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January 15, 2025

Overall Record Enrollment in ACA Programs As discussions are opening up in 2025 on whether enhanced premium subsidies are extended or not, the Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) released a new analysis that said in 2024 Affordable Care Act (ACA) enrollment was 44 million. This includes federal and state Exchange Marketplaces, Medicaid expansions (ten states have not expanded), and the Basic Health Plan (in a small number of states). In 2024, Exchange Marketplace enrollment hit a record of 21.4 million people. Medicaid expansion enrollment was 21.3 million in 2024. Basic Health Plan enrollment in 2024 was 1.3 million. Exchange enrollment in 2025 will hit at least 24 million, so those helped via the ACA will actually be about 47 million. These gains could be reduced over the next several years if the enhanced rebates expire at the end of 2025, if the Exchange benefits and subsidies are changed in other ways,

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January 14, 2025

Outgoing Biden FTC Fires Another Shot At PBMs CVS Caremark, Express Scripts and OptumRx – the Big 3 pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) — dramatically mark up specialty generic drugs to affiliated pharmacies, according to a new report from the Federal Trade Commission (FTC). This is the second of two scathing reports. The FTC analyzed 51 specialty generic drugs from 2017 to 2022 and found that the PBMs’ affiliated pharmacies acquired $7.3 billion in excess revenue when compared to the National Average Drug Acquisition Cost (NADAC), an estimate of what it costs a pharmacy to acquire a drug. Further, the report says the conclusion could be an underestimation. PBMs generally defended themselves by saying that the report is misleading because it is based on a subset of drugs, that clients not PBMs choose networks, and they bring many savings to the system. But the report does show that PBM-affiliated pharmacy dispensing

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January 13, 2025

MA Pay Hike Inadequate; Physicians Upset Health plans stocks did well on the news that Medicare Advantage (MA) rate hikes would improve in 2026, but many are still calling the increase inadequate and hope the incoming Trump administration will offer more relief. Advocates for MA are saying individual plan offerings will still have to decrease in 2026 after a major contraction in 2025. See my blog today digesting the announcement: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/calling-all-plans-advance-notice-released-for-2026-ma-and-part-d-rates-and-other-policies/ . In related news, physicians are very upset that health plans will see an increase while they will see a fifth year of reductions. Docs feel plans are getting preferential treatment. I see the docs’ point. In other news, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) want to continue a premium stabilization program for standalone Part D (PDP) plans. A spike in premiums would have occurred without the program. Republicans think the program could be extra-legal (as I

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Calling All Plans: Advance Notice Released For 2026 MA and Part D Rates And Other Policies

Some relief with positive hike, but rate increase still inadequate On Friday, the outgoing Biden administration released its Advance Notice for Medicare Advantage (MA) and Part D rates and other policy changes for 2026. I have reviewed the 180-page Advance Notice, CMS Fact Sheet, and CMS Press Release. Below are the key highlights. The advance notice will be finalized by early April. I will publish a comprehensive Stars roadmap blog on Thursday in conjunction with Lilac Software. This will detail all the proposed Star measure changes, updates, and information discussed in the advance notice. MA rate proposal It is likely that MA plans and investors will see the proposed rates for 2026 with some relief. After two years, it appears MA plans could see a real revenue increase rather than the decreases they saw in 2024 and 2025. But as plans and financial analysts take a deeper look, the proposal

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January 10, 2025

2026 MA Proposed Rate Announced The outgoing Biden administration has released its Advance Notice for 2026 rates and other policy changes. I quickly reviewed the 180-page Advance Notice, the CMS Fact Sheet, and CMS Press Release. Here are some highlights and Healthcare Labyrinth will have more information on rates and Star changes next week. My summary: The announcement is progress for MA plans and will be a bit of a relief for insurers and investors. But this still is a very skimpy increase given all the MA world is facing. It could mean a third year in MA benefit cuts. Details: — CMS says MA rates go up by 4.33%. But plans will take issue with including a risk score trend of 2.1% in the calculation. Plans will say they will get closer to a 2.23% because plans do not count the coding increase as a real revenue increase. They

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January 9, 2025

Musk Calls Out Goals For DOGE Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who is co-leader of Donald Trump’s proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission, said that the best-case scenario would be to put together $2 trillion in cuts to federal spending. He said that then DOGE would have a good shot at executing $1 trillion in reductions. Whether the goal is a real $1 trillion or $2 trillion, it is clear that healthcare program cuts will play a big role in spending reductions. #doge #government #spending #trump #congress #healthcare https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5076095-elon-musk-doge-2t-spending-cut-goal/?tbref=hp Generic Drug Lobby Worried About Tariffs The U.S. generic drug lobby is worried about the imposition of tariffs and wants to convince the incoming Trump administration such tariffs would hurt efforts to lower drug prices. The Lobby is also pushing for so-called “skinny” labeling, biosimilar automatic interchangeability, and patent reform. (Article may require a subscription.) #drugpricing #generics #tariffs #trump #biosimilars #patents

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What Could Healthcare Spending Cuts Look Like?

Trump’s goal of extending the 2017 tax cuts could have major implications for healthcare In Monday’s blog, I told you that the incoming Trump administration will be dominated by budget matters in 2025, with an effort to find enough savings to extend the 2017 tax cuts. The proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission seems dedicated to a fundamental remake of government, programs, and regulations. While the Republican or GOP control of both Houses is tight, leaders and the rank-and-file seem ready to hitch their wagons to Trump and his agenda. But as I noted Monday, process and procedures could create challenges. With all this in mind, what might healthcare cut proposals look like? The DOGE, Trump, and congressional GOP lists will likely be culled from various sources including governmental authorities and outside conservative think tanks. The lists below include proposals from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and a number

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January 8, 2025

Exchange Enrollment Hits Record With about a week left of enrollment, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) said that the Exchanges have reached yet another record enrollment number after mostly lagging during the enrollment season. More than 23 million people have selected coverage. There are 3.2 million new enrollees. Of the people who have signed up so far, 16.7 million found coverage on the federal Exchange, with 6.9 million on the state Exchanges. This is the fourth consecutive year of enrollment records. Enhanced premium subsidies expire at the end of 2025, which could dramatically impact enrollment. Today congressional Republicans declined to say they would simply let the subsidies expire. Instead, they expect the issue to emerge during talks to extend the Trump tax cuts and the reconciliation process. I still see this as a long shot, but it is bolstered by Sen. Lisa Murkowski’s advocacy for continuation of the enhancements.

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January 7, 2025

Biden Administration Finalizes Medical Debt Provision The federal Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued finalized regulations barring medical debts on credit reports. The rule bans credit agencies from including medical debts on consumers’ credit reports and prohibit lenders from considering medical information in assessing borrowers. To me, it is very unlikely the Trump administration will seek to overturn the regulation. I support the provision. Americans with and without insurance are unfairly saddled with huge provider bills that are exorbitant and have no basis in cost or fact. Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/joe-biden-bans-medical-debt-credit-scores-cfpb-donald-trump (Some articles may require a subscription.) #medicaldebt #providers #healthcare https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5070182-medical-debt-removed-credit-reports-cfpb Medtech Bracing For Tariffs Under Trump Medtech companies are bracing for imposition of tariffs (of at least 25%) on medical devices once Donald Trump takes office. This could drive costs up in the healthcare arena as a majority of devices are manufactured overseas. The industry also says this could impact innovation. The

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January 6, 2025

Could Trump Bring Back International Reference Pricing Interesting Forbes article alluding to a December dinner with President-elect Trump attended by Eli Lilly CEO David Ricks. Apparently, international reference pricing to set Medicare drug prices was discussed. Subsequently, Ricks has alluded to the need to increase prices abroad in developed countries, leading some to speculate Trump could re-issue his proposal for adopting the most favored nation prices for Part B medical drugs in Medicare. At the time, Trump said he might even make the proposal applicable to Part D retail drugs in Medicare. During the campaign, he seemed to swear off the idea, but we know Trump changes his mind. He is also obsessed by being ripped off by other nations. Drug pricing is a great example. Drug makers agree to low prices in other developed countries because America pays for the vast majority of its profits (about three-quarters). The money

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