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HLC Report Shreds MedPAC On MA Risk Adjustment And Overpayments

Congress should take note of a report that rips apart MedPAC’s sometimes biased analyses In my March 9 blog on the great exaggeration of the death of Medicare Advantage (MA), I told you about a recent opinion piece by former Health and Human Services secretaries Donna Shalala and Tommy Thompson supporting MA and questioning analyses by congressional Medicare policy arm MedPAC. In it they refer to the Healthcare Leadership Council’s (HLC) September 2025 report that literally ripped apart the government advisory entity’s MA analyses. For years, I have been saying MedPAC as well as many academics have clear anti-MA bias. Their analyses are flawed and use old data to confuse the public and lawmakers. I have cited studies that stand in stark contrast to these biased analyses. But the HLC’s report, titled “Setting the Record Straight: The Fact’s Behind MedPAC’s Misleading Cost Analysis of Medicare Advantage,” is perhaps the most

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March 18, 2026

Praise For And Panning Of Trump Proposals Insurers and hospitals are largely together in criticizing the Trump administration’s proposed rule to allow non-network benefit plans to become qualified health plans under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and in the Exchanges. The groups say individuals won’t be able to grasp the differences between network and non-network plans and this would expose them to higher-than-expected out-of-pocket costs. Trump officials argue premiums have gone up so much over the years that alternatives must be tested. At the same time, in an unlikely event, billionaire entrepreneur Mark Cuban praised the federal government’s TrumpRx drug platform, saying the initiative is saving Americans money. “Everyone wants me to rip on TrumpRx,” Cuban wrote on X. “Reality is, it’s saving patients money on IVF and a few other drugs. A lot of money. IMO, anything that saves patients money is a win.” Cuban is right. While TrumpRx

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March 17, 2026

Moody’s Keeps Insurers On Negative Outlook Credit agency Moody’s Ratings has affirmed the negative credit outlook for the health insurance industry. Moody’s says medical costs continue to rise and plans will have limited prospects for profitable growth. It expects plan redesigns, benefit cuts, and exits from low-performing markets to continue. Moody’s notes that cost inflation has impacted every business line and will continue through the coming months. It says reimbursement rates have generally lagged these inflation rates. #healthplans #margins https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/moodys-insurers-2026-outlook-negative-cost-pressures-continue-batter-industry Healthcare Entities Struggle With Interoperability Mandate The Workgroup for Electronic Data Interchange (WEDI) says a share of payers and providers have yet to start working toward the application programming interface (API) requirements for the interoperability and prior authorization final rule. WEDI advises the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) on health information technology. Payers and providers must complete API requirements by Jan. 1, 2027.  As of February, 10% of

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March 16, 2026

CMS Quality Conference Opens The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Quality Conference began today with some major addresses by CMS Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz and other top officials. I will have a blog on the major addresses soon. In the meantime, some key points that were addressed: At the HIMSS conference in Las Vegas last week, Oz went all in on the use of AI, agentic AI, and digital health. Opening the CMS conference, Oz raised some of the same themes, saying CMS is devoted to a tech-first transformation, interoperability, and patients engaging digitally. He said technology was a solution to controlling disease exacerbation, rural health access, and driving annual wellness visits. Oz also noted the following: In related news, announced grant applications for the ELEVATE Model in Medicare. The model will offer Medicare coverage to functional and lifestyle medicine providers. Interested participants seeking grants under the model

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An MA Transparency Scorecard Is A Good Idea

NOTE: This blog is co-published in collaboration with Lilac Software. Learn more about Lilac’s Stars Analytics and Agentic AI solutions at https://lilacsoftware.com. A transparency scorecard could be adopted over time as a parallel initiative to promote better accountability Back on February 5, I did a blog that covered changes in the Medicare Advantage Star program and how things may transform even more. I covered the major changes in the Trump administration’s proposal to eliminate operational or administrative measures; proposals congressional policy arm MedPAC has made over the years; and a January 22 Health Affairs Forefront blog where a former Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) innovation official (Liz Fowler) and colleagues outlined their proposals for reform of Star. I noted that the influential Paragon Health Institute has also proposed some additional radical changes. See that detailed blog here: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/could-even-more-medicare-advantage-star-changes-be-around-the-corner/ . In addition to endorsing the retirement of the administrative

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March 13, 2026

CMS All In On AI and Digital Health Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz championed the use of AI, agentic AI, and digital health at a recent healthcare tech conference. CMS is rapidly endorsing models to use such technology, and CMS is starting to use the technology too. Oz argued that such tech could help reduce rural healthcare gaps and that digital health and remote patient monitoring also could reduce costs by focusing care further upstream before diseases become acute. Oz argued: “I can win the battle for health, not in the ER or in the ICU, but in your home, in your kitchen, your bedroom, in your living room, with remote patient monitoring and better tools to validate that.” Seniors appear to be endorsing the technology too. A recent healthcare policy group KFF survey found that the vast majority of seniors are using digital

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March 12, 2026

New Poll Finds Unaffordability Having Consequences As we enter the midterms, healthcare affordability remains a significant challenge. A new poll finds that one in three Americans had to cut back on daily living expenses to afford care. A new West Health/Gallup survey says about a third of those surveyed cut back on at least one daily expense to afford healthcare last year. That is the equivalent of about 82 million Americans. For those that did not have insurance, about 62% said they made a cutback. For those with income of $24,000 or less, the tradeoff rate was about 55%. About 48% of those earning between $24,000 and $48,000 in annual household income said the same. In other news, a Modern Healthcare analysis finds that healthcare revenue rose faster than all other services categories in 2025. Increased prices and growing demand from an aging population drove much of this. Revenue tied

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A Look At The Status Of Congressional Midterm Elections

House very likely to go Democratic with Senate in favor of GOP but increasingly in play A quick blog and a little off topic from my regular entries today. As many of you know, I have been involved in politics all my life – at the local, state, and national levels. I love taking periodic peaks at how elections are shaping up. In the past, I have offered my predictions on elections and today we will take a look at the status of the 2026 midterm elections for Congress in both chambers. My earlier prediction for 2026 midterms When I wrote my annual healthcare prediction blog for the coming year on December 31, 2025, I predicted the following for the 2026 midterms: (1) The Senate would maintain its GOP majority and have between 51 and 53 seats going into January 2027. Today’s Senate count is 53 for the GOP and

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March 11, 2026

Aetna Settles MA Risk Adjustment Case Aetna will pay $117.7 million to resolve False Claims Act allegations that it overbilled the Medicare program. The agreement settles claims related to past risk adjustment submissions in Medicare Advantage (MA). The Department of Justice said some diagnostic codes were not fully supported but were still submitted to secure higher payouts. Aetna also failed to withdraw some inaccurate diagnoses. Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-aetna-medicare-advantage-upcoding-claims/ and https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/medicare-advantage/aetna-to-pay-118m-to-resolve-medicare-advantage-upcoding-allegations/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #medicareadvantage #riskadjustment #overpayments #fwa https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/aetna-pay-1177m-settle-medicare-advantage-false-claims-case-doj CMS Goes Hollywood On Fraud The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) has gone Hollywood with glitzy ads bringing attention to fraud, waste, and abuse (FWA). The Trump administration has had some success. The Department of Justice reported a record $6.8 billion in settlements and judgments under the False Claims Act in the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30, 2025. #fwa #cms https://www.medpagetoday.com/special-reports/exclusives/120256 Researchers Track MA Diversity A

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March 10, 2026

Oz Says Exchanges Have Major Fraud Problem Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Administrator Dr. Mehmet Oz claimed in his strongest terms yet that he believes major fraud exists in the Exchange enrollment process. He says millions could be inappropriately enrolled. Conservatives say the enhanced Exchange subsidies that have now expired led to millions being enrolled due to zero or near-zero premiums. A number of brokers have been accused of fraudulently enrolling Americans. In January, enrollment in the Exchanges dropped about 1 million, which is far less than estimates. Conservative groups, including the Paragon Institute, have argued that so-called “shadow enrollees” remain in the program. Oz did say he expects enrollment to drop throughout the year to around 19 million. In part this is because of affordability issues due to premium hikes and people being unwilling to pay any premium. #exchanges #coverage #fwa https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5776734-oz-claims-aca-fraud-millions JEC Piles On Regarding MA

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