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Trump May Veto Subsidy Bill If Passes; Exchange Enrollment Down About 1.5M So Far With days left before open enrollment ends for the season, the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) reports that about 22.8 million consumers have signed up for 2026 individual market Exchange coverage thus far. This is surprisingly robust. About 21.4 million enrolled in 2024 and about 24.3 million enrolled in 2025. The 1.5 million drop is less than the 2.2 million people the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) said would lose coverage in 2026. The CBO said an average of 3.8 million more uninsured people annually would result from 2026-2034. The results so far include 15.6 million Exchange selections in the 30 states using the HealthCare.gov platform for the 2026 plan year and 7.2 million plan selections in the 20 states and the District of Columbia with state-based Exchanges (SBEs) that are using their own eligibility

J&J Becomes Latest Drug Firm To Strike Price Deal Johnson & Johnson arrived at a deal with the Trump administration to lower prices for certain prescription drugs in exchange for tariff relief. As with other deals, J&J will offer specific drugs for sale directly to consumers at significant discounts through the Trump administration’s TrumpRx website. It will offer its drugs to the Medicaid program at comparable prices to other developed countries. It will also give the most-favored-nation (MFN) price on new drug introductions. J&J said it is planning two new U.S. manufacturing facilities as part of a previously announced $55 billion investment. #drugpricing #branddrugmakers #mfn   https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5681535-johnson-johnson-trump-drug-prices/?tbref=hp Congress Could Ban PA in Medicare FFS Lawmakers explored the merits of a bill that would block the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) from implementing a pilot program to test whether prior authorization (PA) should be piloted in traditional Medicare fee-for-service (FFS). The model would be tested

The Courageous 4 Becomes The Courageous 17 The House voted 230-196 to extend enhanced Exchanges premium subsidies for three years as is, with 17 GOP lawmakers joining Democrats. This was after four GOP members signed on to a discharge petition to force a vote. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, and other leaders are livid, but the members were courageous to buck their party to cast a vote they believed in. They tried very hard to get the GOP leaders to agree to a compromise and even simply to hold a vote. Johnson broke his word on the vote under pressure from head-in-the-sand conservatives. The measure is not expected to pass the Senate as a similar bill failed to reach 60 votes there, but a compromise continues to be negotiated in the upper chamber between moderates on both sides of the aisle, which then would face a rocky road back in the

Exchange Compromise Being Developed In Senate A bipartisan group of senators is working on a compromise to extend the enhanced Exchange subsidies that expired on December 31. The draft compromise would extend the subsidies for two years but add reforms, including income caps for subsidies, minimum premium payments, and appropriations of cost-sharing subsidies. To combat fraud, the bill would penalize health plans that enroll phantom enrollees. The bill would also include expansion of health savings accounts (HSAs) by giving subsidized enrollees the choice of the current Exchange subsidy or having the money go to a pre-funded account beginning the second year of the extension.  The official draft may be released next week. Some Democrats say the caucus could agree to such changes. Others are upset by any minimum premium, even $5 or $10 a month. That seems like a ridiculous position. But abortion could spell doom for the compromise. Republicans

WSJ Finds Excess Rx Refills At Medicare Plans Via Mail Order Many argue The Wall Street Journal has it out for health plans as it has had many hard-hitting investigations of fraud and bad practices over the past year or so. Some parts of the industry have accused the Journal of being wrong or behind the times, but the newspaper seems to constantly find scandal afoot, especially among the big national plans. Some of its findings, which are hard to question, have led to ongoing investigations by federal regulators and Capitol Hill. The Journal’s latest expose finds that mail order pharmacies – again the biggest owned by the big national healthcare players — regularly overfill Medicare prescriptions. The Journal finds that excessive filling is a common practice at mail order firms. Too-frequent refills by all U.S. pharmacies cost Medicare and patients $3 billion between 2021 and 2023 says the Journal.

Johnson Under Fire From Moderates On Healthcare As Congress returns this week, House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, is facing a backlash from moderates in his already divisive caucus with a razor-thin majority. Moderates are upset that Johnson refused to hold a vote on Exchange subsidy extensions. After that, four members sided with Democrats on a discharge petition to force a vote in January. These moderates are committed to reaching a compromise with the Senate to extend the subsidies in some form. #exchanges #healthcare #coverage #congress #gop #speakerjohnson https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5667397-mike-johnson-house-republican-moderates/?tbref=hp AHIP Goes On Offensive Against Cost Blame AHIP, the health plan lobby, is continuing its media campaign to note that plans are not responsible for huge surges in costs and premiums. It notes that plans made just 0.8% in 2024 and the industry’s profits are now regulated by various rules and laws. However, vertically integrated healthcare behemoths, which own insurers, typically do

Congress Comes Back To Exchange Saga Congress is slated to reopen next week and will return to the Exchange subsidy controversy. Some lawmakers say that arriving at a potential compromise on extending enhanced subsidies is about 50-50 right now. A vote will be held in the House on a Democratic bill to extend the subsidies with no changes for three years. At least four Republicans are expected to support the measure, which would mean the bill likely passes. The same extension was voted down in the Senate (it did not reach 60 votes), but the bill could be used for a compromise measure, which then would go back to the House. GOP leaders in each house, though, are expected to put roadblocks up to final passage. With the reduction in subsidies and major increases in premiums, between 2.2 million and 7.3 million people may decide against renewing their insurance because

Drug Prices To Climb 3 Axis Advisors reports that the costs of at least 350 drugs in the U.S. are expected to rise in 2026. And as it notes, some of the firms boosting prices are the same that just agreed to reduce prices with President Trump. The firm also finds that a higher number of drugs will see price increases next year compared with last year, when more than 250 drugs were increased. The median price hike is about 4%. #drugpricing #branddrugmakers https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/5668053-us-drug-prices-rise-2026 With Friends Like These … In 2025, health plans likely bought into the phrase “with friends like these, who needs enemies.” The year saw Republicans very much turning on the health insurer industry. Under fire on healthcare from Democrats, Republicans such as Donald Trump and House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, lashed out at the greediness of insurers to deflect the criticism and problems with the Affordable

States Seek To Mitigate Impact Of Expiring Subsidy Enhancements A handful of states have taken action to mitigate the impact of expiring subsidy enhancements in the Exchanges. The states include New Mexico, California, Maryland, Colorado, Connecticut, Arkansas, Texas, and Wyoming. Most states passed appropriations to replace some of the federal subsidy losses, while others passed premium realignment laws. #exchanges #coverage #healthcare https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/aca/how-states-are-responding-to-expiring-aca-subsidies/ At Least 16 Health Systems Drop MA At least 16 health systems are dropping Medicare Advantage (MA) plans in 2026. Some big-name systems are included, and many are targeting big MA plans. #hospitals #healthplans #medicareadvantage https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/finance/16-health-systems-dropping-medicare-advantage-plans-2026 OIG Calls Out Payments For Deceased Enrollees The Health and Human Services’ Office of Inspector General (HHS OIG) says that state Medicaid agencies have made an estimated $289 million in improper capitation payments to managed care organizations on behalf of deceased enrollees since 2016. This comes from a series of audits. The

Major Drug Policy Developments Major drug policy developments this week. First, the hospital lobby scored a major victory when a court ordered the new 340B rebate pilot paused. The Trump administration is seeking to experiment with rebates as opposed to upfront discounts to curb the growth in the discount drug program. The administration rightfully alleges that the program is unaccountable and does not meet the original safety net purpose. The judge ordered a preliminary injunction against the “hastily assembled” pilot set to kick off on Jan. 1 on the basis it “likely” violates the Administrative Procedure Act’s (APA’s) arbitrary and capricious standard.  The judge noted Congress did authorize the federal government to create a rebate model, but regulators had not followed the APA’s requirements in doing so. Second, Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-FL, says she is hopeful Congress will codify President Trump’s executive order on capping prescription drug prices next