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National Healthcare Expenditure Data Issued for 2022: What Does It All Mean?

One of my Christmas traditions is to write about the release of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) Actuary’s National Healthcare Expenditure Data (NHED) for a given calendar year.  This usually is released in the first half of December each year for the prior year.  It literally takes CMS about a year to capture, calculate and categorize all the data for a year given the size and labyrinthine complexity of our healthcare system.  Each year as well, usually in the first half of June, the CMS Actuary updates healthcare spending projections for ten outyears. Why is this so important?  First, it is the main comprehensive source of data for calculating the history and future of healthcare spending.  Most other studies rely on the CMS Actuary’s NHED reports in some way.  Second, it is a treasure trove of data that helps explain the inner workings of the healthcare system.

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PBM Transparency And Reform Is A Big Trend In The American Healthcare System

The push for lower drug prices in general and reform of America’s Pharmacy Benefit Management (PBM) industry specifically are major focuses of Capitol Hill and state and federal regulators. With these trends taking center stage, I thought it would be interesting to lay out where the impetus for reform is coming from and what the future likely holds. I don’t pretend this is an exhaustive piece, but it is meant to set the table for future discussions and blogs. It is clear to me that the push for reform substantially is coming from outside the industry, but there are clear trends even within the drug and PBM industry toward change. What is the current status? It is critical to recognize that PBMs alone do not set prices in American healthcare. We have a tremendously opaque drug supply channel that begins with drug makers. The below walk-through is simplified and does

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New Poll Shows Americans Want To Work To Improve The Current Healthcare System Not Replace It

In my last blog on December 7, I argued that former President Donald Trump gave Democrats an issue to run on in 2024 when he stated on two occasions that he wanted to repeal the Affordable Care Act (ACA). I argued that the Republican party has a “compassion gap” and Trump signaling he would repeal the ACA widens that gap and gives a leg up to the Democrats. A recent Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) poll showed that the ACA was a very important issue for about half of those surveyed and that about a third of Republican voters felt that way. In general, on healthcare issues, the poll underscored that voters may trust the Democrats more. As I noted, my blog was published on December 7 and later that day a new poll was published that underscores my views. The poll had 2,000 respondents and was conducted by the Partnership

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December 8, 2023

New Poll On Affordable Care Act And Healthcare Issues A new poll shows that the American public favors maintaining the Affordable Care Act and reforming the current healthcare system. My blog Monday will build on my December 7 blog and go deep into this poll. #healthcare #healthcarereform #affordableuniversalaccess #universalaccess Link to Article House May Cancel Physician Medicare Rate Cut A bipartisan group of representatives has introduced a bill in the House that would cancel the 2024 Medicare physician pay cut finalized last month by the Biden administration. Physicians are always on a roller coaster when it comes to rates in Medicare. I think the formula has to be revisited broadly. The House committee bill would only restore 2.5% of the 3.4% cut: https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/house-ec-bill-would-erase-only-25-physician-fee-cuts-matching-senate (Some articles may require a subscription.) #providers #physicians #rates Link to Article Bipartisan Effort Looking At Healthcare Entity Ownership And Anti-Competitive Behavior Must-read article about efforts by the

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December 7, 2023

United Health Foundation Says Chronic Conditions Rising The United Health Foundation released a study that concludes chronic conditions are rising in the U.S. It also released its annual “America’s Health Rankings” report, which tracks health across the country based on 87 measures and 28 data sources. United finds that persons with multiple chronic conditions has reached their highest levels since they were first tracked. Mental health and diabetes have risen.  It also found health condition disparities exist for asthma, COPD, and diabetes. United also found that more people have multiple co-morbidities. United calls for investments in care management as well as health equity. As I note in my book, The Healthcare Labyrinth (available on this website), one of America’s key problems is a lack of investment in health, wellness, and care management.  Other developed nations concentrate resources here and have much better outcomes, fewer people with disease states and conditions,

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Republicans Have a Compassion Gap But Trump Gives Democrats Momentum on Healthcare Anyway

Former President Donald Trump recently brought up the possible repeal of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and has put his (and my) party in a bind. Republicans suffered at the polls on the very issue Trump has resurrected. Why is he raising the status of the landmark act again? In a post on Truth Social on November 25, Trump declared: “The cost of Obamacare is out of control, plus, it’s not good Healthcare. I’m seriously looking at alternatives.” He clearly caught his party by surprise. You could hear the collective signs and groans coming from Capitol Hill Republicans who survived the issue in the past. After some criticism, Trump sought to clarify his remarks but actually reiterated his stand. On November 29 on Truth Social, Trump stated: “I don’t want to terminate Obamacare, I want to REPLACE IT with MUCH BETTER HEALTHCARE. Obamacare Sucks!!!” Fellow candidate and FL Gov. Ron

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December 6, 2023

Affordable Care Act 2025 Rule And Ongoing Press On Trump Repeal Remarks While we have already covered the proposed 2025 Exchange rule, this article from Kaiser Health News discusses the rule as well as some of the history of the Affordable Care Act under Trump and later Biden. #aca #obamacare #exchanges #medicaid Link to Article Drug Donations Help The Uninsured and Low Income Great Kaiser Health News article on drug donation programs in states.  Helping to save lives and reduce healthcare costs. #drugpricing Link to Article Exchange Enrollment Doing Very Well But Not Picking Up Many Losing Medicaid Coverage Nearly 7.3 million people have selected an Affordable Care Act (ACA) Health Insurance Marketplace plan since the 2024 Marketplace Open Enrollment Period (OEP) opened on November 1. It runs through January 15, 2024. The numbers from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) represents activity through December 2 (Week 5)

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December 5, 2023

Is Interest In ACA Truly Fading? The Kaiser Family Foundation (KFF) poll says that the ACA and generally healthcare are fading as issues in the 2024 campaign.  The poll was done before Donald Trump’s remarks on the Affordable Care Act (ACA). But let me take a slightly contrarian view here.  As the poll notes, about half of the 1,401 people surveyed said the future of the ACA is a key topic.  About 70% of Democrats thought so and 32% of Republicans thought so.  To me, in a close election, 32% of Republicans thinking the ACA is significant is, well, significant.  In a close election, how do you win if one-third of Republicans and a greater percentage of independents care about an issue? KFF poll here: https://www.kff.org/health-reform/press-release/poll-by-a-wide-margin-democratic-voters-now-care-more-about-the-affordable-care-act-than-republican-voters-do-and-voters-trust-democrats-more-than-republicans-to-handle-its-future/ #aca #obamacare #exchanges #medicaid #healthcare #healthinsurance #healthcarereform Link to Article CVS Follows Other Large PBMs in Reforming Reimbursement CVS unveiled Tuesday that it will

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December 4, 2023

U.K. National Health Service Has New Drug Pricing Deal An article in The Economist discusses the United Kingdom’s new drug pricing deal.  As we know, all other developed nations negotiate and set prices globally, as Great Britain does. The Inflation Reduction Act’s Medicare drug price negotiation will slowly bring some of what other developed nations have. In fact, we have some in force now. Key points from the article: Still, the U.K. says it is getting hurt by high-cost cancer and other drugs. The U.K. and other systems work and should be fully in place in America. (Article may require a subscription.) #drugpricing #medicare #partd #uk #nhs Link to Article Good Argument For Debt and Entitlement Commission The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think tank, has a great analysis of why a debt and entitlement commission is a good idea.  It is very factual.  A few points: #medicare #medicareadvantage #debt #deficit

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Medicare Advantage Insurers Focusing On Special Needs Plans And Growth Shows It

While Medicare Advantage (MA) has seen huge increases in enrollment since the beginning of the decade, forecasts suggest that enrollment growth will be reduced moving forward.  Many things factor into the slowdown, including a new rate environment, poor Star performance, and reaching saturation in certain areas of the country.  Nonetheless, MA continues to be a strong program and the most-lucrative place to be if you are an insurer. One segment of the MA program, Special Needs Plans (SNPs), however, are destined to continue to grow significantly moving forward.  This is driven in part by policies from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) and the significant financial opportunity plans see. As of November 2023, SNP and related program enrollment stood at over 6.6 million.  That is a 15% growth since January 2023. There are three types of SNPs: (1) Institutional SNPs or I-SNPs (the individual is a resident of

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