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May 8, 2025

Drugs: Trump May Propose MFN; PBMs Using Various Ways To Control GLP-1 Costs Politico reports exclusively that Donald Trump is on the verge of proposing most-favored nation (MFN) pricing, the strictest form of international reference pricing, to lower drug costs. The executive order would cover the Medicare program for now, but recently the president urged MFN for Medicaid as well. The move would be a major confrontation with the brand drug industry. I have argued Trump’s populism would win out here and he would propose something like this. My blog on the topic: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/expect-big-things-from-donald-trump-on-drug-prices/ . In other news, pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) are using various and disparate ways to reduce GLP-1 weight-loss drug trends. CVS has dropped Zepbound in favor of Wegovy in the commercial world. It is also using NovoCare, Novo Nordisk’s direct-to-consumer platform for GLP-1s. Humana will also use NovoCare. In 2024, Cigna launched EncircleRx, a program that controls

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Stuck In The Mud: The Budget Reconciliation Quagmire

Things do not look good for quick passage of a budget reconciliation bill. President Donald Trump congratulated Republicans in the House when they bowed to a Senate reconciliation framework that endorsed lower spending reductions. This was not because he didn’t favor reductions – he does – but he wanted the process to continue. But since the vote, it has become very clear that the GOP is struggling to come up with enough votes to pass a package that a majority in each chamber can support. Senate moderates and pragmatic conservatives insisted that reductions in the healthcare world should be minimal. The same holds true for about two dozen House GOP moderates. Conservatives and budget hawks in the House only agreed to the Senate framework after Trump and Speaker Mike Johnson committed to robust spending reductions. Disparate interests So how do you reconcile the two agendas, especially in the few short

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May 7, 2025

Trump Says Drug Tariffs Coming President Donald Trump announced that he plans to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical products within the next two weeks. In addition, he issued an executive order directing the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), and other agencies to facilitate domestic pharmaceutical production and to raise fees for inspecting foreign drug plants. Health plans and pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs) have had a mixed reaction to the imposition of tariffs. CVS Health and Centene see impact that they are studying now, while United Healthcare said it has less concern. Over time, prices will be passed through the supply chain and ultimately to health plans, which will have to pass on costs to employer groups. Government programs would over time recognize cost hikes as well. At the same time, tariffs costs could end up in diminished formularies and higher cost-sharing. The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers

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May 6, 2025

Budget Reconciliation Could Slip Into The Summer A prominent GOP lawmaker told hospital stakeholders today that action on budget reconciliation spending cuts could slip into the summer. Rep. Buddy Carter, R-GA, who chairs a key health subcommittee, indicated the possible slowdown. In addition, hospital leaders exhorted lawmakers to avoid sweeping cuts, which could include work requirements, reduced state matches for the expansion population, fraud reduction, and a per capita cap funding mechanism. They also want the Exchange enhanced subsidies to continue. Insiders say Medicaid per-capita caps and other major structural reforms to the program were being put on the back burner due to moderates’ concerns, but budget hawk conservatives revolted. The committee was readying about $621 billion in Medicaid cuts over ten years. The package included numerous eligibility reforms and restrictions, a reduction in Medicaid expansion match, work requirements, and reducing provider tax allowable rates to 5%. Medicaid spread pricing

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May 5, 2025

International Reference Pricing Bill To Lower Drug Prices Unveiled Two senators, conservative Josh Hawley, R-MO, and progressive Peter Welch, D-VT, have introduced legislation to lower prescription drug prices. The bill would prohibit pharmaceutical companies from selling drugs in the U.S. at prices higher than the international average. This is a form of international reference pricing (IRP). Trump proposed IRP for Medicare Part B drugs under Trump 45 and said he wanted to do so in Medicare Part D as well. The proposal was later pulled back by the Biden administration. Trump has now called for most-favored nation (MFN) pricing for Medicaid. MFN is a form of IRP.  Trump also unveiled a master executive order to reduce drug prices in America. This bill is an important development as it includes a conservative senator. It appears that populism is winning over the GOP, which is usually very friendly to Big Pharma. I

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Tariffs’ Impact On Healthcare Costs

Tariffs could have an ugly impact on healthcare costs and access I have gotten a number of inquiries from readers on the impact of new or potential tariffs on the healthcare system. To be honest, the picture is not terribly clear, but certainly new and future tariffs could demonstrably impact costs in healthcare. America’s healthcare imports reliance America is heavily reliant on imports for medical equipment, supplies, devices, finished pharmaceuticals, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) used to manufacture pharmaceuticals. Here are some quick facts: What is in force now and what is proposed? While a baseline tariff is in effect for most countries, the Trump administration did forestall for 90 days imposition of reciprocal tariffs. If those are eventually put in place, much greater tariffs would be in force. Heightened tariffs are in force for China and a few other countries. So far, the tariffs from the Trump administration clearly

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May 2, 2025

Cigna Reports Good Financial News The Cigna Group reported $1.3 billion in profit for the first quarter of 2025, bucking the trends that have hurt other companies in the insurance industry. Its earnings surpassed Wall Street’s expectations. The company posted a $277 million loss in the prior year quarter. Cigna reported $65.5 billion. That’s up from $57.3 billion for Q1 2024. Cigna faced less pressure around medical costs, reporting a medical loss ratio of 82.2% – up from 79.9% a year ago. Cigna just sold its Medicare assets to Health Care Service Corporation (HCSC). It also announced two new GLP-1 programs. In other news, insurtech Alignment Healthcare exceeded its high-end guidance for the first quarter. The company posted $926.9 million in revenue, up 47.5% year over year. Adjusted gross profit came in at $107.2 million. Alignment still posted a net loss for the quarter at $9.4 million. Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/cigna-bucks-medical-cost-trend-posts-13b-q1-profit

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May 1, 2025

Trump Meets House Leaders On Medicaid Cuts President Donald Trump met with House GOP leaders to discuss Medicaid reductions. Trump said he opposes Medicaid coverage cuts but would support efforts to rein in fraud, waste, and abuse. But Trump has given little word about what would violate his pledge to protect Medicaid. Conservatives want deep cuts and have sent a letter to colleagues saying they want “meaningful reforms” in budget reconciliation. They singled out reducing the Medicaid expansion enhanced reimbursement. Moderates are lining up against reductions, with moderate Don Bacon saying he is leaning against reductions in federal matching funds or provider tax changes. Bacon did say he would support up to $500 million in cuts over the ten-year window. He would support work requirements, more frequent eligibility, and bars on the undocumented. In other news, a poll from healthcare policy group KFF finds that large majorities of Americans, including

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The Economist Says Hospitals Are Major Culprits For High Healthcare Costs

The British news magazine is on point as to the inefficiency of hospitals My favorite news magazine, The Economist, had a great article on U.S. healthcare in its March 22, 2025 edition. The title said it all: “For all they care: How hospitals inflate America’s giant healthcare bill.” It is a subject I write about often and The Economist told it as well as anyone could. Let’s summarize what the magazine wrote and I will give you a few additional insights. As The Economist asks, who is to blame for the enormous costs in the American healthcare system, which are twice the average of other wealthy countries and yet outcomes are no better (actually far worse)? As the magazine notes, many point to drug makers and health plans. But The Economist featured hospitals as the major culprit. The Economist calls attention to the following key facts: The Economist blames the

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April 30, 2025

Humana Stuns With Great Numbers In Recovery Humana stunned investors with great Q1 recovery numbers, well above what investors had expected. The company beat earnings expectations for the first quarter and reaffirmed its 2025 guidance. Medical costs for the Medicare Advantage (MA)-dominant insurer came in as predicted. Humana had a profit of $1.2 billion, up 68% compared to the first quarter last year. Humana has shed unprofitable MA lives in an effort to get back to a 3% margin by 2027. As important, Humana is seeking to undo a huge concentration of its MA lives in one very large master contract. This will take several years. When Humana’s Star performance was industry-leading, the concentration helped. But that contract dropped dramatically in Star Year 2025, causing a huge loss of quality bonus and rate rebate revenue. Humana still expects a medical loss ratio (MLR) for the full year of between 90.1%

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