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March 14, 2025

Oz Dodges Medicaid Cuts But Signals Openness On MA Reductions Dr. Mehmet Oz, nominee to be administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), seems well placed to be confirmed. In a hearing, he dodged most questions on Medicaid cuts but signaled that he might favor reductions to Medicare Advantage (MA) overpayments. I have been saying this for some time now. Oz said he is in favor of work requirements for Medicaid and removing undocumented individuals. He did not defend the Affordable Care Act (ACA) enhanced premium tax credits set to expire in 2025. Oz appeared to agree with Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, and others at several points in the hearing that the MA program needs better reform and oversight, especially on payments. Even Sen. HELP Chairman Bill Cassidy, R-LA, appeared to agree and also raised denial of care by plans, on which Oz concurred. Oz also said

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March 13, 2025

MedPAC Repeats Dubious Overpayment Number In Report MedPAC, the congressional policy arm for Medicare, again has published a dubious overpayment number in a report to Congress. It says the federal government will spend $84 billion more in 2025 on Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollees than if they were enrolled in the traditional fee-for-service (FFS) program. This is about 20% more. This is slightly lower than MedPAC reported in 2024.  MedPAC says two factors accounting for the majority of overpayments to MA plans are risk score coding intensity and favorable selection. It says risk scores for MA enrollees will be around 16% higher in MA vs. FFS, which accounts for $40 billion. It says that $44 billion is favorable selection. Many MA proponents and I do not buy the favorable selection number or all of the risk score coding number. But I have admitted that some plans take advantage of risk adjustment and

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March 12, 2025

Government Shutdown Could Occur Senate Democrats came out today and said they do not plan to vote for the House GOP-passed continuing resolution (CR) to fund the rest of this federal fiscal year (through September), instead demanding a 30-day CR to allow for additional negotiations. But there is some buzz that many Democratic senators could change their minds if the Senate GOP majority calls for a cloture vote later this week. The GOP is very unlikely to opt for a 30-day option. One GOP senator, Rand Paul of Kentucky, is against any CR. That means eight Democrats would be needed to invoke cloture to end debate and pass the bill. Several senators have commented they are worried about the political fallout if they vote no. Others feel a government shutdown further empowers Elon Musk and his cost-cutting commission and efforts. A CR must be passed by Friday or there would

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March 11, 2025

House Passes the FFY 2025 CR The House passed the FFY 2025 continuing resolution (CR) today by a vote of 217 to 213. One Republican voted no and one Democrat voted yes. The bill’s passage came together when House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, and Senate Majority Leader Jon Thune, R-SD, committed that a Medicare physician rate fix would be in the budget reconciliation bill slated for May. The commitment was made to Rep. Greg Murphy, M.D., R-N.C., co-chair of the House Doctors Caucus. He and others threatened to vote no, which might have sunk the bill. Murphy says how far-reaching the fix is – overturning this year’s reduction, adding to it for this year, or a permanent fix – is unspecified at this time. The bill next goes to the Senate. Democrats want to vote en masse against the bill, which would deprive the CR of 60 votes and sink

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March 10, 2025

House CR Unveiled With No Doc Fix House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-LA, unveiled the FFY 2025 continuing resolution (CR) through the end of the fiscal year in September. If the bill passes the House, it goes to the Senate. At least one House GOP member has announced opposition, but the lack of a Medicare physician rate fix could mean others drop off. Passage in the Senate is unknown because 60 votes are needed and Democrats appear to be lining up against it. But moderate Democrats could have a change of heart. The bill also extends some critical healthcare programs that would expire on March 31. The House may vote on the bill Tuesday. In other news, a bipartisan proposal to further extend telehealth, reform pharmacy benefits managers (PBMs), reverse Medicare physician pay cuts, and address the opioid crisis has failed to be called up in the Senate. Additional articles: https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/providers-furious-house-continuing-resolution-omits-doc-pay-fix

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March 7, 2025

Trump May Support Changes To Medicare Drug Negotiations Big Pharma says that President Donald Trump and Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are sympathetic to the drug lobby’s concerns regarding the Inflation Reduction Act’s (IRA) “pill penalty” provision within the Medicare drug price negotiations. Drug makers say the law discourages research into small molecule drugs. Small-molecule drugs are exempt from Medicare drug price setting for nine years after FDA approval, while biologics are exempt for 13 years. Big Pharma has been lobbying to extend the small-molecule drug exclusivity period to 13 years. Some congressional bills would extend the period before price negotiation can begin for small molecule drugs to match biologics. (Article may require a subscription.) #ira #drugpricing #branddrugmakers https://insidehealthpolicy.com/daily-news/pfizer-ceo-trump-kennedy-sympathetic-pill-penalty-concerns Makary Backs Swifter Approval of Generics President Donald Trump’s nominee to lead the Food and Drug Administration (FDA), Dr. Marty Makary, pledged to accelerate the approval of

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March 6, 2025

Paragon Says Improper Medicaid Payments Could Be Over $1 Trillion The Paragon Health Institute is an extremely powerful think tank with the ear of the Trump administration and some in Congress. Its newest report, in conjunction with the Economic Policy Innovation Center, says that improper payments under Medicaid could be as much as $1.1 trillion over ten years. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) estimated improper payments at $543 billion over ten years, but Paragon says that does not include eligibility check errors. The report urges Congress to cut funding to states found with greater than 3% erroneous payments based on eligibility errors. Many of the errors are tied to the suspension of eligibility checks during the COVID pandemic. The ineligible population includes people over income limits and illegal immigrants. The report gives hope that the GOP Congress can reduce Medicaid spending and perhaps certain Medicare spending without

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March 5, 2025

Budget Reconciliation And DOGE Updates Two key developments on the spending reduction front. Republican senators met with Elon Musk on his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission reductions. Many senators, rightists and moderates, told him that Congress must sign off on the reductions. On one hand, the senators were asserting their branch’s constitutional authority. On the other, they said it insulates the DOGE cuts from court attacks. Musk was open to Senate approval but indicated he did not think some of the reductions had to come back to Congress. He also was surprised that a rescission package can be passed by just a majority vote. Rescission is authorized by the Impoundment Act of 1974. Some House Republicans want to repeal the rescission process to allow the president to exercise what they see as the president’s inherent impoundment authority. It is ironic that the same act could be used to validate

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March 4, 2025

Tariff Costs Likely Passed Through On Drugs And Medical Devices Drug and device makers abroad will be levied a tariff if their imported product origin is Mexico, Canada or China and the costs are likely to be passed through to consumers. This means various providers, including hospitals and physicians, will see cost increases. The costs, too, would be passed through in the drug channel, ultimately hitting employer groups, government programs, and consumers. Consumers could see higher premiums as well as cost-sharing hikes. Canada and Mexico will have 25% tariffs under the Trump administration’s announcement this week. China has total tariffs since September of 20% or more as well. (Article may require a subscription.) #healthcare #drugpricing #tariffs #hospitals #physicians https://www.modernhealthcare.com/digital-health/tariffs-mexico-canada-cardinal-intuitive Healthcare Entities Could See Pressure On Margins If Medicaid Cuts Pass While healthcare entities would not have major shifts in 2025, Medicaid cuts could mean pressure on margins according to Fitch,

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March 3, 2025

House Dems Run Spending Cut Ads In Swing Districts A House Democratic campaign organization officially kicked off the 2026 elections by running a television advertising blitz hitting House Republicans over the prospect of Medicaid cuts in budget reconciliation. The ads are running in 23 swing districts in 13 states. (Article may require a subscription.) #medicaid #election2026 #budgetreconciliation https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/medicaid-cuts-tv-ads-gop BCBSMI Had Major 2024 Loss Blue Cross Blue Shield Michigan (BCBSMI), a top insurer in the nation, reported a $1.03 billion loss in 2024 due to rising costs and what it called “unsustainable” market conditions. It had revenue of $40.6 billion. It said the costs were driven by rising utilization of expensive medical services and costs for prescription and specialty drugs. Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/insurance/blue-cross-michigan-2024-healthcare-costs (Some articles may require a subscription.) #healthplans #margins #bcbsmi https://www.beckerspayer.com/payer/bcbs-michigan-posts-1b-loss-in-2024.html SNP Plans Grow In Enrollment Season While enrollment growth in Medicare Advantage (MA) was lower than previous years,

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