House Passes Reconciliation Bill; On To An Uncertain Fate In Senate
(UPDATED 5/22 AM)
The House threaded the needle and passed the budget reconciliation bill on a tight 215-to-214 vote. Two Republicans voted against the bill, and one voted present to get the bill to pass. The vote was a result of a marathon session and backroom arm-twisting by President Trump, House Speaker Mike Johnson, and other House GOP leaders. President Trump met with the caucus this week and laid down the law, telling moderates to drop their SALT demands (they did to some degree) and conservatives not to “f—” with Medicaid.
The House leaders thread the needle by a mix of further concessions and appealing to party unity. The conservatives wanted additional Medicaid structural changes and accelerated reductions. They were conceded acceleration of work requirements from 2029 to essentially 2027. It is likely impossible for states to do so that quickly.
House moderates cut a deal to further raise the state and local tax (SALT) deduction limit put in place in 2017, but watering down of Medicaid reductions did not occur. The conservatives received some more spending cuts to close the increase in the deficit created by the last-minute SALT change.
Each side was told that was it and they must support the bill given the importance to the GOP and the nation. Further, the president gave commitments to issue additional executive orders to address some spending and Medicaid concerns.
Now the Senate must grapple with passing the bill. It is philosophically opposed to the mammoth nature of the bill. The GOP likely has a solid no vote in deficit hawk Rand Paul of Kentucky. He will hate the deficit impacts. And there are between 5 and 7 moderates or pragmatic conservatives who right now are very concerned about the level of Medicaid cuts. Most can stomach work requirements, but others are concerned about the impact to reimbursement to states and the impact to coverage, especially related to provider tax reform.
The sequestration provisions hidden in the bill could trigger future healthcare cuts beyond what are strictly outlined, including in Medicare.
There is still a long way to go, but the House shockingly got its business done by the self-imposed Memorial Day deadline.
Additional articles: https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5312796-thune-may-fight-medicaid-cuts/ and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/house-gop-meets-wh-over-reconciliation-issues-johnson-strives-wednesday-night-vote and https://www.beckerspayer.com/policy-updates/gop-budget-bill-could-slash-medicare-by-45b-in-2026/ and https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5312712-house-gop-bill-medicare-cuts/ and https://thehill.com/business/5309473-trump-tax-policies-national-debt/?tbref=hp and https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5313019-salt-medicaid-house-republicans-trump-bill/ .
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#budgetreconciliation #trump #congress #medicaid #coverage #spending
https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5313198-house-passes-trump-big-beautiful-bill
