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June 29, 2026

States Sue on Work Requirements Democratic governors and attorneys general from 25 states and Washington, D.C. are suing the Trump administration over the proposed Medicaid work requirements regulation. States argue the rule narrows exemptions for medically frail Medicaid beneficiaries and creates administrative barriers that could cause eligible people to lose coverage. The plaintiffs say the rule goes well beyond the statute by requiring people with serious health conditions to prove their condition significantly impairs their ability to meet work requirements. Additional: https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/legal-regulatory-issues/25-states-sue-trump-admin-over-medicaid-work-requirements-7-things-to-know/ and https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-medicaid-work-requirement-lawsuit-democrats-bonta/ (Some articles may require a subscription.) #medicaid #workrequirements #states https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5946392-lawsuit-trump-medicaid-exemptions/ GLP-1 Bridge Population Healthcare policy group KFF finds that 3.8 million Medicare beneficiaries meet the criteria to be eligible for the new Medicare GLP-1 Bridge. The group looked at claims data from 2023. The proposed BALANCE program failed to attract enough plan participation. Instead, the Trump administration will run Bridge from July 2026 to Dec 2027.

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May to June 2026 Medicare Advantage Enrollment

June enrollment growth slows, but SNPs surge In a February 16 blog, I detailed the growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) from February 2025 to February 2026 after a delay from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) in posting the annual data. As I noted, the January enrollment statistics in both years seemed off so many analysts are comparing February to February each year. Each month since then I have updated with monthly growth numbers. Now, we have June results. For those who may have missed earlier blogs, I am refreshing on some of the annual results. The annual statistics show some of the financial struggles the industry continues to have. Growth is way down compared with prior years in the 2020s due to major geographic contractions as well as plan benefit reductions by major MA players the past few years. As the chart below shows, February 2025 to

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June 26, 2026

Exchange Enrollment Falls Dramatically A number of analyses have predicted that Exchange enrollment nationally will fall in 2026 after dropping from 24.3M in 2025 to 23.1 in January 2026. The analyses said that enrollment would drop to as low as 17.5M as people would not be able to afford their premiums throughout the year. Sure enough, the predictions seem to have come true, and the news may be being buried. Today, a Health and Human Services (HHS) website posted an analysis on fraudulent and phantom enrollments and deep in the release were latest enrollment figures. HHS says around 19.2 million people are enrolled in the Exchanges as of now, a drop of about 4M since January. HHS says millions are inappropriately receiving subsidies, including individuals misstating their income to gain access to free plans and phantom enrollees (those who are unknowingly enrolled in free plans by unscrupulous brokers or are

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133. Healthcare Reform 5-Part Series – Episode 1: A Modest Election-Year Proposal for Healthcare Reform — Why America Needs a Grand Bargain

This week, I start by 5-part series on healthcare reform as we approach the 2026 midterms. About The Podcast: Millions of Americans feel confused and frustrated in their search for quality healthcare coverage. Between out-of-control costs, countless inefficiencies, a lack of affordable universal access, and little focus on wellness and prevention, the system is clearly in dire need of change. Hosted by healthcare policy and technology expert Marc S. Ryan, the Healthcare Labyrinth Podcast offers accessible, incisive deep dives on the most pressing issues and events in American healthcare. Marc seeks to help Americans become wiser consumers and navigate the healthcare maze with more confidence and certainty through The Healthcare Labyrinth website and his book of the same name. Marc is an unconventional Republican who believes that affordable universal access is a wise and prudent investment. He recommends common-sense solutions to reform American healthcare. Tune in every week as Marc

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June 25, 2026

Cassidy Wants 340B Reform Sen. Bill Cassidy, R-LA, unveiled a draft for 340B reform today and challenged the public to offer comments for the possible passage of legislation later in the year. This would be the first time any statutory changes to 340B would be made in 15 years. There are numerous reforms aimed at controlling costs, reining in inappropriate use of the program, reducing duplicative discounts, and ensuring savings are actually passed through to needy consumers. The hospital lobby and others oppose any changes. Numerous studies show that 340B hospitals tend to have higher prices than non-340B ones. Changes would include the ability of drug makers to offer upfront discounts or retrospective rebates, claims submission, and mandatory pass-through of the rebates. There would also be a set number of contract pharmacies within each geographic region that a qualifying provider could have. Additional article: https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/providers/cassidys-new-plan-reform-340b-rebates-contract-pharmacy-limits-and-more (Some articles may require a

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MedPAC Examines Medicare Enrollment’s Mind-Boggling Complexity

The process shows the need for healthcare reform I am not the biggest fan of MedPAC, the congressional Medicare policy arm. For example, I have taken issue with what I think is its slanted views on Medicare Advantage (MA) overpayments. But recently, I did give it some credit on its look at hospital financial health when MA penetration increases. It was a balanced look and concluded that MA penetration is not tied to financial instability as some hospital lobbies suggest. Empirical analyses conducted by MedPAC staff showed no evidence of a significant association between MA market penetration and all-payer margins of hospitals, skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), and home health agencies. Negative impacts do not appear to be the case in rural markets, either. That is Chapter 3 of the MedPAC report (link at end of the blog). I will likely write more about this soon. My real reason for writing

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June 24, 2026

CMS Actuary: $9T Healthcare In Our Future The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Actuary released annual outyear growth projections for healthcare. The actuary says U.S. healthcare spending will hit just short of $9 trillion by 2034. That will be 20.6% of gross domestic product (GDP). While final numbers for 2025 will be tallied by December, the actuary also said healthcare spending was about $5.7 trillion in 2025, up 7.3% from about $5.3 trillion in 2024. That was about 18% of GDP. This is the third straight year of over 7% growth. The average growth over the decade will be about 5.4%, which is lower than previous projections. But healthcare spending will continue to grow faster than the rest of the economy during the decade period projected. Utilization increases have been one of the major culprits for aggressive trends the past few years. This will continue in 2026 and

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June 23, 2026

Less Than 50% Are Healthcare Cost Secure A new West Health-Gallup Affordability Index survey classifies just 49% of American adults as “Cost Secure” down two percentage points from 2024 and down 12 percentage points from 2022. Forty-one percent of adults in 2025 are considered “Cost Insecure” and 10% of adults are considered “Cost Desperate.” Affordability, and specifically healthcare affordability, is a top election-year issue. #affordability #healthcare #coverage https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/gallup-poll-claims-less-50-american-adults-can-afford-healthcare Exchange Rates To Jump Again Health insurance companies say premiums will spike again in 2027 after a huge surge in 2026. Rate filings are underway. Hikes discussed by plans generally are between 11 and 26%, with one request as high as 52%. Enhanced subsidies’ expiration saw enrollment decline and risk increase. Those trends are continuing along with utilization and cost hikes. In other news, Elevance Health confirmed it will exit Ohio’s small group insurance market by year’s end. Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/mh-elevance-health-ohio-small-group-aca/ (Articles

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June 22, 2026

States Worried Rural Funding Could Be Clawed Back After announcing the Rural Health Transformation with much fanfare, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) is now threatening clawbacks of funding or reductions of future allocations if states do not meet policy goals and requirements set out by the agency. CMS is rejecting and reshaping state plans under the $50 billion program. States are struggling not only with the policy goals but also the speed by which the program must be implemented and dollars spent. While many of the Trump administration policy goals are noble, states and rural providers are focused more on efforts to balance budgets and keeping the doors open. (Article may require a subscription.) #cms #healthcare #ruralhealthcare #obbba https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-regulation/mh-cms-rural-health-fund-clawbacks — Marc S. Ryan

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Showing How Watershed The Stars Ruling Was, My Fourth Blog On The Clover Decision This Month

CMS’ approach is right and should move quickly to return the program to its SY 2029 vision This is my fourth Clover-related blog this month, but the ruling was so watershed — and the potential impacts so far-reaching — that I had to tackle the topic again. I, too, wanted to signal to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) why it is so important to hold plans harmless now as well as push to salvage its 2029 vision for a more targeted Stars program. For those who are just getting up to speed or need to on the issue, here is a brief synopsis of the events of the last month or so on this important Medicare Advantage (MA) Star Year (SY) 2026 Ratings issue. What did the judge say and what did CMS do for SY 2026? At first, many of us reported that the judge pulled

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