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July 8, 2025

Good News, Bad News On Drug Tariffs President Trump said Tuesday that he could levy up to 200 percent tariffs on pharmaceutical products imported into the U.S. soon. “If they have to bring the pharmaceuticals into the country, the drugs and other things into the country, they’re going to be tariffed at a very, very high rate, like 200 percent,” Trump said during a Cabinet meeting. That is the bad news. In good news, Trump said any tariffs would not take effect immediately. “We’re going to give people about a year, year and a half, to come in, and after that, they’re going to be tariffed,” Trump said. America imports the majority of its generic drugs from abroad and Trump wants this production onshored for national security reasons. Many brand drugs are also imported. Levies on drugs would increase already steep spending trends in healthcare. #tariffs #drugpricing https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/5390505-trump-200-percent-tariffs-pharma-imports Employer Coverage Changes Not

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July 7, 2025

Gearing Up For 2026 Election and Medicaid Interesting The Hill article on Medicaid being a huge election 2026 issue. Democrats will try to argue that the $1 trillion in cuts in the budget reconciliation bill will devastate coverage and providers, especially rural ones. Republicans will argue they are attacking fraud, waste, abuse, and improper enrollment. As the article notes, while many policy changes will not  be in effect yet, in prior midyear cycles issues still resonated. See my recap of what is in the budget reconciliation bill: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/saga-over-big-beautiful-bill-has-passed-for-good-or-bad/ In other news, another study details impacts of healthcare cuts on providers throughout the nation. As well, Molina Healthcare released preliminary results from its second-quarter financials and is bracing for elevated medical costs. Centene pulled its earnings forecast earlier. Molina sees ongoing financial troubles in its Affordable Care Act (ACA) Exchange, Medicaid, and Medicare Advantage lines of business. The budget reconciliation bill

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Saga Over: Big Beautiful Bill Has Passed – For Good Or Bad

Trump’s bill passes, but there will be major repercussions for healhcare coverage Well, the months-long saga is over. For good or bad, the budget reconciliation bill, known as the One Big Beautiful Bill (BBB), has passed. It marks a tremendous political achievement for President Donald Trump and Republican lawmakers. President Donald Trump signed the BBB and touted it as a landmark major tax and domestic policy bill. The bill extends tax reductions ready to expire and enacts new ones. At the same time, it institutes massive cuts to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) that could remove millions of people from Medicaid and the Exchanges. The bill will mean tremendous changes for healthcare in America. I have advocated for what I call smart healthcare reductions – ones that seek to reduce price in the system and promote greater efficiency. But the healthcare cuts in the bill are anything but

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July 4-5, 2025 — Special Independence Day Edition

Big Beautiful Bill Signed President Donald Trump signed Republicans’ One Big Beautiful Bill and touted it as a landmark major tax and domestic policy bill. The bill extends tax reductions ready to expire and enacts new ones. At the same time, it institutes massive cuts to Medicaid that could remove millions of people from Medicaid and the Exchanges. The bill was months in the making and Donald Trump is being given considerable credit for its passage. Whatever you think of the bill itself, its passage can be described as a political master stroke given the tight vote count for the GOP in each chamber of Congress. Trump stayed engaged with lawmakers on each vote – the initial House draft, the Senate recrafted one, and the House adoption of the Senate version. He is credited with creating a full course press to pass the bill, including a mixture of cajoling, education,

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July 3, 2025

House Passes Big Beautiful Bill; On To The President After almost collapsing overnight Wednesday in the House, the Big Beautiful Bill gained just enough votes to pass during the afternoon Thursday. The House had to adopt the Senate version to meet the deadline of July 4. Both moderates and conservatives in the House GOP caucus were highly critical of the Senate version, but all but two relented and voted for the budget reconciliation measure. Conservative Thomas Massie, R-KY, and moderate Brian Fitzpatrick, R-PA, were the only GOPers to vote against it. The bill passed 218-214 and the bill will be signed by President Trump tomorrow, Independence Day. I had always argued there was an inevitability associated with passage of the bill, whatever healthcare cuts are in or the impact on the deficit. The GOP sees the Big Beautiful Bill as a seminal event for the party and a movement. But

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Latest National Health Expenditure Data Show The Challenges In Healthcare

Projections for the next ten year show tremendous growth in healthcare costs Each December, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Office of the Actuary releases its official and complete National Health Expenditure Data (NHED) for the previous year. So, in December, we will see the final 2024 results. Given the now expected $5 trillion plus in expenditures, it takes literally a year to sum it all up and categorize it. Each June, though, the CMS actuary issues an estimate for the prior year and projects expenditures out ten years. We just got the CMS actuary’s projections for 2024 to 2033. As expected, the news is not good. The actuarial projections show a chilling annual trend that will have huge repercussions on costs over the next decade. More importantly, the huge growth in spending will impact coverage, benefits, employer costs, and out-of-pocket costs for Americans. Why is NHED so

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July 2, 2025

Budget Bill Stalled In House The House is in flux right now as Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, and President Donald Trump are seeking to cajole moderates and conservatives in the GOP caucus to support the Senate version of the Big Beautiful Bill. Conservatives criticize the massive additional overall deficit and debt the Senate bill generates against the House version. They issued a memo criticizing both the Speaker and Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-SD, for moving away from the House framework. At the same time, moderates are criticizing the fact that Medicaid cuts are actually higher than in the House bill, especially as it relates to greater limitations on the provider tax and its phasedown to 3%. Trump and Johnson are having some impact. Between six and 20 GOP votes might have been in the “no” column today, but some are now coming around and saying they will vote for

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July 1, 2025

Senate Passes One Big Beautiful Bill It was another wild all-nighter for the Senate GOP caucus Monday in its efforts to pass the One Big Beautiful Bill. But early afternoon Tuesday, the bill was finally passed and now goes back to the House. A conservative amendment to lower the federal matching percentage in expansion states did not have enough votes to pass. But in the end the conservatives except Rand Paul voted for the measure. Despite helping get a rural hospital fund to $50 billion, moderate Susan Collins voted against the bill along with Thom Tillis. All eyes Monday were on moderate Lisa Murkowski. She won some SNAP nutrition and Medicaid funding concessions in the bill for Alaska and, with the rural hospital fund increase, voted yes. That gave the bill 50 votes, allowing Vice President JD Vance to cast the tie-breaking vote for approval. Healthcare providers and health plans

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June 30, 2025

Senate Acting On Budget Bill The Senate began debating the budget reconciliation bill and the process will go late into Monday at a minimum before any final vote. A procedural vote to open debate passed on a 51-49 vote Saturday, with conservative Rand Paul, R-KY, and pragmatic conservative Thom Tillis, R-NC, voting “no.” Paul likely will never support the bill due to debt concerns. The debt limit is actually hiked $5 trillion vs. $4 trillion earlier. Tillis opposes the deep Medicaid reductions. But the bill’s passage is by no means certain right now. A lot has to happen before final passage. The bill went through a wide-ranging debate over the weekend and a Vote-a-Rama (unlimited amendment offerings) started on Monday. Four other conservatives – Ron Johnson, R-WI, Rick Scott, R-FL, Mike Lee, R-UT, and Cynthia Lummis, R-WY – only voted “yes” on the bill after commitments from leaders that a

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Banner Ten Days Of Healthcare News

Major healthcare developments, including the budget reconciliation bill moving UPDATED FOR SENATE BUDGET DEVELOPMENTS: It has been a banner ten days for healthcare news. While more has been reported, here are my top six developments, starting with the status of the budget reconciliation bill. Budget Reconciliation Status as of 6/30 – After passage of the bill in the House on May 22, the Senate finally acted on its version over the weekend. A procedural vote to open debate passed on a 51-49 vote Saturday, with conservative Rand Paul, R-KY, and Thom Tillis, R-NC, voting “no.” Paul likely will never support the bill due to debt concerns. The debt limit is actually hiked $5 trillion vs. $4 trillion earlier. Pragmatic conservative Tillis opposes the deep Medicaid reductions. But the bill’s passage is by no means certain right now. A lot has to happen before final passage. The bill will go through

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