government money! I still argue the program is extra-legal.

I tend to think CMS is painting the rosiest of pictures here. I do think there are benefit reductions, which allowed plans in major penetration areas to keep premiums stable. And likely high enrollment areas are masking the impact of benefit reductions and premium increases in certain areas that will be hit somewhat hard. There is a great deal of already reported geographic contraction, plan exits, and benefit changes from some of the nation’s largest plans. There also is some evidence of standalone Part D premium hikes in areas despite the stabilization program. If the program was able to keep weighted average premiums stable, no doubt the trend toward fewer choices, higher cost-sharing, and formulary changes will also occur.

We will see the real impact around the country come mid-October with the start of the enrollment season for 2025.

Additional articles: https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/medicare-advantage-and-medicare-prescription-drug-programs-remain-stable-cms-implements-improvements

#medicareadvantage

https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/medicare-advantage-and-medicare-prescription-drug-programs-remain-stable-cms-implements-improvements

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WSJ Editorial Wrong On FTC Lawsuit On PBMs

I agree more with the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) editorial page than not, but the newspaper was dead wrong in an editorial yesterday on the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) lawsuit against pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs).

On one hand, I understand the WSJ’s complaint that the FTC appears to be singling out the PBMs when rebates are legal in government-sponsored programs. I defend much of what PBMs do. The WSJ is right, too, that brand drug makers were effectively portrayed as victims.

The WSJ says the suit could lead to higher insurance costs and premiums, and notes that net insulin prices have come down over time. It also says PBMs should not be blamed if employer groups and health plans do not pass the rebate through to the consumer (some now do) and that rebates account for just a small share of profits. It then bemoans Obamacare for leading to vertical integration because it regulated profits via the minimum medical loss ratio (MLR) requirement.

I will have a blog soon that responds to the WSJ editorial, but quite simply WSJ has not thought out its free market position terribly well. In its rush to defend business, it misses the point that the drug channel and pricing system are anything but a free market. The opaqueness and perverse incentives in the channel raise prices and undermine competition in many ways. This leads to major costs for consumers and businesses (which pay a heavy load and need to compete in the global markets). Then there is the sheer dominance of the Big 3 PBMs. That certainly is not healthy for healthcare innovation.

At base, that is what the FTC is going after – admittedly a little clumsily. We can debate the fairness of the lawsuit on the PBMs, but change needs to occur. The WSJ should channel a little more of trustbuster Teddy Roosevelt. More soon.

#pbms #drugpricing #branddrugmakers #ftc #antitrust #consolidation #manda #mergers #acquisitions

https://www.wsj.com/opinion/federal-trade-commission-pharmacy-benefit-managers-insulin-43b0a974?st=XKDcP3&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

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STAT Opinion Piece By MA Opponents Uses Misleading Statistics

A STAT opinion piece written by two well-known opponents of Medicare Advantage (MA), Paul Ginzburg and Steve Lieberman, again uses misleading statistics to attack the program and argues MA is exorbitantly overpaid.

The authors have some recommendations, such as a move to standardization and delinking MA rate setting from the traditional fee-for-service (FFS) program over time, that could be considered with a more dispassionate discourse on the program overall. But their misleading statistics on the overpayment issue makes it difficult to take their recommendations seriously.

They argue the MA overpayment is more than $80 billion or 22%, generated by “beneficial selection” and “upcoding.” I have argued there is some over-reimbursement and that some reforms need to be made on risk adjustment. And many others have dispelled what the critics here say and what MedPAC, the congressional policy arm, constantly reports. Another misleading statistic from the authors: they argue MA profits are more than double the employer-based market. We know this is just not the case right now given the publicly disclosed financials of MA plans.

It is ironic that, just as the STAT editorial was written, another study from management consulting firm BRG finds that the new risk model being phased in MA from 2024 to 2026 will actually lead to lower MA payments vs. FFS. I peg the risk model changes as worth about 7% of revenue once fully in. There are other reforms that should be made, such as ending diagnosis code submissions in risk adjustment tied only to health risk assessments and manual chart reviews. But all of this in toto is far less than the critics’ $80 million plus overpayment numbers. BRG also pokes holes in MedPAC’s calculations and approach, which are similar to the critics.

In essence, some of the MA overpayment is being programmed out already through the risk model change, yet critics of MA look past this in favor of political arguments. It is clear that the goal of critics is to undermine MA and augment benefits in and grow the tired, fraud-ridden, and inefficient FFS system. That would be a hugely costly mistake.

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

Additional articles: https://www.statnews.com/2024/09/25/medicare-advantage-reform-cms-election-trump-harris/ and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/brg-analysis-ma-pay-declines-compared-ffs-when-accounting-ra-change

#medicareadvantage #riskadjustment #overpayments

https://ecommunication.thinkbrg.com/22/2684/uploads/comparing-ma-payments-to-ffs-spending-during-risk-model-transitions.pdf

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Major News On GLP-1 Weight-Loss Drugs

Denmark-based Novo Nordisk CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen appeared before the Senate HELP Committee today but refused to absolutely commit to reducing the price of his GLP-1 weight-loss drugs, Wegovy and Ozempic. In a usual tactic for brand drug makers, the CEO blamed pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) for the high costs of such drugs as they do not largely pass-through rebates to consumers at the point of sale. But what the CEO did not mention is that net prices for his drugs in the U.S. would still be measurably higher than in other developed countries.

Brand drug makers are making money hand over fist on their drugs and could easily solve the issue by lowering their list prices to reasonable levels and getting rid of rebates altogether. The truth is the brand drug makers and PBMs both benefit from the opaque rebate scheme. The rebate protects brand drugs’ market share.  

The CEO argued that lower costs would not ensure that PBMs would keep providing coverage if prices went down and rebates went away. The astute and indefatigable Chairman, Sen. Berine Sanders, I-VT, pushed back and said that PBMs confirmed to him that they would not suddenly change their coverage of the drugs. The CEO was skeptical.

Sanders also attacked on the issue of price disparity with other developed nations. Sanders pointed out that Americans with diabetes pay as much as $969 per month for Ozempic. The same drug can be purchased for $155 in Canada, $122 in Denmark and $59 in Germany. The Wegovy price disparity is similar. “Treat the American people the same way that you treat people all over the world,” Sanders said. “Stop ripping us off.”  Well said. Go Bernie!

As I have argued, the solution may be to outlaw rebates altogether as kickbacks. Reform the system by having all drugs be net prices and then have drugs fight for formulary space based on clinical effectiveness over others.

In other news on the GLP-1 front:

  • A group of House and Senate Democrats are backing drug pricing advocates’ idea to use a little-known patent-breaking law, which requires companies to allow the government to license drugs. The government would then allow generic drug makers to produce the drugs. A major generic maker told Sanders it could produce and sell a GLP-1 for under $100 a month.
  • Generic drug makers are asking Congress to pass more protections for generic introduction, including reforming patent thickets.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/ozempic-wegovy-novo-nordisk-pbm-pharmacy-benefit-managers-bernie-sanders and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/lawmakers-push-1498-statute-cut-glp-1-drug-prices-generic-lobby-seeks-broader-reform and https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/pharmacy/novo-nordisk-ceo-open-to-glp-1-price-drop-5-takeaways.html and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/aam-calls-action-boost-generics-market-hatch-waxman-anniversary

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#drugpricing #branddrugmakers #glp1s #weghtlossdrugs

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4897283-sanders-novo-nordisk-ceo-clash-over-weight-loss-drug-prices/

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Big Pharma Gets Partial Win in Medicare Drug Price Negotiations Case

The brand drug industry got a partial victory in a Medicare drug price negotiation lawsuit when a federal appellate court partially reversed a Texas federal district court’s decision to dismiss the brand drug lobby’s lawsuit. The higher court said the drug lobby and another entity had standing on a Fifth Amendment claim, but not on others. The district court will now have to hold a full summary judgment briefing on the merits of the plaintiffs’ Fifth Amendment due process claim. This is the only one of numerous claims that Big Pharma has won in its quest to overturn Medicare drug price negotiations.

Additional article: https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/challenge-us-drug-price-negotiation-program-revived-by-appeals-court-2024-09-20/

(Article may require a subscription.)

#drugpricing #ira #branddrugmakers

https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/fifth-circuit-remands-phrma-infusion-provider-case-against-medicare-drug-price

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Bombshell FTC Lawsuit Against PBMs

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) unveiled a bombshell lawsuit against the Big 3 pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) – CVS’ Caremark, Cigna’s Express Scripts, and United’s OptumRx – charging that the PBMs have used formulary placement and rebates to rig the system and disadvantage the American public at the point of sale. The FTC says that the PBMs use the formulary and rebate scheme to line their pockets and to attract business, leaving diabetics dependent on insulin with high prices and often an inability to pay. 

Now I have defended PBMs in the past for some of the good they do. I believe the brand drug makers are the real culprits in the drug pricing problem in America. But I also welcome the lawsuit as we need to change the drug price paradigm. Yes, prices are the main culprit and brand drug makers shoulder that blame. But the perverse rebate system also creates high prices, perverse incentives, a lack of transparency, and often means consumers get little or no benefit of discounts at the point of sale. It also materially impacts the adoption of generics and biosimilars in the market. Those rebates are kept by the PBM, health plans, or employer group clients.

In his years at the White House, Donald Trump had proposed eliminating rebates by changing the anti-kickback statute. While there are pros and cons to doing so, I wonder if the time has arrived to go this road. The current construct can no longer be countenanced.

I am a little disturbed by the sole focus on PBMs as the culprits here. Certainly, brand drug makers bear as much blame here. I do not think the so-called manipulation of the market and anti-competitive behavior is limited to the PBMs, although much of it appears to have begun with exclusionary formularies more than a decade ago. The FTC did put brand drug makers on notice they could be next, but should the FTC have waited if they were not ready to file against the brand drug makers?

I would say that the FTC faces an uphill fight to win given the posture of courts of late. But change needs to happen. The suit alone will shine a new light on the PBM transparency movement and usher forward reforms from Capitol Hill.

There is also the question of corporate responsibility. While some companies have done so, why aren’t more companies demanding in their PBM agreements that rebates get passed through at the point of sale?

PBMs and brand drug makers should get ready for the brave new world of antitrust lawsuits and activity. I think a Harris administration will be very active on this front and a Trump administration may be more active than in the past as well.

Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/ftc-formally-sues-pbms-over-insulin-prices-and-warns-manufacturers and https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/legal-regulatory-issues/ftc-sues-nations-3-largest-pbms-10-notes.html and https://www.managedhealthcareexecutive.com/view/ftc-sues-pbms-for-artificially-hiking-insulin-prices

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#pbms #drugpricing #branddrugmakers #ftc #antitrust

https://www.modernhealthcare.com/legal/express-scripts-optum-cvs-caremark-ftc-complaint-insulin

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Paragon Institute Sees Fraud In Enhanced Premium Subsidies

As Democrats are calling for the extension or permanent adoption of enhanced premium subsidies in the Exchange, the conservative Paragon Institute is arguing that the enhanced premium subsidies are creating fraud as enrollees and/or brokers misrepresent income to get better subsidies.

They say this is occurring very much in the 100% to 150% of the federal poverty level (FPL) income group, where free premiums are offered under the enhancement. Paragon says the original subsidies should be put back in place to lessen fraud. In addition, Paragon says small business coverage has eroded since the enhanced subsidies have been in effect.

There is fraud going on in the program, with brokers illegally signing people up or changing their plans. But Paragon is now raising a different issue of fraud – the true misrepresentation of income.

Paragon also raised a possible compromise. While it wants to return to the less-generous law as its preferred option, the Paragon president did suggest that existing enrollees could be grandfathered into the higher subsidies.

I favor some extension of the enhanced premium subsidies. While I do think they have become far too generous at the lower end of the income scale, no one can debate the benefit of the surge in coverage due to the enhancements. Upfront coverage is good. At the same time, no one wants fraud in the program. Perhaps a short-term grandfather may be a good compromise here so that all the issues can be sorted out and we ensure an accountable system.

(Article may require a subscription.)

#aca #obamacare #exchanges

https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/paragon-alleges-there-fraud-aca-plans-dems-push-aptc-extension

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Near Final Medicaid Redetermination Data In

The Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) has done a great public service tracking and explaining the fallout over the reintroduction of Medicaid redeterminations. While some states will carry out remaining redeterminations into 2025, we are nearing the end of the journey.

About 25 million people were disenrolled for some period of time since redeterminations began again in April 2023. There is some good news and bad news to the near-end of this redetermination story. The pause in redeterminations during the pandemic allowed rolls to grow in Medicaid and children’s health insurance to 94 million. Even with losses, almost 10 million more people are covered now than before the pandemic. At the same time, 13 million have lost Medicaid coverage since the peak. Many but not all have gained coverage in other ways.

Kaiser Family Foundation press release: https://www.kff.org/medicaid/press-release/as-medicaid-unwinding-concludes-in-most-states-kff-finds-25-million-lost-medicaid-coverage-but-enrollment-is-10-million-higher-than-pre-pandemic-levels/

#medicareadvantage #walmart #humana #primarycare

https://www.beckerspayer.com/leadership/why-centerwell-is-moving-into-walmart.html?utm_medium=email&utm_content=newsletter

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Fireworks At Senate Finance Hearing On Healthcare

Fireworks erupted at the Senate Finance hearing on various healthcare issues. Supporters of the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) Medicare drug price negotiations say it is a good first step and will reduce drug costs in the country. Opponents argue it will impact innovation and Part D changes will increase premiums.

Others attacked GOP VP candidate J.D. Vance’s explanation of what a Trump Obamacare repeal may look like – principally setting up risk pools for those who are sick. On enhanced premiums, many support their extension, but the GOP discussed the huge price tag.

Both parties seemed to favor pharmacy benefit manager reform.

#healthcare #election2024 #healthcarereform

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/lawmakers-policy-experts-spar-over-inflation-reduction-act

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JD Vance Seemingly Flips on Obamacare And Says Trump Has A Repeal Plan

As a senatorial candidate and even as a senator, GOP VP nominee JD Vance poo-pooed the idea of repealing the popular Affordable Care Act (ACA). He argued the program was helping many working Americans. It was a compassionate argument that many viewed as novel in the GOP.

But on a Sunday news show, Vance said that Trump has a repeal plan and its cornerstone appears to be the old conservative policy of removing sicker populations from most insurance and putting them in high-risk pools. Despite Vance saying people would be protected, it certainly raises the issue of what happens to people with pre-existing conditions – both from a coverage and affordability standpoint.

Such high-risk pools rarely worked as they did not protect patients with pre-existing conditions, were not funded correctly, and had exorbitant premiums. The GOP argues that community rating as introduced in Obamacare hurts healthier people by driving up premiums. But what they forget is that is how employer coverage works.

Healthcare will be a swing-state issue and Vance’s comments now will be used as campaign fodder by the Harris campaign – very appropriately as it is such a terrible policy. I will have a blog next week on the subject.

Additional article: https://thehill.com/homenews/4880616-jd-vance-donald-trump-health-care/

#aca #obamacare #aca #exchanges #trump #vance #election2024 #harris

https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/4882811-vance-health-insurance-high-risk-pools/

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