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Oscar Health Slashes Earnings Guidance The trend continues of large health plans surprising The Street with major slashes in guidance with little or no notice. While its Q2 investor call is not until August 6, Oscar Health announced today it is slashing its full-year guidance by about half a billion dollars. The insurer expects a loss from operations of $200 million to $300 million just months after estimating earnings from operations of $225 million to $275 million. Elevated utilization is a big culprit. Oscar’s medical loss ratio is climbing to between 86% and 87%, more than 5% higher than initially forecast. Oscar had an operating loss of about $230 million in Q2, when analysts expected an operating profit of $55.5 million. Oscar is a 100% Exchange plan. Revenue and margin concerns likely will continue given the expiration of the enhanced premium subsidies and enrollment tightening in a new rule and

Final Budget Score In From CBO: 10 Million To Lose Coverage The One Big Beautiful Bill Act that President Donald Trump signed into law on Independence Day will add $3.4 trillion to the national debt from 2025 to 2034. This is from the final scoring of the bill from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). The estimated deficit rise reflects $1.1 trillion in cuts to direct spending and a $4.5 trillion government revenue loss due to extended and new tax cuts. CBO also projects the number of uninsured individuals will increase by 10 million by 2034 due to the Medicaid and Exchange reductions in the bill. This is about 2 million less than previously estimated due to some provisions being ruled unallowable by the Senate parliamentarian. Adding the expected 4.2 million to lose coverage when the enhanced Exchnage subsidies expire December 31 as well the 900,000 to lose coverage due to

Humana Loses Stars Lawsuit Humana’s lawsuit on Star calculations was thrown out of court this week. The judge indicated that the plan did not exhaust internal appeals processes at the time of the filing and thus the suit did not have standing. The suit could be refiled, though. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) later rejected Humana’s appeal. Humana’s suit was far-reaching and pointed. It said CMS did not follow its own regulations in its methodology for calculating ratings and said the agency does not provide plans the necessary data to calculate aspects of Star ratings. As an example, Humana said it could not replicate 60% of CMS’ cut point calculations. Humana’s average Star score fell from 4.37 in 2024 to 3.63 for 2025. Despite the lawsuit outcome, Humana is not wrong in its premise that inadequate data and a lack of transparency pervades the Star process. While

Democratic States Challenge Exchange Rule Finalization Democratic states sued the Trump administration today over the finalization of the Exchange rule that will significantly tighten the enrollment season and dampen eligibility. Provisions in the budget reconciliation bill will further clampdown on enrollment. The states are arguing that the administration did not follow all regulatory rules before finalization and that the rule is arbitrary and capricious. They also argue that the changes will boost the uninsured rate and cost states a great deal of money. In related news, the administration supplied data on improper enrollments in government programs. Analyzing 2024 enrollment data, the administration found 1.2 million enrolled in Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program in multiple states, and 1.6 million enrolled in one of those programs and an Exchange plan. Data-sharing and procedural requirements in the budget bill seek to further address this issue. As well, the Centers for Medicare

Employers Could Transfer Costs to Employees While there has been some increased costs for employees the past few years, employers attempted to shelter much of the huge trend in employer healthcare costs from their employees. Given ongoing trends, that is likely about to change. Analysts at Mercer polled 711 employers and found that 51% said they are likely or very likely to shift costs to employees in 2026. That’s up from 45% in 2025. About 19% said they were very likely to shift costs and 33% said they were likely to do so in 2026. More than half of employers are likely or very likely to make plan design changes that will shift more cost sharing to employees in 2026. Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/mercer-survey-employers-may-make-return-healthcare-cost-shifting-strategies #employercoverage #healthcare #coverage https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/employers-plan-to-shift-more-healthcare-costs-to-employees-2026-10-things-to-know Study Looks At Consequences Of Medicaid Cuts New research in JAMA Health Forum says Medicaid cuts in the budget reconciliation bill could have far-reaching

CMS Issues Additional Payment Reform Rules After publishing a far-reaching rule Monday, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) issued today a proposed reform rule as well as proposed rates for outpatient hospitals and ambulatory surgery centers. Outpatient rates for hospitals would increase by 2.4% in 2026. Ambulatory surgery centers also would increase by 2.4% in 2026. Most important, CMS proposes important reforms to reduce the costs in Medicare over time. Many of these were proposed earlier during Trump 45, but the Biden administration rescinded the proposals upon coming to office. The reforms include: — Phasing out the inpatient only list over a 3-year period and allowing the services to be performed in a hospital outpatient setting or ambulatory surgery center. — Reforming the ambulatory surgery center list by updating its general criteria and shifting five exclusion criteria into a new, nonbinding section to allow the expansion of services,

Medicare Physician 2026 Rate And Reforms The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) released its 2026 physician fee schedule on Monday evening, announcing an increase of 3.62% over the 2025 rate. The budget reconciliation bill increased rates for that year by 2.5%. The added amount was due to other changes in the rate-setting system. Physicians in alternative payment models will see an increase of 3.83%. CMS also unveiled a series of rate and other reforms, including rewarding certain physicians for avoiding hospitalizations, coordinating better with primary care, and early intervention. CMS also proposed removing 10 quality measures that do not improve patient health outcomes and introduced five new ones, with an emphasis on preventive services and expanding Medicare diabetes prevention. Additional articles: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/cms-proposes-36-pay-bump-docs-takes-aim-chronic-conditions-physician-fee-schedule and https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/cms-pitches-2026-physician-pay-plan-with-2-conversion-factors-8-things-to-know/ and https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/cms-proposes-2026-medicare-rule-6-notes/ and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/calendar-year-cy-2026-medicare-physician-fee-schedule-pfs-proposed-rule-cms-1832-p and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/fact-sheets/calendar-year-cy-2026-medicare-physician-fee-schedule-proposed-rule-cms-1832-p-medicare-shared and https://www.cms.gov/newsroom/press-releases/cms-proposes-physician-payment-rule-significantly-cut-spending-waste-enhance-quality-measures-and (Some articles may require a subscription.) #cms #medicare #regulations #providers #physicians #acos https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-medicare-physician-pay-cms-2026 A Second Budget