obamacare

Strong Growth From May to June In Medicare Advantage

As noted last month, I decided to continue my Medicare Advantage (MA) monthly enrollment blogs because of continuing strong month-over-month increases. Admittedly, the continuing growth is tied to remaining strong benefit packages for 2024 and appears to be isolated to a few big plans. Many plans will rein in benefits and geographies for contract year 2025 due to significantly deteriorating bottom lines. This is being caused by the return of robust utilization, inflation picking up in the healthcare sector (especially at hospitals), poor Star scores, negative rate increases for 2024 and 2025, and new regulatory burdens (such as the new prior authorization restrictions). The recent 2024 Star recalculation, which was precipitated by losses in court by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), will mean some plans refile bids and benefits for 2025.  But we are hearing great reluctance to refile by many due to the quick deadlines, the negative

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What Do The Latest Healthcare Spending Projections Tell Us?

The latest forecasts from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Office of the Actuary continue to show how out of control America’s healthcare spending is. Each June, the CMS Actuary re-estimates healthcare spending for the coming decade. The latest estimates continue to show a system that is badly in need of reform. While final figures for 2023 will come in December, the latest estimate on 2023 healthcare spending shows it will reach about $4.8 trillion or 17.6% of gross domestic product (GDP). That is up from $4.46 billion or 17.3% in 2022. That is a growth of 7.6% from 2022 to 2023. The major growth was in part related to the high insured rate of 93.1% due to the COVID flexibilities. While Medicaid redeterminations began again in April of 2023, the insured rate remained high in 2023. Medicare spending hit a milestone by growing 8.4% in 2023 and

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CMS’ TukeyGate Follow-up: Where Could CMS Go To Save On Medicare Stars?

After the TukeyGate court decisions that struck 2024 Medicare Advantage (MA) Star calculations, many are speculating where the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) may now go to make up some of the increased costs in the Star program (see the TukeyGate blog here: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/cms-tukeygate-lawsuit-decision-threatens-to-unravel-much-of-medicare-advantage-star-scoring-in-2024-and-2025-and-next-years-bids-and-benefits/ ). The increase in Stars could result in at least $1.3 billion in increased costs to Medicare in 2025. The lawsuit loss likely caught CMS by surprise, but the agency was right to recalculate and fix the major expected 2025 benefit declines in filed bids and benefits.  I still think benefits will be reined in but the hurt on seniors and those with disabilities will be less. Given budgetary pressures and the major perception of overpayments in MA, CMS will be under pressure to find savings elsewhere over the next few years. Indeed, they wanted to implement Tukey in 2024 and get the Star

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Digging Into My Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform: Part 3 — Driving To Affordable Universal Access

This blog is one in a three-part series that digs into my modest proposal for healthcare reform published at this site on May 27, 2024. See that blog here to review my proposal thoroughly: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/a-modest-election-year-proposal-for-healthcare-reform/ . Much of my proposal is taken from my book, The Healthcare Labyrinth, available at this site and through leading bookseller websites. It is available in print, ebook, and audiobook forms. This blog has information from Chapter 28 of my book — “The Right Healthcare Reform Solution.” — Driving to affordable universal access “… Let me add that the health and vitality of our people are at least as well worth conserving as their forests, waters, lands, and minerals, and in this great work the national government must bear a most important part.” – Teddy Roosevelt, The New Nationalism Speech, August 31, 1910. In my “A Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform” blog on May

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Digging Into My Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform: Part 2 — Pivoting To Care Management From Our Obsession With Utilization Management

This blog is one in a three-part series that digs into my modest proposal for healthcare reform published at this site on May 27, 2024. See that blog here to review my proposal thoroughly: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/a-modest-election-year-proposal-for-healthcare-reform/ . Much of my proposal is taken from my book, The Healthcare Labyrinth, available at this site and through leading bookseller websites. It is available in print, ebook, and audiobook forms. — Pivoting to care management from our obsession with utilization management In my “A Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform” blog on May 27, 2024, I stressed that the cornerstones of reform are three key tenets – driving affordable universal access, reforming price, and pivoting to care management (CM) from our obsession with utilization management (UM). This week I cover the need to rethink how we approach management of patients or members. In the May 27, 2024, blog, I argue that America is obsessed

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Digging Into My Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform: Part 1 — The Importance Of Price Reform

This blog is one in a three-part series that digs into my modest proposal for healthcare reform published at this site on May 27, 2024. See that blog here to review my proposal thoroughly: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/a-modest-election-year-proposal-for-healthcare-reform/ . Much of my proposal is taken from my book, The Healthcare Labyrinth, available at this site and through leading bookseller websites. It is available in print, ebook, and audiobook forms. — The importance of price reform In my “A Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform” blog on May 27, 2024, I stressed that the cornerstones of reform are three key tenets – driving affordable universal access, reforming price, and pivoting to care management from our obsession with utilization management. I am going to start with price reform in this blog and in later blogs cover the other two tenets. In the May 27, 2024 blog, I argue that we need to fundamentally tackle price

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CMS’ TukeyGate: Lawsuit Decision Threatens To Unravel Much of Medicare Advantage Star Scoring in 2024 and 2025 and Next Year’s Bids And Benefits

A bombshell legal decision this week from a federal district judge threatens to unravel much of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Star process. CMS may have to revisit 2024 Star ratings across the Medicare Advantage (MA) industry, pay out several hundred million more in bonuses, and revisit the bids and benefit designs already in flight for next calendar year. The entire issue is a bit arcane, so let’s break it down here and then get to the implications. The lawsuit and decision Scan Group, a prominent and highly successful non-profit MA plan based in California and serving a number of western states, has successfully won a challenge in a federal district court on its Star ratings for 2024. The case centers on the introduction of the Tukey outlier formula that CMS implemented beginning with the 2024 ratings. The court decision said CMS violated the Administrative Procedures Act

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Hospitals Drive Up Overall Healthcare Costs Considerably

As a former board member of two hospitals (a children’s medical center and academic medical center), I am sympathetic to the unique services that hospitals provide and the role many of them play in the education of doctors, nurses, and more. But it is also clear that hospitals are inefficient organizations that continue to drive up costs overall in the healthcare system. While some hospitals are reforming, others cling to the status quo. Hosptial lobbies are also stuck in the past and bucking change. Here are a few areas and recent studies that point to the role hospitals play in driving up healthcare costs: Hospital consolidations drive up costs, not lower them. Quality often suffers. New statistics from the Federal Trade Commission suggest that about 90% of hospital markets are highly concentrated due to the massive mergers and consolidations that have occurred over the past many years. What’s more studies

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Medicare Advantage Will Grow Even With Plan Financial Woes and Benefit Reductions

I have received a number of pings and messages to explain why I predict Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollment will continue to rise even with some extensive geographic contraction and benefit reductions in the market by some leading national health plans. Here are some of my thoughts on the subject. I would love to hear others’ impressions as well. What is happening with plans? Low or negative rate increases, a return of medical utilization, low Star achievement, and new restrictions on prior authorization are leading to a huge surge in some Medicare Advantage (MA) plans’ medical loss ratios. As such, margins have been reduced considerably. Almost every large national MA plan has raised concerns, but impacts appear to have been greatest over the past few years on Centene, CVS Aetna, Humana, and Cigna. Centene was forced to reduce benefits and geographic expansions already and may do so again. Humana did so

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A Modest Election-Year Proposal For Healthcare Reform

In a recent blog, I made the case that Election 2024 will come down to a handful of states and districts/counties deciding both  the presidency and control of the House of Representatives. In the Senate, almost every competitive race has an incumbent Democrat or open Democratic seat.  Everything would have to go right for them to maintain control of the Senate. I also stated that I think healthcare could be a bit of a sleeper issue even though it theoretically ranks low on the list of Americans’ priorities this year. I say theoretically because pocketbook issues do rank high and healthcare is a key component of that. More important, these swing states and areas tend to have independents and more moderate voters who will decide outcomes. They may indeed prioritize healthcare more than the rest of the nation. See my recent blog at this link for my election analysis and

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