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February 11, 2025

Humana Continues Digging Out Of Its Financial Troubles Medicare Advantage (MA)-dominant Humana told investors today that it was prioritizing efficiency as it continues to dig out from financial woes due to the MA rate and regulatory landscape. Due to uncertainty, including on rates, it is not yet able to give guidance going into 2026 but affirmed its guidance for the current year. Humana is also suing the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) over its 2025 Star ratings, accusing the agency of gross regulatory violations and incompetence in administering the quality bonus program. Humana posted a $693 million loss in Q4, an increase from a Q3 loss of $541 million. The company also halved its profits for the full year 2024 compared to 2023, posting $1.2 billion. Humana earned $2.5 billion in profit for 2023. Humana expects to lose up to 550,000 MA members this year. It lost 445,000

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February 10, 2025

Trump May Impose Tariffs On Drugs, But Calls Pricing Unfair And Wants Change In an exclusive Super Bowl interview on Fox News, President Donald Trump seemingly endorsed tariffs on drugs but said in the end drug costs would come down. Many are worried that tariffs on drugs and other medical devices will further drive up healthcare costs. But Trump seemed to signal he intends to try to end the fundamental unfairness of drug prices in America compared with other developed countries. Trump used the example of Ozempic costing $88 a month in the U.K., while it is $1,200 a month in America. Trump’s rough prices are entirely accurate and represents what he said was roughly ten times more in America. Trump said the U.S. has been too nice on the issue. In a recent blog, I predicted that the populist Trump would come around on the issue of drug pricing

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February 7, 2025

As DOGE Works, Evidence Of FWA Emerges Even as Democrats excoriate Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission for its far-reach and tactics, more word is coming out about the depth of improper payments made through Medicare and Medicaid. While the estimate is down since the COVID pandemic, a new report says there was $88.5 billion in improper payments in 2024, more than 5% of outlays last year. A Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) fact sheet says improper payments from federal programs can include payment errors or fraudulent payments but most often involve insufficient or missing documentation in reporting by states, providers, or contractors. My view: fraud, waste, and abuse (FWA) is much higher. Latest estimates suggest FWA is more like 25% of all healthcare costs, up from a traditional 10% norm used before.  That would mean FWA accounts for over $1 trillion in the entire

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February 6, 2025

Molina Reports Mixed Financial News Medicaid-dominant insurer Molina Healthcare had its net income grow 8.1% to $1.2 billion in 2024 as revenue spiked 19.3% to $40.7 billion. For the fourth quarter, net income rose 16.2% to $251 million as revenue increased 16% to $10.5 billion. But like other insurers, Molina struggled with medical expenses and had an 89.1% medical loss ratio (MLR) in 2024, one percentage point higher than in 2023. Membership expanded by 10.8%. Molina expects Medicaid spending to increase by 4.5% in 2025, but thinks cost pressures will ease. Molina sees growth and financial success in 2026 and beyond with new state Medicaid awards and success on bidding in existing states. Molina Healthcare CEO Joe Zubretsky downplayed attempts by Republicans to gut or limit Medicaid in upcoming reconciliation bills. He thinks any cuts will be marginal. See my blog this week on the topic: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/will-medicaid-and-the-affordable-care-act-see-huge-cuts/ . Additional articles: https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/molina-earnings-q4-2024-medicaid/739391/ and https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/payers/medicaid-cuts-washington-will-be-marginal-says-molina-healthcare-ceo (Some

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February 5, 2025

Elon Musk Targeting CMS and Medicare Elon Musk and his Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) commission is now targeting the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) as part of efforts to reduce spending and waste. In particular, Musk is targeting Medicare for fraud, waste, and abuse (FWA). The DOGE representatives have gained access to payment and contracting systems. In other news, the hospital lobby is petitioning President Donald Trump to grant carveouts for medical devices and pharmaceutical products for tariffs. China is a large exporter of such products. As well, Democratic lawmakers are asking the Trump administration why some federal financial assistance recipients still aren’t receiving funds after two judges froze the spending freeze. Additional article: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/elon-musk-doge-fraud-medicare-medicaid and https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/legal-regulatory-issues/doge-probes-cms-for-medicare-medicaid-fraud-wsj.html and https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/providers/hospitals-ask-trump-exempt-medical-pharma-products-tariffs and https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/trump-admin-orders-temporary-pause-most-federal-financial-assistance (Some articles may require a subscription.) #doge #fwa #cms #medicare #spending #tariffs #healthcare https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/labor-unions-sue-trump-admin-over-treasury-takeover-citing-privacy-concerns Coalition Asks Trump To Revive PBM Reform A broad coalition of healthcare

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February 4, 2025

Party-Line Vote Advances Kennedy To Senate Floor Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. turned the vote of Sen. Bill Cassidy and gained a 14-13 Senate Finance confirmation vote, which means he has survived and will likely gain Senate confirmation. Cassidy gained concessions from the Trump administration in return for supporting Kennedy’s nomination. Whether you agree with Cassidy’s decision or not, the articles show that Cassidy spent a great deal of time gaining procedural and other commitments in return for supporting Kennedy. The concessions empower the Senate healthcare policy committees in a major way. He deserves a great deal of credit here for taking his role to advice and consent seriously. Vice President JD Vance also played a major role in working with Kennedy and Cassidy. Additional articles: https://www.modernhealthcare.com/politics-policy/rfk-jr-nomination-advanced-senate-finance-committee and https://www.medpagetoday.com/publichealthpolicy/washington-watch/114079 and https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/5125761-cassidy-says-he-secured-key-vaccine-commitments-from-rfk-jr/ and https://www.healthcaredive.com/news/rfk-jr-clears-key-hurdle-on-path-to-hhs-secretary/739096/ and https://insidehealthpolicy.com/health-insider/rfk-jr-confirmation-sent-floor-cassidy-onboard-budget-resolution-stalled (Some articles may require a subscription.) #trump #rfkjr #hhs #congress #healthcare https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/top-republican-airs-concerns-about-rfks-bully-pulpit-and-vaccine-hesitancy Trump Sets A Deregulation

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February 3, 2025

Trump Wants To Preserve Medicaid By “Loving And Cherishing It” On Friday, President Donald Trump promised to “love and cherish” Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. Notice Medicaid made it to the earlier list of protected programs. Trump continued: “We’re not going to do anything with that unless we can find some abuse or waste. The people won’t be affected. It will only be more effective and better.” A sea change for Trump? Perhaps. But let’s not get too hopeful from one press statement. See my blog today on some interesting developments on the healthcare front. Trends suggest healthcare cuts may not be as deep as once suspected during the budget reconciliation process: https://www.healthcarelabyrinth.com/will-medicaid-and-the-affordable-care-act-see-huge-cuts/ #medicaid #aca #obamacare #exchanges #trump #congress #budgetreconciliation https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/01/31/congress/trump-love-and-cherish-medicaid-00201893 Medicare Advantage Risk Adjustment Reform While I disagree with some of the overpayment numbers quoted in this Health Affairs Forefront blog, I find interesting the authors’ position on tackling

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January 31, 2025

Second Judge Enjoins Trump Spending Freeze Indefinitely President Trump’s spending freeze now has been indefinitely reversed by a second federal judge. The order was handed down late Friday. In the first case, a judge is to determine next week if a temporary injunction in the pause will be extended. Despite the rescinding of the Office of Management Budget (OMB) freezing certain spending, Democrats’ cases continued as Trump indicated the freeze is still on to ensure consistency with his executive orders that have been issued. As I have noted, this is a clear misstep by the new administration. The cases will likely weigh in on the issue of whether the executive branch is obligated to execute spending directed by the legislature and signed into law. #trump #congress #spending https://www.fiercehealthcare.com/regulatory/trump-admin-orders-temporary-pause-most-federal-financial-assistance Trump May Challenge 1115 Waivers Issued Just Before Transition The Trump administration is looking at whether it can revoke approval of 1115

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January 30, 2025

More Embarrassing Statements By Robert Kennedy At Second Hearing After a tough day yesterday, Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary nominee Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. continued his lackluster performance in front of a Senate committee by again confusing key details in Medicaid and Medicare. It seems the man proposed to be the next health and human services chief of the United States does not quite know the four parts of Medicare, a program that has hit over $1 trillion annually. Unfortunately, the two days of grilling shows he really has no business becoming the future secretary. His nomination is hurt by his lack of healthcare policy knowledge as well as controversial positions. Democrats pounded him on these for a second day. He has yet failed to convince three key Republicans to support him – Bill Cassidy, Lisa Murkowski, and Susan Collins. Mitch McConnell might also oppose him. Three GOP no

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January 29, 2025

Kennedy Has Subpar Performance Before Committee While Health and Human Services (HHS) nominee Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., did not mortally wound himself before the Senate Finance Committee today at a confirmation hearing, he certainly did himself no favors, either. Kennedy was unable to articulate views on healthcare policy and reform or speak articulately on the Medicare and Medicaid programs. In fact, he confused the two programs at points and perhaps thought Medicaid looked more like the state children’s healthcare or Exchange programs. He even stated that Medicare Advantage (MA) is more expensive than the traditional one. The American public often confuses various healthcare programs, but you do not expect that from the future HHS leader. Just troubling. The hearing likely means he gets no Democratic votes. What is more worrisome for the Trump team is that some Republicans are now worried about Kennedy’s capabilities. Betting odds are that Kennedy still

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