Conservative Rebellion On Budget Bill
Conservative House members on the Budget Committee sent shock waves through the Capitol Friday when they stopped advancement of the budget reconciliation bill over a lack of sufficient spending cuts. In some ways, the meltdown could be predicted, but the fact that the five conservatives defied the wishes of the president and leaders showed just how fragile the GOP’s hold on Congress is.
Speaker Mike Johnson already had a huge issue on his hands when it came to moderates from Blue states asking to increase state and local tax reductions. Now, he has the conservatives off the bill, which could then spur more moderate concern if cuts go deeper.
Principally, the conservatives want work requirements to be imposed much earlier than 2029 and to see tighter eligibility in Medicaid. They complain that cuts are backloaded and spending front-loaded. The bill will be discussed behind the scenes this weekend and another vote could happen.
Then you have the Senate GOP, which has major disagreements with the House bill. And in the upper chamber, there are moderates and pragmatic conservatives concerned about Medicaid and other cuts and conservatives who are budget and deficit hawks. Like the House conservatives, the latter want a deficit-neutral bill.
Healthcare policy group KFF has a good analysis of the Medicaid reduction measures in the bill. Most of the reductions come in three broad categories (about $600B of $625B in total reductions over 10 years):
- Mandating that adults who are eligible for Medicaid through the Affordable Care Act (ACA) expansion meet work and reporting requirements ($300.8 billion); and
- Repealing the Biden Administration’s rule simplifying Medicaid eligibility and renewal processes ($162.7 billion); and
- Eligibility redeterminations for expansion group ($49.0 billion); and
- Establishing a moratorium on new or increased provider taxes ($86.8 billion).
KFF also finds $625 billion over 10 years is about 20% of state financed Medicaid per resident. States have unequal impacts and a lot is dependent on how each state responds to the changes and reductions from a policy and budget perspective. KFF says impacts from 6% to 50% per state.
Additional articles: https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/hardliners-doom-budget-committee-s-first-crack-reconciliation-another-vote-planned-sunday and https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/senate-republicans-put-house-notice-wont-accept-trump-agenda-bill-chan-rcna206705 and https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5304719-trump-agenda-house-republicans/ and https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5304514-these-republicans-voted-against-advancing-trumps-big-beautiful-bill/ and https://www.kff.org/medicaid/issue-brief/state-level-context-for-federal-medicaid-cuts-of-625-billion-and-enrollment-declines-of-10-3-million/
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#budgetreconciliation #medicaid #coverage #spending #trump #congress
https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/gop-tax-bill-blocked-medicaid-cuts
