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September 28, 2026

Medicare Advantage Will See Huge Changes Again in 2027 The Trump administration is putting the best spin possible on a continuing retrenchment in the Medicare Advantage (MA) industry. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) announced that weighted average MA premiums are projected to fall more than 16% from 2026 to 2027, with MA prescription drug (MA-PD) premiums set to decrease by 38% year-over-year. Additionally, CMS said average premium for standalone Part D prescription drug plans is projected to rise by less than $1 per month in 2027. The industry certainly has a different narrative. While it is true that MA remains broadly available, there is little doubt that benefits are being further diminished and that more plan terminations are occurring. This is evident in the landscape file release. A Becker’s Payer article gives an overview of the retrenchment still occurring. MA choice will go down in 29 of

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Medicaid Quality Finally Gets a Stars-Like Wake-Up Call

CMS and 37 states are taking a hard look at Medicaid quality measurement. The opportunity is much bigger than simply eliminating paperwork. For years, Medicaid has had a quality problem. There has been no shortage of quality measures, reports, audits, core sets, HEDIS measures and external quality reviews. The problem is that all of that measurement has not necessarily translated into better health outcomes. Now, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) is trying to change that. On September 25, CMS announced its Investing in Health Outcomes initiative, with 37 states signing a voluntary Medicaid Quality Pledge. Those states represent approximately 56 million Medicaid and CHIP beneficiaries and about $701 billion in Medicaid spending during fiscal year 2024. The focus is long overdue. A CMS analysis of Medicaid managed care programs across 42 states found approximately 450 quality reporting requirements representing about 260 unique quality measures. Many focus on

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September 25, 2026

Trump Admin Strikes Deal With 42 States On Improving Medicaid Quality The Trump administration has announced that 42 states will partners with the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services to rethink how quality is measured in Medicaid and the children’s health program (CHIP). CMS said the partnership will put health outcomes “at the center of how success is defined” and streamline hundreds of reporting requirements. The initial state participants have about 56 million Medicaid and CHIP beneficiaries and account for roughly $701 billion in fiscal 2024 Medicaid spending. At the center will be streamlining quality measure inventories, adopting digital quality measurement with near-real-time data when possible, and aligning financial accountability with outcomes measures. The program lines up incredibly well with efforts to boost lagging Medicaid outcome performance, interoperability, as well as migrate all government programs to a universal foundation of measures. Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/37-states-partner-cms-initiative-rethink-medicaid-quality-measures and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/cms-refocuses-medicaid-quality-health-outcomes-launches-innovative-partnership-37-states #quality #medicaid #cms https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/legal-regulatory-issues/cms-launches-medicaid-quality-pledge-with-37-states/

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August to September 2026 Medicare Advantage Enrollment

September enrollment shows a dramatic slowing going into open enrollment, with SNPs a majority of the increase In a February 16 blog, I detailed the growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) from February 2025 to February 2026 after a delay from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) in posting the annual data. As I noted, the January enrollment statistics in both years seemed off so many analysts are comparing February to February each year. Each month since then, I have updated with monthly growth numbers. Now, we have September results. For those who may have missed earlier blogs, I am refreshing on some of the annual results. The annual statistics show some of the financial struggles the industry continues to have. Annual growth is way down compared with prior years in the 2020s due to major geographic contractions as well as plan benefit reductions by major MA players the

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September 24, 2026

Will Vertical Integration Be A Focus? An interesting Becker’s Payer article indicating vertical integration will become a strong focus. Recently, late-night TV host John Oliver tore into the inner workings of huge vertically integrated company UnitedHealth Group. The article notes that UnitedHealth is now the fourth-largest company in the world by revenue, taking in $447 billion last year, up 11.8% year over year. It reported ten significant subsidiaries down from a reported 2,700 a short time ago. Vertical integration is not unique to United. While health plan execs have defended vertical integration it is increasingly being looked at by Congress and federal agencies. Sens. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., and Josh Hawley, R-Mo., introduced the Break Up Big Medicine Act, which would prevent companies from simultaneously owning a health insurer or pharmacy benefit manager and a provider or management services organization. #verticalintegration #healthplans #unitedhealthcare https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/as-vertical-integration-scrutiny-grows-unitedhealth-takes-center-stage/ Oz Says AI Will Cost More In

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September 23, 2026

MedPAC Chair Defends MA Analysis Dr. Amol Navathe, the new chair of congressional Medicare policy arm MedPAC, defended the work and Medicare Advantage over-reimbursement estimates of his organization. He doubled down on MedPAC’s view that MA is reimbursed 14% more than what is spent in traditional fee-for-service (FFS). Critics of MedPAC, including me, stand by our assessment that MedPAC is relying on old data that does not recognize risk adjustment reforms and updates. In addition, MedPAC has picked up some spurious academic analyses on so-called favorable selection and has essentially adopted them as fact. The chairman himself is an academic and his defense of this process is expected. Republicans in Congress are challenging MedPAC’s way of thinking, considering a bill to force MedPAC to broaden its viewpoints, including definitively setting aside the favorable selection argument. As MedPAC always does, it says it will open the doors and encourage engagement, but

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September 22, 2026

Trump Admin To Disenroll 760K From Exchange The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) canceled 315,000 health insurance Exchange enrollments covering more than 760,000 people. CMS says these enrollments were unlawful and that the rescissions are part of its anti-fraud campaign. The agency said the government will save $2.2 billion in premium subsidies.  In addition, CMS said it will terminate more than 200 agents and brokers that have failed to comply with enrollment standards. Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/cms-cancel-aca-coverage-760k-crack-down-brokers-latest-anti-fraud-push and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-cms-aca-enrollment-fraud/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-aca-broker-enrollment-freeze/ and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/6104381-vance-oz-aca-obamacare-crackdown/ #exchanges #healthcare #coverage #enrollment https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/cms-cancels-aca-policies-for-760000-people-freezes-broker-registrations/ Appeals Court Sides With Plans In NSA Suit A federal appeals court ruled that a plastic surgery practice cannot sue Cigna to collect more than $3 million it won through the No Surprises Act’s (NSA) arbitration process. The court says the No Surprises Act gives providers a right to be paid but leaves enforcement to the Labor Department, the Treasury Department,

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September 21, 2026

ICHRAs Slated To Grow Demonstrably Federal officials have rebranded individual coverage health reimbursement arrangements (ICHRAs) as CHOICE arrangements. While the name change is recent, new news that ICHRAs are slated to grow demonstrably. Oscar Health CEO Mark Bertolini projected during the company’s investor day that the ICHRA market will reach 2.5 million members by 2029, a 400% increase. It stands now at about 500,000. States are passing laws to encourage the provision of healthcare. Three states are offering tax credits to employers providing ICHRA funds to workers, while other states are considering different methods to drive adoption. #ichras #healthcare #coverage https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-ichra-choice-mehmet-oz-indiana-georgia/ NSA Arbitration Crippling Employer Groups A new study from the ERISA Industry Committee finds that self-funded employers are facing the brunt of costs from the poorly designed and very provider-friendly No Surprises Act (NSA) arbitration process. Almost 90% of decisions are made in favor of providers and awards are

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Trump Publicly Holding Firm On AI Regulation, But Shows Concern Just The Same

Despite the bombast, growing concern at the White House on AI Last week, I wrote an in-depth blog here ( https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/ai-in-healthcare-innovate-but-with-guardrails/) urging a risk-based guardrail approach to AI regulation in light of Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s plea for an AI oversight game plan. At the time, President Donald Trump dismissed the calls, arguing the fears are overblown and we cannot lose the AI race to China. Trump continues to call the concerns a hoax and fabrication, but there is now reason to believe that the White House really does see apparent risks. On Saturday, with much fanfare, Trump announced that he is creating a new “AI Force” similar to the Space Force as well as appointing an AI czar “to regulate and grow artificial intelligence.” Although Trump does not acknowledge it, it is a bit of a flip-flop. The administration is known to be deeply divided on the potential risks

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September 18, 2026

More Signs of Medicare Advantage Retrenchment A number of plans have already signaled more retrenchment in Medicare Advantage (MA) in 2027. More exits are now being announced. Molina Healthcare will no longer sell Medicare plans in Connecticut, Mississippi, and Nevada. Earlier it said it will get rid of all mainstream, non-Special Needs Plans (SNPs) in 2027. It will also drop SNPs in those three states. In addition, Health Care Service Corp. (HCSC) plans to exit the Connecticut, New York and District of Columbia MA next year. HCSC will cut its Healthspring-branded MA footprint to 450 counties in 2027 from 580 this year. HCSC reported a $4.57 billion underwriting loss last year. Not too many years ago, HCSC purchased the MA line from Cigna. It may exit 11 additional markets. Last, CMS will allow MA plans to expand their service areas midyear when acquiring a competitor. The change is out of

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