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February 27, 2025

Another Study Shows Impact Of Medicaid Reimbursement Cuts To States A second study finds the major impact of reducing federal dollars for Medicaid to states. States that expanded Medicaid coverage could have to find $44.3 billion annually in state budget cuts or increased revenue to maintain what they have. The Urban Institute and Robert Wood Johnson Foundation (RWJF) say state spending would be hiked by about 25.6% on average if that occurred. Twelve states have trigger laws that would drop the expansion if the enhanced reimbursement is halted. I told you yesterday about a Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) analysis of the spending reductions related to a Medicaid per capita cap program. KFF finds that capping per enrollee spending could reduce federal Medicaid expenditures by $532 billion to nearly $1 trillion over 10 years depending on how states respond. KFF also finds that eliminating the Medicaid expansion matching rate as well

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Medicare Advantage Enrollment Results Show The Struggle In The Industry

Medicare Advantage plans’ financial woes hit 2025 enrollment growth in a big way The long delayed 2025 Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment season results have finally been published. The January 1 enrollment statistics were up for a short time only to be taken down due to errors and presumably the transition in the White House. This week, both the January and February 2025 results were posted by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS). In looking at the January results, they do not seem quite right as the growth in enrollment from January to February would be extremely high – rather unprecedented. That leads to my supposition that the January data are still wrong or CMS had major issues processing January 1 applications. As such, I am comparing January 2024 numbers to February 2025 numbers as a proxy for 2024 to 2025 year-over-year growth. The statistics show some of the

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February 26, 2025

MA Growth Down Markedly In Enrollment Season The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) finally published some data on the 2025 enrollment season and growth is down considerably. This is likely tied to the financial crisis in the industry. The January report still seems to have issues so many analysts are either comparing February 2024 to February 2025, January 2024 to February 2025, or a month in late 2024 to February 2025. I will have a comprehensive blog on this subject tomorrow. Different outlets have ranges of numbers in their coverage. My calculation is that enrollment grew about 4.4% from January 2024 to February 2025. This is down from 8.7% in 2024 and 6.1% in 2022. Of the big nine national health plans, seven gained enrollment from January 2024 to February 2025. But just five of them gained from December 2024 to February 2025. In other news, the Kaiser

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February 25, 2025

House Passes Budget Framework; Healthcare Cuts Heat Up The House adopted a budget reconciliation bill today with just one GOP defection. House Speaker Mike Johnson and President Donald Trump got three other doubters to convert to “yes.” The vote was 217 to 215. The bill paves the way for final passage down the road but a great deal of work has to occur, with committees now meeting on spending cut targets. This includes $880 billion in healthcare spending cut targets. Johnson and perhaps Trump convinced holdouts that Medicaid rolls will not be cut except for work requirements and if someone is illegally on the program. It may be hard to keep the commitment with a large reduction bogey. The victory was major for Johnson but he now needs to hold all these folks in place as spending cuts are debated in committees. Meanwhile, healthcare news is heating up due to the

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February 24, 2025

More Surprises From Trump On Drug Pricing Donald Trump’s Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) in late January said it would continue Medicare drug price negotiations. Then, in a Super Bowl interview, Trump bemoaned the cost of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs in America compared with other developed nations. Now, the Trump administration has chosen to defend the Medicare drug price reform law in court. In a filing Feb. 19, the government agreed with the legal arguments used by the Biden administration and by a lower court. Trump so far is not what Big Pharma hoped. #ira #medicare #partd #drugpricing #branddrugmakers https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/trump-admin-defends-ira-drug-price-negotiation-program-novartis-lawsuit FDA Workers May Be Headed Back To Work Fired Food and Drug Administration (FDA) probationary workers are receiving calls that their terminations are being rescinded. The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission clearly jumped the gun on firing all probationary positions throughout government. #doge #layoffs #trump #spending https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/mass-layoffs-hhs-cdc-cuts-1300-probationary-workers-reports-say United Comes

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Trump Tests Limits Of Power By Stretching Article 2 Of The Constitution

My unvarnished and dispassionate take on Trump’s assertion of executive authority Many of you are aware of my service in state government in the executive branch and have asked me about the recent controversy surrounding President Donald Trump’s broad exercise of executive power in Washington, D.C. So, while this is not exactly a healthcare blog per se, the controversy certainly impacts coverage in the nation. We are about a month into Trump 47, so it is a good time to opine on this. As such, I will give you my unvarnished and hopefully dispassionate view of things. Should we feel sympathy for what the executive is trying to do? Is Donald Trump going too far? A little background on me I served in state government in Connecticut from 1995 to 2005. I was a Republican executive appointee and eventually became the Deputy Management Secretary/Deputy Budget Director of the state and

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February 21, 2025

Centene and Molina Could Be Hurt By Medicaid Cuts Medicaid managed care-dominant insurers Centene and Molina could be hurt by Republicans’ plans for cuts to Medicaid. The House GOP has a target of $800 billion in healthcare spending reductions. While President Trump and GOP leaders have promised no dramatic changes to Medicaid, the targets would clearly mean deep reductions. While work requirements and fraud cuts are certain, other impacts could be reimbursement changes at the state level. Centene is the largest Medicaid managed care insurer with 13 million Medicaid beneficiaries as of Dec. 31. The membership generates 62% of the company’s revenue. Medicaid represents 88% of Molina’s membership and nearly 80% of its revenue for 2024. (Article may require a subscription.) #medicaid #managedcare #budgetreconciliation #trump #congress #molina #centene https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/medicaid-cuts-centene-molina-healthcare WSJ Says DOJ Probing United The Wall Street Journal reports that the Department of Justice (DOJ) is probing UnitedHealth Group’s billing

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February 20, 2025

Trump Limits Public Benefits To Undocumented President Donald Trump issued an executive order that limits public benefits for undocumented immigrants. It directs each federal agency to identify programs that currently allow undocumented immigrants to receive federal benefits and to comply with the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act of 1996, which generally prohibits such benefits. The order also mandates the enhancement of eligibility verification systems. It also seeks to limit or bar funding state and local programs that either subsidize illegal immigration or support sanctuary policies. Fourteen states plus D.C. provide state-funded healthcare coverage to children regardless of immigration status. California is the first state to offer Medicaid coverage to all eligible undocumented individuals. #trump #immigration #healthcare https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/legal-regulatory-issues/trump-signs-executive-order-to-end-federal-benefits-for-undocumented-immigrants.html Medicaid Cuts Consternation President Donald Trump’s endorsement runs smack into his public commitment that he will not take a meat axe to Medicaid benefits. Trump this week endorsed the one-bill approach to

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Medical Pricing Is As Broken As Drug Pricing

American healthcare is in dire need of price reform. As is, employers are significantly disadvantaged. In my blog on Monday, I bemoaned the fact that American drug pricing is manyfold greater than in other developed nations. It serves as a major disadvantage to American consumers, their health, and the healthcare system as a whole. You can read that blog here: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/trumps-populism-could-spell-trouble-for-big-pharma/ . I thought it made sense to reflect on some issues related to other healthcare pricing. As I have made the case often on this website, America’s healthcare pricing is fundamentally broken. A lot goes into this, but I wanted to reflect on two issues: (1) excessive employer coverage prices generated by Medicare and Medicaid actual and perceived underpayments and (2) the lack of site neutral payments in healthcare. Employer coverage price disparity I have made the case that employers in America have a disproportionate cost burden compared with

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February 19, 2025

Trump Endorses House GOP One-Bill Approach President Donald Trump came out today in favor of the House GOP’s one-bill approach, surprising the Senate which felt he was taking a wait-and-see, go-slow approach on the issue. The one bill approach has steep spending reduction targets in it. Still, the fate of the House bill is uncertain. Speaker Mike Johnson can afford to lose no more than one vote on the reconciliation bill. Several moderates have expressed concerns on healthcare cuts. Some conservatives are complaining cuts are not deep enough. While leaders claim healthcare cuts to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act (ACA) will not disrupt coverage, the savings targets could make that promise difficult to keep. Some conservatives are arguing that reductions in state reimbursement or even how much the federal government contributes should occur, which undoubtedly would impact coverage. Reining in provider taxes could also impact state financing schemes and

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