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Managed Care Is Hitting Yet Another Conversion Cycle

A number of chapters in my book, The Healthcare Labyrinth (available at this site and through leading booksellers), tell the story of American healthcare’s conversion from a fee-for-service system to managed care. The truth is that the conversion has not yet fully matured. We still have an over-reliance on traditional transaction payments, which promotes a cost spiral as well as hurts quality attainment. So, the conversion is still in flight and so far I see four so-called conversion cycles of managed care, with the latest hitting just recently. With each cycle, we seem to make some progress toward a better system, but find major barriers still exist. Let’s take a look at the four conversion cycles and where we are headed. I have put together a quick reference table to help illustrate managed care’s maturation over time. Birth of Managed Care – 1970s to 1990s Description/Challenges – The traditional, fee-for-service

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May 30, 2025

More Fallout From Budget Reconciliation The saga over the House reconciliation bill and what the Senate will do continues. Republicans in swing or moderate districts returned home to town halls with tough questions from their constituents about Medicaid and other social service cuts as well as the fact that deficits will increase under the bill. A healthcare policy group KFF issue briefer allocates the Congressional Budget Office’s federal spending reductions and enrollment losses across the states. The CBO’s latest cost estimates say the bill would reduce federal Medicaid spending by $723 billion over the decade timeframe and that the number of uninsured would increase by 7.6 million due to those cuts. KFF finds that the biggest reduction areas in Medicaid are: Federal cuts to states represent 11% of federal spending on Medicaid over the period. By state, the cuts range from 5% in Wyoming, Alabama, and Wisconsin to 15% in

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May 29, 2025

FDA Commissioner Says Cost-Cutting Could Hurt Generic Introductions President Trump’s first Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner, Scott Gottlieb, made a great point in an opinion piece at statnews.com.  Gottlieb says that Trump did a tremendous job introducing generics swiftly under his first few years in office. Reductions at FDA now could be a boon for brand drug makers as generic approvals will be further backlogged and allow brand makers to effectively maintain a monopoly after patents expire. (Article may require a subscription.) #drugpricing #generics #brands #branddrugmakers #fda https://www.statnews.com/2025/05/28/fda-division-policy-development-generic-drugs-doge-cost-cutting-trump-glp-1s/ PBMs Sue Arkansas Over Ownership Law Pharmacy benefit management managers Express Scripts and CVS Health are suing Arkansas officials to challenge a law that bars PBMs in the state from owning pharmacies. Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/arkansas-governor-signs-bill-barring-pbms-owning-pharmacies (Some articles may require a subscription.) #pbms #drugpricing #pharmacies https://www.modernhealthcare.com/legal/express-scripts-cvs-health-arkansas-pbms Healthcare Costs For Average Person Went Up 6.7% in 2025 The  Milliman Medical Index (MMI), which

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Readers and Listeners Ask About Most Favored Nation Drug Pricing And The GOP’s Healthcare Vision

I wanted to give you two quick mini blogs today on recent topics after a number of inquiries from my blog readers and podcast listeners. They revolve around President Donald Trump’s proposal for most-favored-nation drug pricing and what is the GOP’s vision on healthcare. So, let’s get to the questions: 1 – One reader/listener asked: “How can Donald Trump really implement his most-favored-nation (MFN) drug policies?” As I have alluded to in a number of blogs and podcasts, it is unknown whether the president alone really has the ability to radically change drug prices in Medicare, and it is even more of a question for the commercial and employer world. We have a national rebate program with a state supplemental rebate program in Medicaid. The posture of courts, especially in light of the Chevron decision last year, would seem to point to the likelihood that the Supreme Court might find

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May 28, 2025

Study Shows Proliferation Of GLP-1s A new study finds that the number of people prescribed GLP-1 drugs for weight management has skyrocketed over the past five years. FAIR Health’s study finds that just over 2% of adults in the U.S. took a GLP-1 to treat obesity or being overweight in 2024, up from just 0.3% in 2019. For those not diabetic, the percent of such adults increased from 0.03% in 2019 to 0.67% in 2019, or 1,960.9%. While big national providers have sought to expand GLP-1 coverage while de-risking impacts, other plans are discontinuing coverage due to surging costs. A number of Blues are discontinuing obesity-only GLP-1 coverage. In other news, compounders continue filling compounded GLP-1 drugs by arguing individual formulations are allowable. Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/bcbs-plans-michigan-massachusetts-glp1-coverage and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/glp1-obesity-weight-loss-adoption-fair-health/748963/ and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/inside-drug-pricing-daily-news/telehealth-companies-use-loophole-continue-glp-1-sales (Some articles may require a subscription.) #weightlossdrugs #glp1s #healthplans #pbms #drugpricing #branddrugmakers https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/fair-health-heres-how-much-glp-1-prescriptions-obesity-overweight-have-grown-2019 MA Industry Divided On Risk Adjustment Audits

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May 27, 2025

Senate Conservatives Want Deep Cuts Conservative senators are arguing that huge new spending cuts need to be added to the budget reconciliation bill if they are to vote for the package. One lawmaker called the bill a “debt bomb.” At least four senators on the right have raised issues with the long-term implications of more debt and deficits. Deficits will grow from $2.2 trillion a year in FFY 2025 to more than $2.5 trillion in FFY 2035. Many want a return to pre-pandemic levels of spending. The Senate problem is a group of moderates who could sink the bill want fewer Medicaid cuts. Also, a good article on the provider tax reductions and impacts on states and providers. And a good article talking about impacts to younger Americans of losing Medicaid. Additional article: https://stateline.org/2025/05/27/republicans-target-a-tax-that-keeps-state-medicaid-programs-running/ and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/medicaid-cuts-impact-young-adults-urban-institute/749030/ #budgetreconciliation #trump #congress #medicaid #coverage https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5316940-trump-bill-fiscal-concerns-republicans CMS To Investigate Illegals On Medicaid Rolls The

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May 26, 2025

More Data Needed On Medicare Advantage Payments While the authors of a Health Affairs Forefront blog appear to be sympathetic to charges that Medicare Advantage (MA) is considerably overpaid, they do admit that more data needs to be shared in order to conclude what many academics find with faulty data. They note that MA now costs about 14% of federal outlays and is projected to grow to 18% by 2034. They repeat the dubious statistic that payments to MA plans exceed by 20% what Medicare would spend in the traditional program. But the authors do note that none of the relevant agencies (the Congressional Budget Office, the Office of Management and Budget, the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, the Medicare Trustees, or the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Office of the Actuary) has released public assessments of what Medicare spending would be now or in the future, adjusted for health

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Medicare Advantage Needs To Pivot To Thrive Again

Changes in prior authorization, the Star program, and risk adjustment will force MA plans to pivot to aggressive data analysis and intervention to reduce costs and improve quality. Investor news is crazy with various news about major health plans and the struggles they are seeing. The biggest light has been focused on the sad financial news of Medicare Advantage (MA). There are 340 million people in the country, and there are now almost 70 million seniors and disabled on Medicare. While some major health players, such as The Cigna Group, have divested Medicare plan assets, most others see MA as critical to insurer success overall. After all, MA has huge premiums (let’s say about 2.5 to 3 times other lines of business) and should have margins that are among the best (perhaps 4 to 6% in good years like commercial, compared with 2% at best in Medicaid and the Exchanges).

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May 23, 2025

Senate GOP Looking To Change House Budget Reconciliation Bill Senate Republicans say they’re going to rewrite the 1,116-page budget reconciliation bill the House passed on a tight vote. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, says the Senate needs to be judicious and make minimal changes to avoid another showdown in the House that could sink the bill. But Senate Majority Leader John Thune, R-SD, said his body will definitely have an imprint on the bill. The Senate is generally far more independent than the House. The ideological split we saw in the House is now emerging in the Senate. Rightist Rand Paul, R-KY, will vote against the bill given the provision that increases the debt limit dramatically. Conservatives Ron Johnson, R-WI, Rick Scott, R-FL, and Mike Lee, R-UT, argue much deeper cuts need to occur. Johnson says the bill has a $2.2 trillion deficit on average each year and the bill

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May 22, 2025

Reconciliation Bill Already Creating Anxiety In Senate As the House budget reconciliation bill moves to the Senate, signs are appearing already of a deep ideological divide over the bill. At least two conservatives, Rand Paul, R-KY, and Ron Johnson, R-WI, have questioned whether they will vote for the bill – Paul due to the debt limit provision and Johnson because of too few spending cuts and surging debt. At the same time, moderates and pragmatic conservatives are pushing for Medicaid reductions to be rolled back. Both Lisa Murkowski, R-AK, and Josh Hawley, R-MO, want Medicaid changes. Susan Collins, R-ME, has also weighed in on Medicaid in the past. There are others, too, who are concerned. As such, the Senate has too few votes to pass the House version due to opponents on each side. See my blog today for more details: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/the-budget-rollercoaster-reconciliation-advances-but-big-debate-looms-in-senate/ . In other news, a Modern Healthcare article

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