Marc Ryan

March to April 2025 Medicare Advantage Enrollment

Special Needs Plan enrollment booming A quick blog to tell you about enrollment growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) from March 2025 to April 2025. As I told you in previous blogs this year, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) enrollment statistics were delayed, but we appear to be receiving the monthly uploads on time now. But I am writing later in the month because of all the activities going on in healthcare. I told you that MA growth from 2024 to 2025 slowed down because of the financial woes of the MA industry. But the rolls are still growing due to aging and the popularity and value of MA compared with the archaic traditional Medicare (fee-for-service) program. What do the latest statistics show? As I have reported, growth from January 2024 to February 2025 was 4.39% or 1.468 million. (I used February 2025 because of issues with the

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April 25, 2025

Centene Reports Decent Financial News With Some Uncertainty Centene reported relatively sound financial news, but did raise policy issues that could impact the company over time. The uncertainty ties to what will happen in Congress in the next year on Medicaid and the Exchanges. Centene says it believes sweeping Medicaid cuts will not occur and are still pushing hard for extending the premium enhancements in the Exchanges, focusing on swing states and general support for government programs. They do admit some changes, such as work requirements, could occur. The medical loss ratio (MLR) was 87.5%, about the same as the prior year’s same quarter. But expenses could rise. Centene posted $1.3 billion in net income in the first quarter. Total revenues in the first quarter were $46.6 billion, up 15.4% year over year. The company reaffirmed its year-end adjusted guidance. A few complications for Centene could occur. Even modest Medicaid changes

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April 24, 2025

340B Reform May Be Coming Senate HELP Committee Chairman Bill Cassidy, R-LA, on Thursday released a years-long staff investigation of the 340B drug discount program and listed legislative reforms he may push to rein in practices that don’t meet the intent of the program. Cassidy suggests the following: A recent executive order from President Trump orders the conditioning of community health centers’ future grants to ensuring insulin and injectable epinephrine are made available to patients at the 340B discounted price or lower. Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/sen-cassidy-releases-340b-report-recommending-greater-transparency-oversight-hospitals (Some articles may require a subscription.) #340b #drugpricing #communityhealthcenters #hospitals https://insidehealthpolicy.com/inside-drug-pricing-daily-news/cassidy-unveils-staff-report-underpinning-potential-340b-legislative Molina Reports Mixed Results Rising costs in Medicaid and the health insurance exchanges depressed Molina Healthcare’s first-quarter performance, but the company Beat the Street in terms of earnings and revenue. Molina Healthcare saw net income slip less than 1% to $298 million as revenue grew 12.2% to $11.1 billion in the first quarter. The company reaffirmed

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Big Healthcare Struggling

Utilization and poor rate hikes are crushing health plan margins Big Healthcare has been going through some major financial woes of late. Many of these big companies reported poor 2024 financials and some bad news is now popping up in 2025. Recently, UnitedHealth Group reported rising utilization, especially in its Medicare Advantage (MA) line. What was surprising is that United was bullish on MA for 2025 and added significantly to its rolls during the recent enrollment season while some other big companies contracted in MA. United also had to back off its 2025 investor guidance. So, what is up here? First, utilization has gone up considerably recently. A good share of this ties back to the tremendous drop in normal medical utilization during COVID. Utilization began recovering in 2022 but has really taken off since then. And there appears to be no sign of a significant slowdown right now. Second,

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April 23, 2025

Medicaid Reimbursement Back On Budget Table House Republicans are still considering a proposal that would reduce the 90% federal match for the Medicaid expansion population down to normal state match rates. In addition, both work requirements and provider tax changes are being considered. The House could be influenced by the powerful Paragon Health Institute, a Trump-leaning think tank whose staffers and fellows have been in Trump 45 and 47. Paragon recently unveiled a Medicaid landing page that talks provider taxes, enhanced federal matches, fraud and waste, and more. Meanwhile, Axios reports that a Trump pollster reveals that Medicaid is popular among America, even with Trump voters. About 78% of Trump supporters support Medicaid. And an analysis from the Center for American Progress (CAP) found that about 34,200 more people would die annually if the federal government reduced its current 90 percent match for the expansion costs and states dropping their Medicaid

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April 22, 2025

Elevance Reports Mixed But Better News Than United Elevance Health reaffirmed its 2025 earnings outlook, but did report some mixed news. Elevance beat The Street with revenue of $48.9 billion, up almost 15% year over year. It had profit of $2.2 billion, down 3% year over year. Elevance spent less money on medical care than analysts expected in Q1. Elevance did see higher costs in the first quarter, but premium hikes covered the trend. Still, the company advised it will approach 2025 cautiously. Elevance noted it is ramping up care coordination with new members to prepare for medical cost trends that have dogged the health insurance sector. I have noted that plans will begin to pivot from utilization management to care management moving forward. Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/elevance-health-cost-predictions-medicare-advantage and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/elevance-brushes-off-medicare-advantage-cost-fears-q1-2025/745961/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/elevance-health-lower-medical-costs and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/medicare-advantage-costs-manageable-for-elevance-health-8-notes/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #medicareadvantage #healthplans #elevancehealth #margins https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/elevance-health-beats-street-22b-q1-profit-elevated-cost-trends-pressure-industry Health Insurer CEO Salaries Despite financial woes,

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April 21, 2025

Supreme Court Leans Toward Safeguarding Preventive Services After oral arguments before the Supreme Court on whether preventive services will be protected, many are speculating that the nod goes to the government’s defense of the free services decided by several task forces wihin the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). Plaintiffs are challenging the provision on religious grounds and arguing that those who decide what services should be provided are not properly appointed to make such decisions. The government argues the task forces have the right oversight and correctly appointed officials have the final say. It is important to note that conclusions reached by reading the tea leaves from justices’ questions does not always match the final ruling. Additional article: https://www.medpagetoday.com/publichealthpolicy/publichealth/115218 and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/scotus-appears-poised-back-uspstf-s-role-free-preventative-services and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/legal/supreme-court-aca-case-prep and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/health-insider/house-ec-plans-post-recess-budget-markup-scotus-appears-sympathetic-aca-preventative and https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5259118-supreme-court-obamacare-insurance/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #prevention #preventiveservices #aca #obamacare https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/supreme-court-appears-willing-save-aca-preventive-services-task-force Arkansas Bars PBM Operation If Parent Owns Pharmacies Arkansas Gov.

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Expect Big Things From Donald Trump On Drug Prices

Trump executive order on drug pricing is both populist and shows policy sophistication Despite his drug price proposals during his first administration, many felt like President Donald Trump would shy away from attacking Big Pharma and potentially even work against the Inflation Reduction Act’s Medicare drug price negotiations. After all, he went back and forth on the issue in the presidential campaign. But since re-taking office, Trump has sent clear messages he wants to pursue drug price reform for America. First, after taking office, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued a statement indicating it was readying and taking seriously round two of negotiations, although it wanted greater transparency and input. Next, on Super Bowl Sunday, Trump appeared on Fox News bemoaning the price of GLP-1s. He even quoted statistics that GLP-1s in America were ten times more than prices in the U.K. Now, he has issued an

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April 18, 2025

United MA Troubles Cloud MA Industry Prospects The fallout from UnitedHealth Group’s poor quarterly financials is creating worry throughout the industry. While Elevance Health reaffirmed its earnings forecasts, some are wondering if United is just the first shoe to drop as investor calls for the quarter roll out. United blames some of the problems at its insurance and service entity on the new risk model that was rolled out in Medicare Advantage (MA) along with major utilization. Previously, United indicated it was not too worried about the change. The United financials and similar trends expected in some other MA plans show that the 5% hike for 2026 will not cure all ills in the industry. It helps with the financial realignment of many, but discipline will still be needed to get back to profitability. Additional article: https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/unitedhealth-shifts-tone-on-medicare-advantage-as-cms-changes-impact-earnings/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #medicareadvantage #unitedhealthcare #rates #margins #elevancehealth https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/unitedhealth-group-medicare-advantage-earnings-2025 Trump

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71. All About Special Needs Plans And Their Recent Growth

Medicare Advantage (MA) plans are investing heavily in Special Needs Plans (SNPs). Learn all about SNPs and their recent growth. About The Podcast: Millions of Americans feel confused and frustrated in their search for quality healthcare coverage. Between out-of-control costs, countless inefficiencies, a lack of affordable universal access, and little focus on wellness and prevention, the system is clearly in dire need of change. Hosted by healthcare policy and technology expert Marc S. Ryan, the Healthcare Labyrinth Podcast offers accessible, incisive deep dives on the most pressing issues and events in American healthcare. Marc seeks to help Americans become wiser consumers and navigate the healthcare maze with more confidence and certainty through The Healthcare Labyrinth website and his book of the same name. Marc is an unconventional Republican who believes that affordable universal access is a wise and prudent investment. He recommends common-sense solutions to reform American healthcare. Tune in every week

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