
May 19, 2026
Exchange Enrollment Likely To Decline By Millions This Year Healthcare policy group KFF finds that enrollment in Exchanges could decline to 17.5 million people this year. About 23.1 million enrolled as of January 1, which was already down from 2025 by 1.2 million. KFF used data from a Wakely Consulting study. Just 86% of people enrolled in an individual market plan as of January 2026 paid their first month’s premium. If such trends continue, enrollment in the Exchanges could decrease between 17% to 26% over the course of 2026. The fall would include future unpaid premiums, mid-year attrition, and other impacts. KFF also looked at all the cost impacts of expiring premium studies. Earlier it estimated that premiums would increase 114% if all enrollees stuck with their same plan. The new analysis finds that premiums in the aggregate actually increased by 58% for enrollees, which accounts for people switching to
