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Recap Of Big Plan Q3 Financial News — MLRs Big Concern

Huge utilization and medical expense still a factor in insurer recovery Given the fiscal crisis happening in the health plan industry, I thought a quick blog summarizing Q3 2025 financial reports made sense. As well, a few more updates on Medicare Advantage (MA) contraction. One of my biggest observations is that medical loss ratios (MLRs), the way health plans measure the percentage of medical costs against premiums, remains at record levels. This appears to be across all lines of business – government programs and commercial/employer coverage. When MLRs are at 90 or well into the 90s (with the exception of commercial-only Cigna), you know things are upside down financially. And while plans continue to recover financially, there is little sign that high utilization, inflation, and costs will temper anytime soon. Further, developments in Medicaid and Exchanges as well as to some degree in MA could further complicate the medical cost

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November 5, 2025

Humana Reports Q3 Financial News Medicare Advantage (MA)-dominant Humana reported Q3 financial news today. Humana, the second biggest MA player, slashed its earnings guidance as enrollment ticks above initial expectations during open enrollment. It now projects to have about 425,000 fewer Medicare MA enrollees next year, not 500,000 fewer as previously anticipated. Investors worry that these additional members, driven by generous benefits, will increase medical expense more than projected. Humana says it is confident in projections despite higher enrollment numbers but says it can throttle back enrollment with several levers if needed. Operating expenses surged to $32.25 billion, up 11.75% year over year. Humana is spending more (hundreds of millions more) to better operations and increase Star ratings. Its Star Year 2026 rating actually dropped from a very low 25% of enrollment in 4 Star or greater plans to an even lower 20%. Third-quarter net income declined 59.6% to $194

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November 4, 2025

Is UnitedHealthcare Gaming Medical Expense Regulation? A new study published in Health Affairs finds that UnitedHealthcare pays its owned providers at sister company Optum 17% more than those it does not own. And if United controls 25% or more of a market, that percentage increases to 61%. Researchers said the results suggest the company may be sidestepping government rules regarding calculation of medical expenses against premiums. If those rules are violated, rebates need to be sent to the government, employers, or individuals depending on the type of coverage. In effect, higher payments to owned providers would boost the so-called medical loss ratio (MLR) and more likely hit or exceed the required spending (usually 80% or 85%). United says the study is wrong. And the study clearly has some limitations. It looked at just 14 CPT medical codes and about 385,000 transactions. But these were frequently performed and high-cost procedures in

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November 3, 2025

Government Shutdown End In Sight? After bipartisan weekend talks, Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-SD, said Monday that he is “optimistic” lawmakers can strike a deal to reopen the government by the end of the week. He added that a stopgap spending bill could fund government through January or later to allow time to mark up and pass appropriations bills. The House will have to re-pass the temporary funding bill as it expires on November 21. Insiders say that Democrats could give in on their position to include Exchange subsidy extensions if a bill is pre-negotiated, likely with the president, or if GOP leaders announce a commitment to hold an up or down vote on an extension. Meanwhile, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, R-GA, says Republicans deserve much of the blame for rising premiums, saying Republicans should have reformed the Affordable Care Act (ACA) sooner. “The Democrats passed Obamacare, but yet

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Like Big Pharma Drug Price Concessions, Don’t Get Too Excited About PBMs Saying Rebates Going Away

Express Scripts’ announcement about drug rebates is a step forward, but not earth-shattering change In an October 9, 2025 blog, I applauded President Donald Trump’s efforts to redefine drug price in America. At the same time, I questioned whether some of the deals he has announced with brand drug manufacturers (aka Big Pharma) were truly game changers for drug price in America. I urged the president not to settle for these deals but to continue to push forward on true price reform. Along comes Cigna’s Express Scripts’ announcement that it would begin the process of migrating in part from the current gross price and rebate model to net drug pricing. This upends both its brand drug contracts with drug makers but also with insurers and employer groups. In part the announcement was precipitated by the Trump administration’s own demands that pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) like Express Scripts abandon the rebate

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October 31, 2025

Trump Administration Finalizes 340B Rebate Pilot The Trump administration has approved eight drugmakers’ rebate plans for the 340B drug discount pilot program that kicks off January 1. The pilot covers a selected group of 10 drug products from eight manufacturers who have submitted plans meeting specific criteria approved by the Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA). The covered drugs include Eliquis, Enbrel, Farxiga, Imbruvica, Januvia, Jardiance, Stelara, Xarelto and multiple Novolog and Fiasp products. The program offers upfront discounts, but the administration wants to reform and bring greater transparency to the program to ensure it meets the intent of serving lower income Americans with discount drugs. Trump officials believe this will be accomplished with the greater scrutiny that will occur with retrospective rebates vs. upfront discounts. Numerous studies conclude that the program does not meet the original intent and that hospitals and other facilities do not in fact lower costs

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October 30, 2025

Cigna Reports Strong Financial News The Cigna Group reported among the strongest news of any major health plan today. It posted a $1.9 billion profit in Q3, up from $739 million during the same period last year. Revenue reached $69.7 billion, a 9.5% increase year over year. Adjusted income from operations was $2.1 billion, less than 1% lower than third-quarter 2024. Its services entity Evernorth grew tremendously, including specialty pharmacy growth. Insurer Cigna Healthcare generated $10.8 billion in adjusted revenue, down 18.3% year over year – largely due to the sale of its Medicare Advantage line. Excluding that, adjusted revenues for the insurance business were up 6% compared to Q3 2024. The medical loss ratio reached 84.8%, a 2.4% increase year over year. Cigna executives said the company is expecting pressure on its margins with its announcement that it will begin phasing out rebates. In related news, if Express Scripts and other

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Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker Reports On Poor Healthcare Quality

It is not just about high costs in America for healthcare, it is about quality too Back on September 17, I did a quick blog on the Peterson-KFF Health System Tracker Chart Collection comparing U.S. healthcare prices and utilization against those in other developed nations. I like these periodic looks at prices and utilization throughout the developed world because it reveals at least one of the biggest reasons our healthcare system is in crisis or at least tumbling toward it – the highest prices in the developed world. A few key Peterson-KFF  findings as I related in the blog, which can be found here ( https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/u-s-healthcare-prices-compared-with-other-developed-nations/ ): Now, Peterson-KFF has released a new analysis and charts related to how America compares to the rest of the developed world in terms of quality outcomes and healthcare system performance. This is a bit like what The Commonwealth Fund does every three years

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October 29, 2025

CVS Health and Centene Report Q3 Financial News CVS Health, hit by a literal financial meltdown, reported relatively good recovery news for Q3 2025. Its troubled Aetna insurance business and pharmacy benefit management Caremark are recovering. Because of this, CVS Health is forecasting double-digit earnings growth in 2026. CVS Health had $103 billion in revenue for Q3. Revenue was up 7.8% year over year. The company recorded a Q3 net loss of $3.99 billion, compared with net income of $71 million, or 7 cents per share, in the same period for 2024. The decline was due to a $5.7 billion goodwill impairment charge from the healthcare delivery unit. Aetna had $36 billion in revenue in the third quarter, up 9% year over year. The medical cost ratio dropped from 95.2% to 92.8%.  Centene raised its yearly profit guidance despite ongoing struggles with health insurance Exchange spending and huge cuts to

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October 28, 2025

United Reports Financial News; Big Plans Tighten Belts Investors cheered news from UnitedHealth Group that its efforts to get back to margins are working. United raised its full-year guidance Tuesday when announcing its Q3 results. United reported that net earnings fell 59.4% to $2.54 billion and earnings from operations dropped 50.4% to $4.31 billion. Revenue grew 12.2% to $113.16 billion. But these figures beat Wall Street expectations. United’s strategy has been to massively retrench in both Medicare Advantage (MA) and standalone Part D (PDP). United expects all its government lines of business to contract – MA, PDP, Medicaid, and the Exchanges. It expects to shed 600,000 in MA and has expanded some markets in the Exchanges but exited less profitable ones. Utilization and medical expense continues to be a challenge as its medical loss ratio was just short of 90% across all business lines. However, revenues from services entity Optum

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