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May 19, 2025

House Budget Committee Advances Reconciliation Bill After a high-profile defeat Friday, the House Budget Committee advanced the budget reconciliation bill with $625 billion in Medicaid reductions Sunday night. Four House Freedom conservatives in the GOP caucus voted present to advance the bill, apparently with commitments that changes will be made to the bill. A prominent conservative, Chip Roy, said work requirements would be accelerated. He also mentioned the need for steeper provider tax cuts and a rollback of the enhanced reimbursement for the Medicaid expansion. If all House moderates are on the bill now (a big if), they would likely jump off with steeper Medicaid cuts. Providers and doctors are sounding the alarm on coverage losses, lower state dollars, administrative costs, and red tape. Health policy group KFF published two briefs: one on the 15 states that would be impacted with lower reimbursement if they maintain undocumented immigrants and the

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April to May 2025 Medicare Advantage Enrollment

Medicare Advantage (MA) growth continues but with continuing softness in Big MA A quick blog to tell you about enrollment growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) from April 2025 to May 2025. MA growth slowed down from 2024 to 2025 because of the financial woes of the MA industry. But the rolls are still growing due to aging and the popularity and value of MA compared with the archaic traditional Medicare (fee-for-service) program. What do the latest statistics show? Growth from January 2024 to February 2025 was 4.39% or 1.468 million. (I used February 2025 because of issues with the January 2025 statistics). Enrollment in MA reached 34.941M in February 2025. In May 2025, it reached 35.242M. MA enrollment grew about 80K from April to May and about 301K from February to May. How did Big MA do? From January 2024 to February 2025, Big MA (big national plans) enrollment performed

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May 16, 2025

Conservative Rebellion On Budget Bill Conservative House members on the Budget Committee sent shock waves through the Capitol Friday when they stopped advancement of the budget reconciliation bill over a lack of sufficient spending cuts. In some ways, the meltdown could be predicted, but the fact that the five conservatives defied the wishes of the president and leaders showed just how fragile the GOP’s hold on Congress is. Speaker Mike Johnson already had a huge issue on his hands when it came to moderates from Blue states asking to increase state and local tax reductions. Now, he has the conservatives off the bill, which could then spur more moderate concern if cuts go deeper. Principally, the conservatives want work requirements to be imposed much earlier than 2029 and to see tighter eligibility in Medicaid. They complain that cuts are backloaded and spending front-loaded. The bill will be discussed behind the

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May 15, 2025

Budget Reconciliation Saga House Freedom Caucus members could sink the budget reconciliation bill coming out of the Budget Committee for lack of enough reductions and weak Medicaid policy changes. Conservatives are pushing for an acceleration of work requirements from the current plan targeted for 2029. At the same time, moderates are upset with the scope of Medicaid reductions. House Speaker Mike Johnson also said that the proposed bill would be changed to enhance state and local tax deductions as well as increase Medicaid savings. But the latter could further upset moderates. The current reductions fall disproportionately on states, which will have to make up hundreds of millions of reimbursement reductions, as well as enrollees, who could lose coverage. Another controversy is ambiguous language regarding provider taxes. While new provider taxes are barred, it is unclear how long existing taxes would be grandfathered or whether renewing current provider taxes would be

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Trump Goes All In On Drug Price Reform

I often disagree with Donald Trump on policy, but not on his drug price reform proposals I am a Republican, but Donald Trump and I seemingly agree on very few things these days. But I am here to tell you that Donald Trump is exactly right on drug prices and his recent executive orders could be seminal events for drug price reform and healthcare reform more broadly in America. Over the past many months, I have been writing about what I think are Trump’s populist credentials to be a leading reformer on drug pricing. I predicted that he would be bold. And by any measure, he has been. In my April 21 blog, I praised Trump for his initial executive order on drug price reform. It was clearly well thought out and comprehensive. It showed a sophisticated and nuanced understanding of how drug markets work — or don’t work if

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May 14, 2025

Medicaid Cuts Advance In House After a marathon overnight hearing where lawmakers literally fell asleep in their chairs, the House Energy & Commerce Committee advanced on a party-line vote deep Medicaid spending reductions in the budget reconciliation process. The cuts amount to $624 billion in Medicaid over 10 years. New provider tax bans, cost-sharing for certain populations, and work requirements are some of the largest reductions. Democrats proposed to tackle Medicare Advantage (MA) overpayments instead. They, too, wanted to use savings from President Trump’s recent executive order to reduce drug pricing. While the reductions advanced, a deep divide is quickly emerging. Moderates and conservatives are still at odds in the House. Conservatives claimed that the reductions are not deep enough, while many moderates could be off the bill due to the existing Medicaid cuts. Some moderates and pragmatic conservatives in the Senate are also concerned about the Medicaid cuts. In

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May 13, 2025

Providers React To Medicaid Cuts Protests broke out at the Capitol and providers and advocates reacted to Medicaid reductions in a draft framework of the budget reconciliation bill. Provider taxes are especially getting attention. The bill proposes to freeze all new provider taxes, while a proposed administration rule would rein in what the administration calls provider-tax waivers that violate the spirit of the law. Limits on state directed payments, often funded by provider taxes, would occur as well in the reconciliation bill. In other news, the Trump administration says it plans on revisiting the mental health parity rule. In addition, doctors appear to be on the verge of some relief in terms of a Medicare physician rate fix. While no relief will be granted in 2025, in 2026 rates would increase by about 2.25% and future increases would be linked to the Medicare Economic Index, which generally rises faster than

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May 12, 2025

Trump Backs MFN Drug Pricing President Donald Trump expanded his drug reform proposals today by announcing an executive order that seeks to implement the strictest form of international reference pricing (IRP) known as most favored nation (MFN) status pricing. Americans would receive the lowest price for a drug offered anywhere in the world. It appears that the proposal would be for all Americans – across Medicaid, Medicare, and commercial products. Trump said in a social media post that savings would be 30% to 80%. Another report narrowed the number to 59%. Trump said that the most expensive drugs would perhaps be attacked first. His MFN proposal builds on a rule he attempted to implement for Medicare Part B medical drugs back in Trump 45. It was eventually rescinded by the Biden administration after being struck in court. While the idea was good, it did have many implementation challenges. At the

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Could Medicare Advantage Overpayments Be Considered To Offset Deep Medicaid Cuts?

Risk adjustment reform in Medicare Advantage could be put on the budget reconciliation table As I told you recently, the budget reconciliation process is mired down. There are a number of contentious points, including state and local taxation deductions and Medicaid spending cuts. At least on the Medicaid issues, moderates are lining up against conservatives and the prospects of a quick and successful bill passage are becoming more and more remote. Conservatives in each chamber, but more so in the House, want two core things on the spending front. They want enough spending reductions to pay for the extension of the 2017 Trump tax cuts. In addition, they think Medicaid is growing far too much and want to rein it in with deep structural reforms. Conservatives may lose on their Medicaid reform point if a bill is to pass, but the GOP may be looking for more spending reductions outside

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May 9, 2025

Medicare and Medicaid Cover GLP-1s For Disease States Other Than Obesity The Hill has a good article explaining what the coverage of GLP-1s is in Medicare and Medicaid. Generally, GLP-1s are covered for disease states such as diabetes and cardiovascular diseases, but not for obesity alone. In the commercial world, some employers cover the drugs for obesity alone. In addition, drugmakers Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk market their GLP-1 drugs under different names. Here is the skinny so to speak. The brand drug makers are looking to expand these drugs to other disease states. Novo Nordisk: Ozempic – for treatment of diabetes Wegovy – for weight loss and cardiovascular disease Eli Lilly: Mounjaro – for treatment of diabetes Zepbound – for weight loss and certain sleep apnea. #branddrugmakers #drugpricing #glp1s #weightlossdrugs https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5290997-medicare-medicaid-coverage-weight-loss-drugs CVS Being Sued Over Alleged Fraud Four state attorneys general are suing CVS Health and its pharmacies for

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