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February 13, 2026

2026 Medicare Advantage Enrollment Finally Published After a long delay, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services finally published results for January and February for Medicare Advantage (MA). While many predicted that the program would contract, I had said that enrollment would be flat or one of the lowest growths we had seen recently. Some analysts suggested that there would be a decline because of the mass exodus of large plans from certain markets and efforts by them to shed huge enrollment. But despite the huge challenges in the program, MA showed some resiliency. Enrollment in February 2025 was 34.941 million. In December 2025, MA had 35.700 million members. In February, we saw 35.814 million. January numbers showed a contraction from December of about 400K. We know January 2025 numbers had some issues. That could also be the case for January 2026. But February 2025 to February 2026 numbers showed

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February 12, 2026

Aledade Touts Primary Care and VBC Growth Value-based enablement company Aledade added more than 700 primary care practices to its network for 2026 and sees strong momentum for value-based care (VBC) growth. Aledade has more than 3,000 primary care organizations across the country with over 3 million patients in VBC programs. These include Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP), Medicare Advantage (MA), Medicaid, and commercial contracts. Transition to VBC from transaction payments has been slow with a mixed record on savings and better outcomes. See my blog today on VBC: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/the-2027-aca-exchange-rule-the-good-and-bad/ . In other news, Humana President and CEO Jim Rechtin said the company is looking to expand its primary care footprint. He says a strategic acquisition should be announced soon. But as I noted earlier and Becker’s says in its article, the biggest national health plans are under heavy criticism about sweet-heart deals of plans and pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs)

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The 2027 ACA Exchange Rule – The Good and Bad

Critics question the changes, but doesn’t something have to be done to tackle affordability It is hard to digest all the ramifications of the Trump administration’s proposed 2027 Affordable Care Act (ACA) Exchange rule. The proposal was issued just this week and the rule is voluminous – it is 195 pages in small font PDF form! But here goes my best take on some of the changes proposed by the Trump administration on the benefit and coverage front under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on and off the Exchanges. These changes are seminal and mark a major change from the philosophy of the Obama and Biden administrations. They build on changes under regulations during Trump 45, regulations finalized by Trump 47 in 2025, as well as in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA). Hopelessly devoted to generous benefits and subsidies As some background on the Obama and Biden years,

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February 11, 2026

Humana Turning Around But On A Bumpy Road Humana reported Q4 2025 results today. While the Medicare Advantage (MA) insurer is making inroads, the road remains bumpy. During the fourth quarter, Humana’s net loss grew 14.9% to $796 million. Revenue rose 11.3% to $32.5 billion. For the full year, net income declined 1.6% to $1.2 billion and revenue increased 10.1% to $129.7 billion. Humana reported an medical loss ratio (MLR) of 93% in the fourth quarter and 90.2% in 2025. Humana ended 2025 with 5.8 million MA members, a 6.3% decline since 2024. It expects enrollment to be 25% higher this year. This is in contrast to most of the other large national plans. Humana says earnings from individual MA plans will dip just below breakeven this year. Humana stock tumbled because investors fear benefits are too high for 2026, driving enrollment. This could impact margins in 2026, which investors

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February 10, 2026

Unlikely Pair Attacking Vertical Integration An unlikely pair of senators, Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, and Josh Hawley, R-MO, have teamed up to pass the “Break Up Medicine Act.” The bill would seek to break up major vertically integrated healthcare behemoths due to the cozy relationships companies within the master entity have with each other. The bill proposes prohibiting parent companies from owning a medical provider or management services organization and a PBM or insurer. It also proposes prohibiting parent companies of prescription drug or medical device wholesalers from owning a medical provider or management services organization. #healthplans #verticalintegration https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5732189-break-up-big-medicine-act CVS Health Reports Good Financial News; Oscar Health Reports Loss CVS Health beat The Street by outperforming to close out 2025 and expects its finances to improve further this year. Still, it is citing proposed 2027 Medicare Advantage (MA) rates as inadequate. It is advocating for a hike. It did say it

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February 9, 2026

Seismic Changes To ACA and Exchanges Proposed Building on changes in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) and other regulatory changes in 2025, the Trump administration’s 2027 Affordable Care Act (ACA) and Exchange rule aims to make additional seismic changes in healthcare. Among the major changes include: Proponents argue the changes are needed to reduce costs and provide more affordable options. Critics argue the changes will simply erode the Exchanges financial position and increase risk. Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/cms-plans-roll-back-limits-non-standard-aca-plan-options and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/aca/cms-proposes-aca-implementation-rule/ and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/cms-proposes-regulations-lower-health-care-costs-expand-consumer-choice-protect-taxpayers and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/hhs-notice-benefit-payment-parameters-2027-proposed-rule #exchanges #healthcare #coverage #trump #cms #regulations https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-aca-exchange-rule-2027-standardized-coverage Kaiser Reports Good Financials Kaiser Permanente reported good financial news for Q4 and 2025. It tripled its operating income although operating expenses surged. It reported operating income of $1.4 billion last year, up from $569 million in 2024. The turnaround is tied to investments in operational improvements. Kaiser Permanente and its subsidiaries wrapped 2025 with a 10.3% bump

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Is Value-Based Care Really Making A Difference or Not?

Detractors say no, but at maturity VBC/VBP offers hope in concert with other reforms A recent Health Affairs Forefront Blog challenged popular wisdom on the potential of value-based care (VBC) and value-based payments (VBP). According to the authors of the January 23 blog, value-based payments (VBP) and managed care will not solve the ongoing affordability crisis in healthcare. While some of the authors’ points are not wrong (including other root causes to high costs), I feel like they failed to consider the transformational journey we are on. So, let’s dig into the topic. What is VBC/VBP? VBC payments are meant to move from the fee-for-service (FFS) transactional payment system to one driven by efficiency and quality. What do I mean by transaction payments? For the past many decades, most payments in our healthcare system were made as a fee for each service transacted in the healthcare system. That can be

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February 6, 2026

Centene Reports Financial Results Centene Corporation posted a $1.1 billion loss in Q4 2025 and $6.7 billion loss for 2025 as it sees elevated costs overall and shrinking membership in Medicaid. It had $3 billion in profit in 2024. Its medical loss ratio was 94.3% in Q4, up from 89.6% a year ago. Adversity is increasing. While it did post a loss in Q4, results still surpassed Wall Street analysts’ predictions. Centene issued a higher earnings outlook for 2026 than analysts expected as well. As with Molina, which reported negative results for 2025 and financial expectations in 2026 that are half of analyst forecasts, Centene said states’ Medicaid payment rates haven’t kept pace with costs. Acuity is also rising in the Exchanges. Both Centene and Molina stock dropped. Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-molina-medicaid-acquisitions-medicare-advantage/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-centene-earnings-medicare-medicaid/ and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/centene-loss-q4-2025-2026-outlook-cnc/811564/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/financial/centene-posts-6-7b-loss-in-2025/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #healthplans #margins #centene #molina #medicaid #exchanges https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/centene-reports-11b-loss-q4-elevated-medical-costs-continue-strain-finances Cheering

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February 5, 2026

TrumpRx Unveiled; Novo Nordisk Reports Bad 2026 Guidance TrumpRx was unveiled Thursday. The president negotiated deals with 16 of the 17 largest brand drug makers and part of the arrangement includes steep discounts on TrumpRx for self-pay Americans. The initial launch includes discounted products from AstraZeneca, Eli Lilly, EMD Serono, Novo Nordisk and Pfizer. Additional manufacturers that have signed agreements will have products added to the platform over time. Right now, 43 prescription drugs treating various different conditions at varying discounts are on the website. Medications for asthma, infertility and obesity are among those available. The savings range between 33 and 93 percent off the list price of the drugs. Trump has been driving other changes as well, including deploying models for most-favored-nation (MFN) pricing in Medicaid and Medicare. The deals he struck already gained MFN in Medicaid and such pricing on new drugs that come to market. Some criticize

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Could Even More Medicare Advantage Star Changes Be Around The Corner?

NOTE: Co-published in partnership with Lilac Software. See more on Lilac at the end of the blog. More changes could be slated in the future by CMS and Congress Just as the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) published its proposed 2027 Medicare Advantage (MA) and Part D rule with major Star Ratings restructuring, there is now even more chatter about further changes. This has to be giving MA plans huge anxiety. Right now, more than $12.7 billion in quality bonuses flow to about 40% of all contracts in MA. A summary of the regulatory changes proposed in the 2027 MA and Part D rule In addition to cancelling out the EHO4all health equity reward and introducing a new depression measure, CMS proposed to eliminate 12 (14 if you count overlap between Part C and D) operational and other measures that did not show variability in performance. Eliminating these

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