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CMS To Audit All Plans On Risk Adjustment

Risk Adjustment Data Validation (RADV) bombshell should worry Medicare Advantage (MA) plans In a bombshell announcement, beginning immediately the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) will audit all eligible Medicare Advantage (MA) plans for each payment year in all newly initiated audits and invest additional resources to expedite the completion of audits for payment years (PYs) 2018 through 2024. MA opponents and a bipartisan group of lawmakers have raised issues with what they view as immense overpayments, some of which are tied directly to risk adjustment scoring. CMS says risk adjustment overpayments are about $17 billion a year. CMS’ completed audits for PYs 2011–2013 found between 5% and 8% in overpayments. Richard Kronick and his colleagues at the University of San Diego find that risk scores are 18.5% greater in MA in 2021, amounting to $33 billion. The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) estimates the risk scoring overpayment figure could

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June 4, 2025

Of Musk, Trump, Medicaid, Medicare, The ACA, And The Uninsured The budget reconciliation saga continues a day after Elon Musk attacked the bill as “a disgusting abomination.” The president leapt into action, trying to convince Senate conservatives to support the package with promises of later spending cuts. The bill hit another pothole today with a new Congressional Budget Office (CBO) score that said the bill will mean more than $1 trillion in cuts over a decade. This is higher due to the last-minute changes made in the House to obtain enough conservatives to pass the bill. The biggest hit comes in Medicaid, with a revised reduction of $864 billion. Work requirements save $344 billion after the House accelerated the provision to no later than December 21, 2026. What’s more, the CBO projects that the Medicaid cuts and other healthcare reductions in the bill will lead to 10.9 million people becoming uninsured, including 7.8 million who

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June 3, 2025

Elon Musk Drops Bomb On Budget Reconciliation Just as Elon Musk exited Washington, the world’s richest man dropped a bomb on Donald Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill by calling it “a disgusting abomination.” Rightists in the Senate were already agitated by the increase in the deficit and debt as well as what they see as a lack of deep spending cuts, but Musk’s remark has egged the conservatives on. Sens. Rand Paul, R-KY, Ron Johnson, R-WI, Rep. Mike Lee, R-UT, and Rick Scott, R-FL, have all raised issues with the deficits and debt. Lee and Paul backed Musk after his comments went viral. On the other hand, at least four moderates and pragmatists in the Senate GOP caucus have expressed concern about Medicaid cuts. Normally conservative Josh Hawley has expressed major misgivings with Medicaid cuts and he said that Trump told him Monday that the final bill would not have Medicaid cuts. That

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June 2, 2025

Major Healthcare Changes At HHS, CMS Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) Deputy Administrator Stephanie Carlton, laid out the agency’s major priorities, which include: More details on the president’s FFY 2026 budget proposal continue to show major reductions to various agencies — an $18 billion cut to the National Institutes of Health (40%), a $3.6 billion cut to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) (43%), and a $409 million cut to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) (11%). A number of new initiatives prioritized by health chief Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. are funded along with restructuring tied to the new agenda. Additional articles: https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/advocates-blast-proposed-cuts-nih-cdc-research-programs and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/hhs-2026-budget-nih-cuts-trump-healthcare/749510/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #hhs #cms #rfkjr #nih #fda #cdc https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/cms-deputy-stephanie-carlton-lays-out-agency-priorities-0 Budget Reconciliation Questions Continue On Meet the Press, Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, defended work requirements and claimed that projections from his own budget office are wrong when it said 4.8

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Managed Care Is Hitting Yet Another Conversion Cycle

A number of chapters in my book, The Healthcare Labyrinth (available at this site and through leading booksellers), tell the story of American healthcare’s conversion from a fee-for-service system to managed care. The truth is that the conversion has not yet fully matured. We still have an over-reliance on traditional transaction payments, which promotes a cost spiral as well as hurts quality attainment. So, the conversion is still in flight and so far I see four so-called conversion cycles of managed care, with the latest hitting just recently. With each cycle, we seem to make some progress toward a better system, but find major barriers still exist. Let’s take a look at the four conversion cycles and where we are headed. I have put together a quick reference table to help illustrate managed care’s maturation over time. Birth of Managed Care – 1970s to 1990s Description/Challenges – The traditional, fee-for-service

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May 30, 2025

More Fallout From Budget Reconciliation The saga over the House reconciliation bill and what the Senate will do continues. Republicans in swing or moderate districts returned home to town halls with tough questions from their constituents about Medicaid and other social service cuts as well as the fact that deficits will increase under the bill. A healthcare policy group KFF issue briefer allocates the Congressional Budget Office’s federal spending reductions and enrollment losses across the states. The CBO’s latest cost estimates say the bill would reduce federal Medicaid spending by $723 billion over the decade timeframe and that the number of uninsured would increase by 7.6 million due to those cuts. KFF finds that the biggest reduction areas in Medicaid are: Federal cuts to states represent 11% of federal spending on Medicaid over the period. By state, the cuts range from 5% in Wyoming, Alabama, and Wisconsin to 15% in

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May 29, 2025

FDA Commissioner Says Cost-Cutting Could Hurt Generic Introductions President Trump’s first Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner, Scott Gottlieb, made a great point in an opinion piece at statnews.com.  Gottlieb says that Trump did a tremendous job introducing generics swiftly under his first few years in office. Reductions at FDA now could be a boon for brand drug makers as generic approvals will be further backlogged and allow brand makers to effectively maintain a monopoly after patents expire. (Article may require a subscription.) #drugpricing #generics #brands #branddrugmakers #fda https://www.statnews.com/2025/05/28/fda-division-policy-development-generic-drugs-doge-cost-cutting-trump-glp-1s/ PBMs Sue Arkansas Over Ownership Law Pharmacy benefit management managers Express Scripts and CVS Health are suing Arkansas officials to challenge a law that bars PBMs in the state from owning pharmacies. Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/arkansas-governor-signs-bill-barring-pbms-owning-pharmacies (Some articles may require a subscription.) #pbms #drugpricing #pharmacies https://www.modernhealthcare.com/legal/express-scripts-cvs-health-arkansas-pbms Healthcare Costs For Average Person Went Up 6.7% in 2025 The  Milliman Medical Index (MMI), which

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Readers and Listeners Ask About Most Favored Nation Drug Pricing And The GOP’s Healthcare Vision

I wanted to give you two quick mini blogs today on recent topics after a number of inquiries from my blog readers and podcast listeners. They revolve around President Donald Trump’s proposal for most-favored-nation drug pricing and what is the GOP’s vision on healthcare. So, let’s get to the questions: 1 – One reader/listener asked: “How can Donald Trump really implement his most-favored-nation (MFN) drug policies?” As I have alluded to in a number of blogs and podcasts, it is unknown whether the president alone really has the ability to radically change drug prices in Medicare, and it is even more of a question for the commercial and employer world. We have a national rebate program with a state supplemental rebate program in Medicaid. The posture of courts, especially in light of the Chevron decision last year, would seem to point to the likelihood that the Supreme Court might find

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May 28, 2025

Study Shows Proliferation Of GLP-1s A new study finds that the number of people prescribed GLP-1 drugs for weight management has skyrocketed over the past five years. FAIR Health’s study finds that just over 2% of adults in the U.S. took a GLP-1 to treat obesity or being overweight in 2024, up from just 0.3% in 2019. For those not diabetic, the percent of such adults increased from 0.03% in 2019 to 0.67% in 2019, or 1,960.9%. While big national providers have sought to expand GLP-1 coverage while de-risking impacts, other plans are discontinuing coverage due to surging costs. A number of Blues are discontinuing obesity-only GLP-1 coverage. In other news, compounders continue filling compounded GLP-1 drugs by arguing individual formulations are allowable. Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/bcbs-plans-michigan-massachusetts-glp1-coverage and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/glp1-obesity-weight-loss-adoption-fair-health/748963/ and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/inside-drug-pricing-daily-news/telehealth-companies-use-loophole-continue-glp-1-sales (Some articles may require a subscription.) #weightlossdrugs #glp1s #healthplans #pbms #drugpricing #branddrugmakers https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/fair-health-heres-how-much-glp-1-prescriptions-obesity-overweight-have-grown-2019 MA Industry Divided On Risk Adjustment Audits

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May 27, 2025

Senate Conservatives Want Deep Cuts Conservative senators are arguing that huge new spending cuts need to be added to the budget reconciliation bill if they are to vote for the package. One lawmaker called the bill a “debt bomb.” At least four senators on the right have raised issues with the long-term implications of more debt and deficits. Deficits will grow from $2.2 trillion a year in FFY 2025 to more than $2.5 trillion in FFY 2035. Many want a return to pre-pandemic levels of spending. The Senate problem is a group of moderates who could sink the bill want fewer Medicaid cuts. Also, a good article on the provider tax reductions and impacts on states and providers. And a good article talking about impacts to younger Americans of losing Medicaid. Additional article: https://stateline.org/2025/05/27/republicans-target-a-tax-that-keeps-state-medicaid-programs-running/ and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/medicaid-cuts-impact-young-adults-urban-institute/749030/ #budgetreconciliation #trump #congress #medicaid #coverage https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5316940-trump-bill-fiscal-concerns-republicans CMS To Investigate Illegals On Medicaid Rolls The

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