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May 1, 2025

Trump Meets House Leaders On Medicaid Cuts President Donald Trump met with House GOP leaders to discuss Medicaid reductions. Trump said he opposes Medicaid coverage cuts but would support efforts to rein in fraud, waste, and abuse. But Trump has given little word about what would violate his pledge to protect Medicaid. Conservatives want deep cuts and have sent a letter to colleagues saying they want “meaningful reforms” in budget reconciliation. They singled out reducing the Medicaid expansion enhanced reimbursement. Moderates are lining up against reductions, with moderate Don Bacon saying he is leaning against reductions in federal matching funds or provider tax changes. Bacon did say he would support up to $500 million in cuts over the ten-year window. He would support work requirements, more frequent eligibility, and bars on the undocumented. In other news, a poll from healthcare policy group KFF finds that large majorities of Americans, including

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The Economist Says Hospitals Are Major Culprits For High Healthcare Costs

The British news magazine is on point as to the inefficiency of hospitals My favorite news magazine, The Economist, had a great article on U.S. healthcare in its March 22, 2025 edition. The title said it all: “For all they care: How hospitals inflate America’s giant healthcare bill.” It is a subject I write about often and The Economist told it as well as anyone could. Let’s summarize what the magazine wrote and I will give you a few additional insights. As The Economist asks, who is to blame for the enormous costs in the American healthcare system, which are twice the average of other wealthy countries and yet outcomes are no better (actually far worse)? As the magazine notes, many point to drug makers and health plans. But The Economist featured hospitals as the major culprit. The Economist calls attention to the following key facts: The Economist blames the

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April 30, 2025

Humana Stuns With Great Numbers In Recovery Humana stunned investors with great Q1 recovery numbers, well above what investors had expected. The company beat earnings expectations for the first quarter and reaffirmed its 2025 guidance. Medical costs for the Medicare Advantage (MA)-dominant insurer came in as predicted. Humana had a profit of $1.2 billion, up 68% compared to the first quarter last year. Humana has shed unprofitable MA lives in an effort to get back to a 3% margin by 2027. As important, Humana is seeking to undo a huge concentration of its MA lives in one very large master contract. This will take several years. When Humana’s Star performance was industry-leading, the concentration helped. But that contract dropped dramatically in Star Year 2025, causing a huge loss of quality bonus and rate rebate revenue. Humana still expects a medical loss ratio (MLR) for the full year of between 90.1%

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April 29, 2025

CMS May Further Rein In Prior Authorization Bloomberg reports that the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) is exploring proposals to further rein in prior authorization (PA) and other utilization management. The exploration is likely on Medicare Advantage (MA). In 2024, CMS introduced sweeping PA restrictions, requiring MA plans largely to follow the traditional program requirements for benefit coverage. When CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz appeared before the Senate for his confirmation hearings, he bemoaned PA in MA and stated that he wanted to reform it. He specifically mentioned that he wanted to streamline the number of PAs allowed and ensure consistency across plans. Indeed, Bloomberg reports that the aim of the CMS exploration would be to cut the number of medical procedures subject to PA and drive uniformity across plans. Another recent rule also requires electronic PA and CMS is looking at further driving this.   Health plans

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April 28, 2025

Drug Tariffs’ Impact A new study from Fitch says that health plans will not see immediate impact from tariffs on drugs. Providers will bear the brunt upfront and pay higher costs in operations. But over time, providers will pass through the costs to insurers through increased rates. In other news, a dozen states with Democratic attorneys general have filed suit over President Donald Trump’s use of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA) to enact new tariffs. The states argue they have a role due to the fact the tariffs could significantly increase costs for hospitals, manufacturers, and other stakeholders. Additional article: https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/citing-health-costs-democratic-states-sue-trump-over-tariffs (Some articles may require a subscription.) #tariffs #drugpricing #healthplans #providers https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/fitch-ratings-how-higher-tariffs-could-impact-health-insurers Vendors Strike Deal With GLP-1 Drug Companies More and more weight-loss vendors are striking deals with GLP-1 drug makers, signaling the ability for compounders to create copycats is over now that shortages have been addressed. Hims

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March to April 2025 Medicare Advantage Enrollment

Special Needs Plan enrollment booming A quick blog to tell you about enrollment growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) from March 2025 to April 2025. As I told you in previous blogs this year, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) enrollment statistics were delayed, but we appear to be receiving the monthly uploads on time now. But I am writing later in the month because of all the activities going on in healthcare. I told you that MA growth from 2024 to 2025 slowed down because of the financial woes of the MA industry. But the rolls are still growing due to aging and the popularity and value of MA compared with the archaic traditional Medicare (fee-for-service) program. What do the latest statistics show? As I have reported, growth from January 2024 to February 2025 was 4.39% or 1.468 million. (I used February 2025 because of issues with the

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April 25, 2025

Centene Reports Decent Financial News With Some Uncertainty Centene reported relatively sound financial news, but did raise policy issues that could impact the company over time. The uncertainty ties to what will happen in Congress in the next year on Medicaid and the Exchanges. Centene says it believes sweeping Medicaid cuts will not occur and are still pushing hard for extending the premium enhancements in the Exchanges, focusing on swing states and general support for government programs. They do admit some changes, such as work requirements, could occur. The medical loss ratio (MLR) was 87.5%, about the same as the prior year’s same quarter. But expenses could rise. Centene posted $1.3 billion in net income in the first quarter. Total revenues in the first quarter were $46.6 billion, up 15.4% year over year. The company reaffirmed its year-end adjusted guidance. A few complications for Centene could occur. Even modest Medicaid changes

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April 24, 2025

340B Reform May Be Coming Senate HELP Committee Chairman Bill Cassidy, R-LA, on Thursday released a years-long staff investigation of the 340B drug discount program and listed legislative reforms he may push to rein in practices that don’t meet the intent of the program. Cassidy suggests the following: A recent executive order from President Trump orders the conditioning of community health centers’ future grants to ensuring insulin and injectable epinephrine are made available to patients at the 340B discounted price or lower. Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/sen-cassidy-releases-340b-report-recommending-greater-transparency-oversight-hospitals (Some articles may require a subscription.) #340b #drugpricing #communityhealthcenters #hospitals https://insidehealthpolicy.com/inside-drug-pricing-daily-news/cassidy-unveils-staff-report-underpinning-potential-340b-legislative Molina Reports Mixed Results Rising costs in Medicaid and the health insurance exchanges depressed Molina Healthcare’s first-quarter performance, but the company Beat the Street in terms of earnings and revenue. Molina Healthcare saw net income slip less than 1% to $298 million as revenue grew 12.2% to $11.1 billion in the first quarter. The company reaffirmed

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Big Healthcare Struggling

Utilization and poor rate hikes are crushing health plan margins Big Healthcare has been going through some major financial woes of late. Many of these big companies reported poor 2024 financials and some bad news is now popping up in 2025. Recently, UnitedHealth Group reported rising utilization, especially in its Medicare Advantage (MA) line. What was surprising is that United was bullish on MA for 2025 and added significantly to its rolls during the recent enrollment season while some other big companies contracted in MA. United also had to back off its 2025 investor guidance. So, what is up here? First, utilization has gone up considerably recently. A good share of this ties back to the tremendous drop in normal medical utilization during COVID. Utilization began recovering in 2022 but has really taken off since then. And there appears to be no sign of a significant slowdown right now. Second,

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April 23, 2025

Medicaid Reimbursement Back On Budget Table House Republicans are still considering a proposal that would reduce the 90% federal match for the Medicaid expansion population down to normal state match rates. In addition, both work requirements and provider tax changes are being considered. The House could be influenced by the powerful Paragon Health Institute, a Trump-leaning think tank whose staffers and fellows have been in Trump 45 and 47. Paragon recently unveiled a Medicaid landing page that talks provider taxes, enhanced federal matches, fraud and waste, and more. Meanwhile, Axios reports that a Trump pollster reveals that Medicaid is popular among America, even with Trump voters. About 78% of Trump supporters support Medicaid. And an analysis from the Center for American Progress (CAP) found that about 34,200 more people would die annually if the federal government reduced its current 90 percent match for the expansion costs and states dropping their Medicaid

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