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UnitedHealth Group’s Financial Woes

UnitedHealth Group painted a bleak picture in its revised outlook for 2025. It significantly downgraded its projections for 2025 and reported a steep drop in earnings per share. Net income declined 19% to $3.4 billion.

United says it will deemphasize sales of Medicare Advantage (MA) PPOs, eliminate unprofitable MA plans in 2026 that cover more than 600,000 people, and may exit some Exchange markets in 2026.

United is seeing its MA costs spike well over forecast and they could go even higher, to as much as 10%. While most plans are hurting in MA, United’s problems seemingly came out of the blue and are right now worse than others. Costs are high in other business lines, too. Its normally strong services unit, Optum, also is feeling the pinch.

And given its continuing financial woes, Humana is offering certain employees voluntary early retirement buyouts. Employees age 50 or older with at least three years of service are eligible for the program, although those working in certain business-critical areas will be ineligible.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-humana-buyouts-voluntary-early-retirement/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-unitedhealth-group-q2-earnings-guidance/ and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/unitedhealth-2025-outlook-lower-earnings/754243/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/unitedhealth-group-sets-new-earnings-guidance-amid-19-q2-profit-dip/ and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/unitedhealth-earnings/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#unitedhealthcare #medicareadvantage #humana #margins #layoffs

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/unitedhealth-cuts-2025-outlook-elevated-medical-costs-continue-sting

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CMS Reins In Part D PDP Premium Stabilization Program

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released preliminary technical Medicare Part D bid information for contract year 2026. It released the national average monthly bid amount (NAMBA) and base beneficiary, which are used in bid preparation. CMS also announced it was again funding a special premium stabilization demonstration started in 2025 to keep premiums from rising dramatically.

The culprit for rising premiums is largely the passage of cost-sharing limits in Part D in the Democrats’ Inflation Reduction Act. The Democrats did not adequately fund the changes and therefore pushed many of the costs to plans, which then had to increase premiums and cost-sharing and make other reductions. The IRA changes have badly impacted the financial stability of the standalone Part D offerings (PDPs).

For 2026, the generosity of the demonstration will be less. In 2026, CMS is reducing the uniform base beneficiary premium reduction from $15 to $10, increasing the increase limit on a plan’s total Part D premium from $35 to $50, and eliminating the narrowed risk corridor thresholds. While PDP enrollees saw less offerings and higher costs in 2025, they will likely see more of this in 2026.

In other news, healthcare policy group KFF published a review of 2025 Medicare Advantage (MA) plans. A key finding: In 2025, more than three quarters (76%) of enrollees in individual MA plans with prescription drug coverage pay no premium other than the Medicare Part B premium.

Further, KFF also published a review of 2025 MA enrollment so far. More than half (54%) of eligible Medicare beneficiaries are enrolled in Medicare Advantage in 2025. In 2025, one in five (21%) Medicare Advantage enrollees is in a special needs plan (SNP), reflecting a steady increase in recent years. Slightly less than one in five (17% or about 5.7 million) Medicare Advantage enrollees are in a group plan offered to retirees by an employer or union.

Additional articles: https://www.kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/medicare-advantage-premiums-out-of-pocket-limits-supplemental-benefits-and-prior-authorization/ and https://www.kff.org/medicare/issue-brief/medicare-advantage-enrollment-update-and-key-trends/

#medicareadvantage #partd #pdp #specialneedsplans #snps

https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/2026-medicare-part-d-bid-information-and-part-d-premium-stabilization-demonstration-parameters

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Centene Reports Huge Loss in Q2

After pulling its earnings guidance several weeks ago, Centene announced today a $253 million loss in the second quarter as it navigates significant cost pressures. Financials will be challenging in 2026 due to Exchange and Medicaid reductions in the recent budget bill. Its medical loss ratio (MLR) was 93%. It also received lower risk adjustment transfers in the Exchange than anticipated.

Through the first six months of the year, the company brought in $95.4 billion in revenue and $1.05 billion in profit. Centene will update rates for the Exchange given higher adversity and the impact of the budget bill. It also hopes for higher Medicaid rates.

Centene is the largest Exchange plan, with 5.8 million members in 29 states, and the largest Medicaid plan, with 12.8 million members in 30 states.

Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/centene-posts-253m-loss-amid-aca-marketplace-woes and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-centene-earnings-medicaid-cuts-aca-market/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/centene-posts-253m-loss-in-q2/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#centene #medicaid #exchanges #margins

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/centene-q2-2025-loss-medicaid-aca/754014

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Could Bipartisan Healthcare Reforms Be In The Making?

Senate Republicans say they are working on a bipartisan healthcare package to lower drug and health insurance costs. Democrats say they have not been brought into the process and are skeptical.

Sen. Bill Cassidy, R-LA, who leads the HELP Committee, is leading the talks, with pharmacy benefit managers reform and stopping upcoding practices in the Medicare Advantage (MA) risk adjustment program at the top of the list of reforms. Further, a group of Republican senators, including Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, are pushing to extend the expiring Exchange enhanced premium subsidies.

It appears that even conservative Senate Finance Chair Michael D. Crapo, R-Idaho, who chairs the Senate Finance Committee, is involved.

#healthcare #riskadjustment #medicareadvanage #pbms #drugpricing

https://rollcall.com/2025/07/23/republicans-plan-bipartisan-health-package-as-democrats-demur

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With Friends Like These: No Love From GOP For Medicare Advantage

At a House Ways and Means Committee’s joint oversight and health subcommittee hearing, GOP lawmakers declared that the Medicare Advantage (MA) program needs an overhaul and private plans need to be reined in. The primary complaints were risk adjustment upcoding and prior authorization abuses. They also argued MA is not saving money as promised.

The hearing was contentious and could lead to either accelerated reforms from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) or possible inclusion of cuts in a future budget bill. But admittedly, so far Congress has not wanted to pull the trigger on MA reforms given the popularity among seniors.

In other news, a good article on the Trump administration proposal to begin some site neutral payment reform in Medicare. Some hospital-owned outpatient facilities (just off-campus outpatient facilities) would be paid the same to administer medications as physicians. CMS projects that Medicare would save $210 million and that beneficiaries would save $70 million in out-of-pocket costs next year. Clinic visits at on-campus outpatient departments could be the next area of reform.

These are baby steps. Congress is working on broader measures. Congressional policy arm MedPAC proposes very deep changes. Of course, hospitals will fight all site neutral measures because they simply do not want to reform and be efficient. But the time seems to be coming – finally.

Site neutral on Medicare fee-for-service (FFS) would help MA and commercial products as well.

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-medicare-advantage-house-hearing-upcoding/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-site-neutral-payment-cms-2026/

#hospitals #medicare #siteneutral

https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/medicare-advantage-house-hearing-upcoding-prior-auth/753726

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Oscar Health Slashes Earnings Guidance

The trend continues of large health plans surprising The Street with major slashes in guidance with little or no notice. While its Q2 investor call is not until August 6, Oscar Health announced today it is slashing its full-year guidance by about half a billion dollars. The insurer expects a loss from operations of $200 million to $300 million just months after estimating earnings from operations of $225 million to $275 million. Elevated utilization is a big culprit. Oscar’s medical loss ratio is climbing to between 86% and 87%, more than 5% higher than initially forecast.

Oscar had an operating loss of about $230 million in Q2, when analysts expected an operating profit of $55.5 million.

Oscar is a 100% Exchange plan. Revenue and margin concerns likely will continue given the expiration of the enhanced premium subsidies and enrollment tightening in a new rule and the budget reconciliation bill. Enrollment is slated to drop in 2026.

Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/oscar-health-cuts-full-year-guidance-estimates-2025-loss-aca-marketplace-stumbles and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-oscar-health-aca-marketplace-obamacare/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#oscar #exchanges #healthplans #margins

https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/oscar-health-is-latest-insurer-to-cut-earnings-guidance/

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Final Budget Score In From CBO: 10 Million To Lose Coverage

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act that President Donald Trump signed into law on Independence Day will add $3.4 trillion to the national debt from 2025 to 2034. This is from the final scoring of the bill from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The estimated deficit rise reflects $1.1 trillion in cuts to direct spending and a $4.5 trillion government revenue loss due to extended and new tax cuts.

CBO also projects the number of uninsured individuals will increase by 10 million by 2034 due to the Medicaid and Exchange reductions in the bill. This is about 2 million less than previously estimated due to some provisions being ruled unallowable by the Senate parliamentarian. Adding the expected 4.2 million to lose coverage when the enhanced Exchnage subsidies expire December 31 as well the 900,000 to lose coverage due to the just finalized Exchange rule, a total of just over 15 million will lose coverage as opposed to about 17 million.

Healthcare cuts are about $1.1 trillion over ten years, with $964 billion cut from Medicaid and $124 billion from the Exchanges.

In terms of Medicaid, limitations, and phasedown on provider taxes as well as limits on state directed payments save $392 billion and work requirements save $326 billion.

In addition, more than half of Americans — 57 percent — said in a new CBS/YouGov poll that they think the GOP’s budget bill will increase their health-care costs.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/trump-tax-law-medicaid-cbo/ and https://thehill.com/business/5412262-biden-bill-adds-3-4-trillion-deficits/?tbref=hp and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5411435-gop-megabill-health-care-costs-survey/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#budgetreconciliation #trump #congress #spending #medicaid #coverage #exchanges

https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/hospital-management-administration/one-big-beautiful-bill-to-add-3-4t-in-debt-cbo

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Humana Loses Stars Lawsuit

Humana’s lawsuit on Star calculations was thrown out of court this week. The judge indicated that the plan did not exhaust internal appeals processes at the time of the filing and thus the suit did not have standing. The suit could be refiled, though. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) later rejected Humana’s appeal.

Humana’s suit was far-reaching and pointed. It said CMS did not follow its own regulations in its methodology for calculating ratings and said the agency does not provide plans the necessary data to calculate aspects of Star ratings. As an example, Humana said it could not replicate 60% of CMS’ cut point calculations.

Humana’s average Star score fell from 4.37 in 2024 to 3.63 for 2025.

Despite the lawsuit outcome, Humana is not wrong in its premise that inadequate data and a lack of transparency pervades the Star process. While the agency has gotten better about releasing and explaining aspects of the complex Star calculations, aspects remain a black box.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-humana-medicare-advantage-lawsuit-dismissed/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/legal/judge-dismisses-humanas-medicare-advantage-star-ratings-lawsuit/ and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/humana-medicare-advantage-star-ratings-lawsuit-dismissed/753455/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#stars #cms #humana #medicareadvantage #quality

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/humana-joins-chorus-lawsuits-over-sinking-star-ratings

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Democratic States Challenge Exchange Rule Finalization

Democratic states sued the Trump administration today over the finalization of the Exchange rule that will significantly tighten the enrollment season and dampen eligibility. Provisions in the budget reconciliation bill will further clampdown on enrollment.

The states are arguing that the administration did not follow all regulatory rules before finalization and that the rule is arbitrary and capricious. They also argue that the changes will boost the uninsured rate and cost states a great deal of money.

In related news, the administration supplied data on improper enrollments in government programs. Analyzing 2024 enrollment data, the administration found 1.2 million enrolled in Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program in multiple states, and 1.6 million enrolled in one of those programs and an Exchange plan. Data-sharing and procedural requirements in the budget bill seek to further address this issue.

As well, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) said it won’t approve or renew state programs to promote multiyear, continuous Medicaid enrollment or health professional workforce development. Nine states have continuous enrollment waivers for children and eight states have them for adults. 

Last, some lawmakers want to help out Medicare doctors by revisiting the Medicare rate fix in the budget reconciliation bill. The House version had a better solution (although it was by no means perfect), but it was watered down by the Senate to a one-time override increase for 2026. Some suggest Medicare Advantage (MA) upcoding in risk adjustment could help pay for any changes.

Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/legal/mh-aca-final-rule-lawsuit/ and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5407442-democratic-ags-sue-trump-administration-obamacare-changes/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/cms-2-8m-people-have-enrolled-in-medicaid-aca-plans-in-multiple-states/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-1115-waivers-medicaid-enrollment-cms/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/cms-to-end-medicaid-continuous-eligibility-waivers-5-things-to-know/ and https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/cms-warns-states-new-medicaid-waiver-expectations and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-medicare-doctor-pay-tax-law/

(Some articles may require a subscription.)

#medicaid #exchanges #chip #1115waivers #coverage #healthcare #cms #budgetreconciliation #medicare #providers #primarycare

https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/states-challenge-aca-final-rule-cms-rolls-out-new-duplicative-enrollment-data

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Employers Could Transfer Costs to Employees

While there has been some increased costs for employees the past few years, employers attempted to shelter much of the huge trend in employer healthcare costs from their employees. Given ongoing trends, that is likely about to change.

Analysts at Mercer polled 711 employers and found that 51% said they are likely or very likely to shift costs to employees in 2026. That’s up from 45% in 2025. About 19% said they were very likely to shift costs and 33% said they were likely to do so in 2026.

More than half of employers are likely or very likely to make plan design changes that will shift more cost sharing to employees in 2026.

Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/mercer-survey-employers-may-make-return-healthcare-cost-shifting-strategies

#employercoverage #healthcare #coverage

https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/employers-plan-to-shift-more-healthcare-costs-to-employees-2026-10-things-to-know

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